Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 24, 2011

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $194.4000 (-10%) ($194.4000 - $218.8800) on Tue. May. 24, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.25% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $194.4000(-10%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(24%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EEM(19%)    REMX(19%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.625% (StdDev 3.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -10.6%

Resistance Level   $230.01
5 Day Moving Average   $221.47(-12.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $225.36(-13.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $230.01(-15.48%)
To recent high   -39.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $64.739b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.69% (three month std-dev: 3.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 5.14%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.62%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 8.09%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.97%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 6.92%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.04%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110624

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_24_2011	263.78	230.01	225.36	221.47	222.57	212.94	194.4(-10%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-225	-290	-259	-122	0.02	33%	-0.42	-44.8	3.25%	0	-2.7	28	0
2	May_23_2011	264.9	232.99	229.16	228.67	229.32	224.46	216(-5.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-140	-140	-166	-62	0.01	37%	-0.45	-38.8	3%	0	-1.6	33	0
3	May_20_2011	266.09	234.41	230.36	231.84	232.11	232.2	228.96(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	10	-42	-9	0.01	37%	-0.36	-42.3	3.02%	0	-0.6	39	0
4	May_19_2011	267.05	235.12	229.48	232.42	232.83	234.18	233.28(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	50	52	10	0.01	37%	-0.33	-50.1	3.03%	0	-0.2	38	0
5	May_18_2011	267.94	235.56	227.84	231.55	231.39	232.02	234.72(1.88%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	15	20	29	-26	0.01	37%	-0.29	-62.3	3.06%	0	-0.1	39	0

6	May_17_2011	268.71	236.03	227.68	230.11	229.77	231.48	230.4(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	50	22	-50	0.01	37%	-0.27	-73.9	3.05%	0	-0.6	31	0
7	May_16_2011	269.44	237.06	228.65	229.82	228.87	230.76	231.84(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	34	50	60	-44	0.01	37%	-0.14	-81.6	3.05%	0	-0.5	31	0
8	May_13_2011	269.83	238.61	229.49	228.67	227.61	228.06	231.84(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	17	-0	42	-60	0.01	37%	-0.26	-75.8	3.02%	0	-0.6	42	0
9	May_12_2011	270.53	240.17	230.74	226.08	225.99	226.98	228.96(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	30	20	-79	0.01	37%	-0.24	-77.7	3.04%	0	-0.9	39	0
10	May_11_2011	271.17	241.91	232.35	223.49	224.46	227.16	227.52(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	100	38	-81	0.01	37%	-0.18	-85.3	3.06%	0	-1	39	0

11	May_10_2011	271.65	243.76	234.67	224.93	223.74	225	228.96(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	20	20	-78	0.01	37%	-0.15	-90.2	3.06%	0	-1	38	0
12	May_9_2011	272.06	245.99	236.88	227.52	226.35	221.76	226.08(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-90	-160	-83	-109	0.01	37%	-0.2	-87	3.06%	0	-1.3	31	0
13	May_6_2011	272.61	248.09	238.7	230.69	232.74	222.48	218.88(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-198	-280	-210	-161	0.01	34%	-0.05	-94.4	3.12%	0	-1.9	18	0
14	May_5_2011	272.76	250.8	241.35	236.16	238.95	230.94	216(-7.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-240	-200	-262	-173	0.02	34%	-0.06	-101.9	3.14%	0	-2.5	15	0
15	May_4_2011	272.92	254.29	244.32	242.21	244.62	243	234.72(-2.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-104	-20	-104	-104	0.02	39%	0.11	-107.4	3%	0	-1.5	20	0

16	May_3_2011	272.63	257.22	245.44	245.66	247.5	246.96	241.92(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	10	-2	-63	0.03	39%	0	-94.3	2.99%	0	-1	22	0
17	May_2_2011	272.63	259.91	246.43	247.68	248.4	246.24	241.92(-1.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-54	-50	-43	-88	0.01	39%	0.13	-81.3	2.99%	0	-1.1	18	0
18	Apr_29_2011	272.28	263.15	248.6	247.97	249.57	248.04	246.24(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-46	-20	-33	-84	0.01	39%	0.21	-68.6	3.05%	0	-0.9	31	0
19	Apr_28_2011	271.71	266.12	250.34	247.39	248.85	250.56	246.24(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	70	3	-77	0.01	39%	0.24	-62.7	3.07%	0	-0.9	28	0
20	Apr_27_2011	271.07	269.64	252.13	246.67	247.86	251.1	252(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	43	110	78	-63	0.01	39%	0.24	-53.3	3.1%	0	-0.8	25	0

21	Apr_26_2011	270.41	272.43	253.31	246.67	246.83	247.14	252(3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	30	45	-102	0.01	39%	0.22	-49.8	3.1%	0	-0.8	21	0
22	Apr_25_2011	269.81	274.54	255.42	245.23	246.37	244.62	243.36(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-93	-40	-70	-162	0.01	35%	0.63	-49.8	3.14%	0	-1.3	12	0
23	Apr_21_2011	268.11	277.22	257.91	249.55	249.43	246.51	243.36(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-106	-80	-82	-176	0.01	43%	0.28	-45.7	3.14%	0	-1.5	10	0
24	Apr_20_2011	267.35	280.13	260.84	253.87	254.2	248.13	242.64(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-127	-160	-107	-186	0.01	43%	0.31	-42.7	3.3%	0	-1.7	11	0
25	Apr_19_2011	266.53	282.78	265.08	258.34	257.76	252.36	244.8(-2.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-178	-150	-167	-212	0.02	39%		-40.4	3.34%	0	-1.9	10	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.