Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $275.0400 (4.95%) ($259.2000 - $277.9200) on Wed. Jan. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.35% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $275.0400(4.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(24%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EEM(19%)    EWG(19%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -3.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.175% (StdDev 6.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

Resistance Level   $288.78
5 Day Moving Average   $268.13(2.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $275.1(-0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $288.78(-4.76%)
To recent high   -17.3%
To recent low   69%
Market Cap   $91.593b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 6.81% (three month std-dev: 6.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.94%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.18%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 10.3%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2011	208.34	288.78	275.1	268.13	270.17	267.48	275.04(4.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-50	-4	-41	0.01	67%	0.57	-37	6.35%	0	-0.7	40	0
2	Jan_25_2011	207.15	290.49	275.5	266.69	267.2	270	262.08(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	80	-42	-66	0.01	65%	0.27	-30.4	6.33%	0	-1.4	33	0
3	Jan_24_2011	206.59	292.62	278.27	271.44	270.08	272.86	270.72(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	30	60	49	-26	0.01	65%	0.58	-20.3	6.34%	0	-1.2	35	0
4	Jan_21_2011	205.4	294.19	281.04	274.61	273.01	264.4	276.48(7.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-240	-44	-68	0.01	65%	0.6	0	6.32%	0	-1	29	0
5	Jan_20_2011	204.18	295.04	282.45	276.91	276.98	267.3	256.32(-4.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-147	-240	-156	-118	0.01	64%	0.45	18.6	6.26%	0	-2.2	24	0

6	Jan_19_2011	203.26	296.25	287.06	282.96	284.29	281.61	267.84(-6.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-56	-50	-51	-72	0.01	62%	0.53	53.9	6.23%	0	-1.8	27	0
7	Jan_18_2011	202.18	296.64	290.61	285.26	286	286.65	285.84(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	20	-11	-55	0.01	64%	0.83	69.9	6.21%	0	-0.7	40	0
8	Jan_14_2011	200.51	296.47	292.34	285.98	287.57	286.97	286.56(-0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	0	8	-47	0.01	64%	0.64	88.2	6.16%	0	-0.6	45	0
9	Jan_13_2011	199.23	294.19	296.63	288.58	288.02	285.35	288(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-70	-37	-52	0.02	64%	0.66	82	6.16%	0	-0.3	47	0
10	Jan_12_2011	197.93	291.75	299.95	289.15	290.7	288.18	286.56(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-40	-39	-44	0.01	64%	0.68	80.4	6.16%	0	-0.2	51	0

11	Jan_11_2011	196.6	288.19	303.38	292.03	293.76	290.7	279.36(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-60	-35	-24	0.02	64%	0.67	71.3	6.16%	0	-0.3	57	0
12	Jan_10_2011	195.3	286.59	306.65	296.64	295.74	293.22	289.44(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-70	-54	-12	0.03	64%	0.66	81.6	6.13%	0	0.1	63	0
13	Jan_7_2011	194.02	282.94	308.21	299.52	300.15	296.82	299.52(2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-35	-70	-48	3	0.01	64%	0.7	81.3	6.12%	0	0.5	61	0
14	Jan_6_2011	192.67	277.84	308.47	306.14	306	298.26	290.88(-3.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-63	-180	-91	20	0.02	64%	0.62	81.2	6.12%	0	0.3	74	0
15	Jan_5_2011	191.49	272.9	308.87	312.48	314.55	303.48	300.96(-0.48%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-77	-230	-117	43	0.01	64%	0.66	81.5	6.11%	0	0.6	78	0

16	Jan_4_2011	190.24	267.53	306.57	316.51	320.49	313.74	302.4(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-65	-110	-113	81	0.03	64%	0.71	84.4	6.11%	0	0.7	83	0
17	Jan_3_2011	188.9	262.22	303.66	317.95	323.37	325.62	303.84(-8.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	45	100	10	149	0.04	64%	0.74	86.7	6.12%	0	0.8	67	0
18	Dec_31_2010	187.52	255.99	301.43	317.66	318.78	327.24	332.64(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	121	200	89	215	0.01	67%	0.87	84.7	6.04%	0	1.5	78	0
19	Dec_30_2010	185.91	247.89	291.76	311.18	312.48	321.12	322.56(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	155	210	125	243	0.05	68%	0.83	81.8	6.04%	0	1.5	80	0
20	Dec_29_2010	184.38	240.13	282.88	304.85	306.77	310.32	321.12(3.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	139	100	102	249	0.03	68%	0.77	78.9	6.05%	0	1.6	81	0

21	Dec_28_2010	182.97	232.11	271.62	295.34	299.2	303.84	309.6(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	95	150	51	225	0.02	69%	0.69	73.1	6.05%	0	1.6	78	0
22	Dec_27_2010	181.72	225.04	264.64	287.28	291.91	303.21	302.4(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	156	320	120	264	0.02	69%	0.56	69.7	6.06%	0	1.6	75	0
23	Dec_23_2010	180.7	218.42	255.34	282.67	283.09	294.55	300.24(3.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	218	290	188	309	0.03	70%	0.57	70	6.07%	0	1.8	78	0
24	Dec_22_2010	179.67	211.91	244.39	269.28	271.52	280.6	290.88(6.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	190	260	160	281	0.03	70%	0.57	64.6	6.07%	0	1.9	78	0
25	Dec_21_2010	178.65	205.79	233.72	257.47	257.22	271.62	273.6(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	187	390	160	268	0.02	69%		59.6	6.04%	0	1.8	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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