Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 31, 2011

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $308.1600 (-3.6%) ($305.2800 - $321.1200) on Thu. Mar. 31, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.52% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $308.1600(-3.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(24%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EEM(19%)    EWG(19%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.76% (StdDev 3.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $305.28(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $298.53(3.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $285.66(7.88%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   32.1%
Market Cap   $102.623b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 7.69% (three month std-dev: 3.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 7.88%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 14.45%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.39%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.05%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2011	255.46	285.66	298.53	305.28	307.08	314.46	308.16(-3.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	99	190	102	91	0.02	47%	0.33	70.4	3.52%	0	1	64	0
2	Mar_30_2011	254.61	282.56	297.01	303.55	303.3	309.78	319.68(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	173	150	186	135	0.03	51%	0.46	70.1	3.51%	0	1.7	75	0
3	Mar_29_2011	253.44	278.91	293.65	298.08	299.61	299.7	309.6(5.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	77	20	72	90	0.05	51%	0.35	66.6	3.49%	0	1.4	76	0
4	Mar_28_2011	252.56	275.34	292.38	294.05	296.96	296.82	293.76(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	30	-22	67	0.01	45%	0.45	62.6	3.45%	0	0.9	74	0
5	Mar_25_2011	251.42	273.25	291.31	292.9	295.29	299.52	295.2(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	120	57	120	0.02	45%	0.47	59.9	3.44%	0	1	79	0

6	Mar_24_2011	250.25	271	289.91	290.59	293.31	297.09	299.52(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	129	120	118	160	0.04	45%	0.55	52.8	3.46%	0	1.3	78	0
7	Mar_23_2011	248.88	267.71	286.84	289.44	289.98	291.06	292.32(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	30	23	136	0.04	45%	0.52	45.6	3.47%	0	1.1	77	0
8	Mar_22_2011	247.59	264.84	283.6	288.58	290.03	289.53	289.44(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	26	0	-9	130	0.01	51%	0.52	40.2	3.5%	0	1.1	74	0
9	Mar_21_2011	246.3	262.56	280.22	290.59	291.69	288.9	288(1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-60	-11	149	0.02	51%	0.52	39.6	3.58%	0	1.2	77	0
10	Mar_18_2011	245.02	260.98	275.88	289.44	290.61	290.52	283.68(-3.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	10	-58	125	0.02	51%	0.48	37.4	3.59%	0	1.1	64	0

11	Mar_17_2011	243.85	259.81	272.18	288.84	291.15	294.48	293.76(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	120	100	98	187	0.02	64%	0.54	35.8	3.59%	0	1.7	69	0
12	Mar_16_2011	242.53	258.01	267.27	283.65	287	290.7	288(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	93	130	75	145	0.02	64%	0.52	26.9	4.36%	0	1.7	74	0
13	Mar_15_2011	241.27	256.45	263.15	277.6	282.32	287.82	299.52(6.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	130	190	121	155	0.03	70%	0.59	11.3	4.33%	0	2.6	78	0
14	Mar_14_2011	239.86	254.42	256.75	268.39	274.67	283.3	282.24(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	148	290	152	134	0.06	57%	0.49	-9.9	4.54%	0	2.1	66	0
15	Mar_11_2011	238.69	253.59	253.45	260.32	264.59	276.82	280.66(4.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	141	370	154	101	0.04	63%	0.49	-26.8	5.28%	0	2.2	57	0

16	Mar_10_2011	237.52	252.98	250.12	253.15	257.31	266.04	267.84(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	159	290	182	89	0.04	66%	0.44	-41.1	5.3%	0	1.3	50	0
17	Mar_9_2011	236.48	253.27	246.61	248.54	249.21	252.36	257.76(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	100	49	13	0.01	66%	0.39	-44.2	5.41%	0	0.4	47	0
18	Mar_8_2011	235.56	254.58	244.29	246.53	247.23	248.58	253.44(4.76%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	27	50	38	-7	0.01	66%	0.34	-33.3	5.42%	0	-0.1	46	0
19	Mar_7_2011	234.77	255.76	243.3	243.36	245.52	246.06	241.92(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	40	2	-38	0.01	66%	0.29	-29.5	5.4%	0	-0.9	37	0
20	Mar_4_2011	234.09	256.95	244.89	245.38	244.89	245.88	244.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	20	-5	-40	0.01	69%	0.33	-27.1	5.49%	0	-0.8	36	0

21	Mar_3_2011	233.33	257.87	246.58	246.53	246.96	244.98	244.8(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	5	-50	18	-33	0.01	69%	0.33	-30.5	5.54%	0	-0.9	34	0
22	Mar_2_2011	232.56	258.92	248.18	244.22	246.06	243.9	247.68(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-40	-29	-63	0.01	69%	0.35	-38.7	5.54%	0	-0.8	34	0
23	Mar_1_2011	231.74	259.51	249.37	241.63	243.72	248.94	237.6(-5.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-10	180	8	-64	0.01	69%	0.31	-45.8	5.52%	0	-1.5	23	0
24	Feb_28_2011	231.03	260.4	252.1	243.07	243	248.22	252(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	55	150	86	-37	0.01	69%	0.39	-52.1	5.44%	0	-0.6	35	0
25	Feb_25_2011	230.14	261.14	253.8	244.51	243.27	238.5	250.56(7.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-34	-150	-20	-75	0.01	69%		-53.3	5.44%	0	-0.8	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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