Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 30, 2011

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $188.6400 (3.97%) ($182.8800 - $191.5200) on Thu. Jun. 30, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.16% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $188.6400(3.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(23%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EEM(19%)    REMX(19%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.58% (StdDev 5.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

Resistance Level   $209.54
5 Day Moving Average   $195.26(-3.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $201.53(-6.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $209.54(-9.97%)
To recent high   -41%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $62.821b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 9.89% (three month std-dev: 5.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.67%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.42%(75%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 16.39%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.07%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2011	247.61	209.54	201.53	195.26	194.49	188.28	188.64(3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-83	-240	-89	-65	0.02	34%	-0.37	-54.1	5.16%	0	-1	45	NAN
2	Jun_29_2011	248.52	213.19	203.25	199.3	199.8	193.5	181.44(-7.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-97	-210	-108	-65	0.05	37%	-0.44	-35.7	5.16%	0	-1.5	32	NAN
3	Jun_28_2011	249.61	216.84	205.68	205.06	204.48	200.7	195.84(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-67	-140	-76	-39	0.02	39%	-0.34	-16.1	5.14%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
4	Jun_27_2011	250.46	220.56	207.2	207.65	207.72	206.1	200.16(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-50	-29	-23	0.01	39%	-0.26	-2.5	5.14%	0	-0.9	31	NAN
5	Jun_24_2011	251.12	221.25	207.74	207.65	208.67	208.26	210.24(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-20	-10	-37	0.02	39%	-0.21	-4.8	5.11%	0	-0.5	26	NAN

6	Jun_23_2011	251.65	221.39	206.78	208.8	208.58	209.34	208.8(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	20	2	-58	0.01	39%	-0.23	-9.2	5.12%	0	-0.5	28	NAN
7	Jun_22_2011	252.23	221.28	207.12	207.94	208.94	209.08	210.24(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	20	21	-77	0	39%	-0.19	-16.1	5.12%	0	-0.5	25	NAN
8	Jun_21_2011	252.71	220.7	207.18	206.5	207.95	207.82	208.8(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	20	-8	-113	0.01	39%	-0.17	-23.8	5.12%	0	-0.5	31	NAN
9	Jun_20_2011	253.15	221.16	209.22	206.78	207.54	208.8	205.92(-2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-29	50	3	-126	0.01	39%	-0.24	-26.7	5.12%	0	-0.6	25	NAN
10	Jun_17_2011	253.77	222.36	213.84	206.5	208.34	208.08	210.24(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	20	30	-98	0.01	39%	-0.27	-28.1	5.13%	0	-0.5	55	NAN

11	Jun_16_2011	254.46	223.53	217.7	204.48	206.9	206.28	204.48(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	10	-26	-109	0.01	39%	-0.28	-29.9	5.13%	0	-0.8	54	NAN
12	Jun_15_2011	255.18	225.1	223.46	206.21	206.92	208.6	203.04(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	70	-6	-71	0.01	42%	-0.23	-27.4	5.14%	0	-1	56	NAN
13	Jun_14_2011	255.78	226.57	228.61	207.94	209.26	207.52	210.24(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-40	-5	-40	0.01	42%	-0.24	-26.1	5.19%	0	-0.7	60	NAN
14	Jun_13_2011	256.4	227.72	234.75	212.26	212.5	205.23	204.48(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-110	-240	-129	-53	0.01	42%	-0.28	-20.5	5.18%	0	-1	52	NAN
15	Jun_10_2011	257.13	229.2	235.97	222.62	222.04	210.99	200.16(-6.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-142	-360	-173	-50	0.02	42%	-0.23	-5.7	5.21%	0	-1.3	47	NAN

16	Jun_9_2011	257.71	230.81	237.69	232.99	234.54	219.78	213.12(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-164	-420	-204	-42	0.02	44%	-0.22	10.8	5.18%	0	-0.9	49	NAN
17	Jun_8_2011	258.27	231.65	237.32	243.36	244.8	233.1	211.68(-8.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-176	-320	-223	-33	0.03	44%	-0.29	24.3	5.19%	0	-1	48	NAN
18	Jun_7_2011	259.02	232.64	236.32	252	254.16	249.3	231.84(-9.55%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-81	-110	-115	21	0.03	47%	-0.11	34.9	5.11%	0	-0	54	NAN
19	Jun_6_2011	259.3	232.38	234.97	260.35	259.56	256.5	256.32(1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-90	-11	86	0.02	51%	-0.12	43.9	4.97%	0	1.2	59	NAN
20	Jun_3_2011	259.61	230.44	232	251.14	259.71	259.02	252(-4.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	55	80	46	80	0.02	51%	-0.15	24.8	4.96%	0	1.1	58	NAN

21	Jun_2_2011	259.99	228.58	229.85	242.78	248.36	262.62	264.96(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	115	470	124	89	0.02	51%	-0.08	5.6	4.93%	0	1.9	62	NAN
22	Jun_1_2011	260.21	226.82	226.33	230.4	235.22	260.4	254.88(-6.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	327	810	383	158	0.04	48%	-0.1	-18.7	4.93%	0	1.7	61	NAN
23	May_31_2011	260.46	225.93	223.49	218.3	219.83	234.09	273.6(30.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.5	283	480	342	107	0.12	54%	-0.21	-42.8	4.94%	0	3	66	NAN
24	May_27_2011	261.02	223.99	218.63	206.78	207.26	210.03	210.24(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	100	41	-81	0	33%	-0.31	-76.9	3.14%	0	-1.1	41	NAN
25	May_26_2011	261.84	225.76	220.77	210.53	209.25	205.56	210.24(3.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-57	-140	-46	-90	0.02	33%		-68.3	3.17%	0	-1.2	47	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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