Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 12, 2011

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $228.9600 (0.63%) ($221.7600 - $228.9600) on Thu. May. 12, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.04% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $228.9600(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(24%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EEM(19%)    EWG(19%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.52% (StdDev 3.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $240.17
5 Day Moving Average   $226.08(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $230.74(-0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $240.17(-4.67%)
To recent high   -28.4%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $76.248b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.46% (three month std-dev: 3.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2011	270.53	240.17	230.74	226.08	225.99	226.98	228.96(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	30	20	-79	0.01	37%	-0.24	-77.7	3.04%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
2	May_11_2011	271.17	241.91	232.35	223.49	224.46	227.16	227.52(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	100	38	-81	0.01	37%	-0.18	-85.3	3.06%	0	-1	39	NAN
3	May_10_2011	271.65	243.76	234.67	224.93	223.74	225	228.96(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	20	20	-78	0.01	37%	-0.15	-90.2	3.06%	0	-1	38	NAN
4	May_9_2011	272.06	245.99	236.88	227.52	226.35	221.76	226.08(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-90	-160	-83	-109	0.01	37%	-0.2	-87	3.06%	0	-1.3	31	NAN
5	May_6_2011	272.61	248.09	238.7	230.69	232.74	222.48	218.88(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-198	-280	-210	-161	0.01	34%	-0.05	-94.4	3.12%	0	-1.9	18	NAN

6	May_5_2011	272.76	250.8	241.35	236.16	238.95	230.94	216(-7.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-240	-200	-262	-173	0.02	34%	-0.06	-101.9	3.14%	0	-2.5	15	NAN
7	May_4_2011	272.92	254.29	244.32	242.21	244.62	243	234.72(-2.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-104	-20	-104	-104	0.02	39%	0.11	-107.4	3%	0	-1.5	20	NAN
8	May_3_2011	272.63	257.22	245.44	245.66	247.5	246.96	241.92(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	10	-2	-63	0.03	39%	0	-94.3	2.99%	0	-1	22	NAN
9	May_2_2011	272.63	259.91	246.43	247.68	248.4	246.24	241.92(-1.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-54	-50	-43	-88	0.01	39%	0.13	-81.3	2.99%	0	-1.1	18	NAN
10	Apr_29_2011	272.28	263.15	248.6	247.97	249.57	248.04	246.24(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-46	-20	-33	-84	0.01	39%	0.21	-68.6	3.05%	0	-0.9	31	NAN

11	Apr_28_2011	271.71	266.12	250.34	247.39	248.85	250.56	246.24(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	70	3	-77	0.01	39%	0.24	-62.7	3.07%	0	-0.9	28	NAN
12	Apr_27_2011	271.07	269.64	252.13	246.67	247.86	251.1	252(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	43	110	78	-63	0.01	39%	0.24	-53.3	3.1%	0	-0.8	25	NAN
13	Apr_26_2011	270.41	272.43	253.31	246.67	246.83	247.14	252(3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	30	45	-102	0.01	39%	0.22	-49.8	3.1%	0	-0.8	21	NAN
14	Apr_25_2011	269.81	274.54	255.42	245.23	246.37	244.62	243.36(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-93	-40	-70	-162	0.01	35%	0.63	-49.8	3.14%	0	-1.3	12	NAN
15	Apr_21_2011	268.11	277.22	257.91	249.55	249.43	246.51	243.36(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-106	-80	-82	-176	0.01	43%	0.28	-45.7	3.14%	0	-1.5	10	NAN

16	Apr_20_2011	267.35	280.13	260.84	253.87	254.2	248.13	242.64(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-127	-160	-107	-186	0.01	43%	0.31	-42.7	3.3%	0	-1.7	11	NAN
17	Apr_19_2011	266.53	282.78	265.08	258.34	257.76	252.36	244.8(-2.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-178	-150	-167	-212	0.02	39%	0.28	-40.4	3.34%	0	-1.9	10	NAN
18	Apr_18_2011	265.78	285.21	270.08	262.37	262.08	260.28	252(-4.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-104	-50	-82	-171	0.01	39%	0.3	-41.8	3.41%	0	-1.8	21	NAN
19	Apr_15_2011	264.99	287.19	274.64	266.98	265.5	263.16	264.96(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-59	-80	-33	-137	0.01	42%	0	-37.5	3.36%	0	-1.3	37	NAN
20	Apr_14_2011	264.99	288.29	278.89	267.55	267.84	263.88	264.96(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-97	-100	-80	-147	0.01	42%	0.35	-38	3.39%	0	-1.5	37	NAN

21	Apr_13_2011	264.07	289.84	283.11	268.99	269.91	267.84	264.96(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-108	-40	-96	-145	0.01	42%	0.36	-30.6	3.39%	0	-1.7	35	NAN
22	Apr_12_2011	263.13	291.15	288.46	273.02	273.15	271.8	264.96(-3.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-71	-30	-60	-105	0.02	42%	0.33	-15.4	3.39%	0	-1.9	40	NAN
23	Apr_11_2011	262.27	292.99	293.03	279.07	278.19	271.98	275.04(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-97	-170	-99	-92	0.01	45%	0.36	12.8	3.37%	0	-1.4	46	NAN
24	Apr_8_2011	261.34	293.51	295.13	283.68	284.04	274.5	267.84(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-214	-230	-241	-131	0.01	45%	0.33	39	3.38%	0	-2.1	43	NAN
25	Apr_7_2011	260.48	294.37	298.21	292.03	292.77	284.4	272.16(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-183	-190	-214	-88	0.01	45%		73.1	3.4%	0	-1.8	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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