Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $155.5200 (2.86%) ($149.7600 - $155.5500) on Thu. Sep. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.66% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $155.5200(2.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(24%)    EEM(20%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EWG(19%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.83% (StdDev 3.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $153.07(-1.58%)
Resistance Level   $158.12
5 Day Moving Average   $155.23(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $155.93(-0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $158.12(-1.64%)
To recent high   -31.6%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $51.791b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 3.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20101023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2010	217.86	158.12	155.93	155.23	154.71	152.82	155.52(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-100	-26	-26	0	30%	-1.08	-35.6	3.66%	0	-0.7	45	0
2	Sep_22_2010	220.24	158.41	156.33	154.94	155.61	154.26	151.2(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-50	-40	-40	0.01	26%	-1.13	-55.9	3.64%	0	-2.1	27	0
3	Sep_21_2010	222.75	158.68	157.1	155.81	156.24	156.6	154.08(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	20	-11	-28	0.01	26%	-1.19	-87	3.7%	0	-1.5	39	0
4	Sep_20_2010	225.43	158.64	157.56	156.67	156.6	156.96	158.4(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	10	14	-16	0.01	26%	-1.06	-100.9	3.7%	0	-0.1	46	0
5	Sep_17_2010	227.85	158.9	157.28	156.53	156.69	155.88	156.96(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-30	-10	-33	0.01	26%	-1.1	-102.7	3.71%	0	-0.5	42	0

6	Sep_16_2010	230.38	159.37	157.42	156.82	157.19	156.24	154.08(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-40	-28	-42	0.01	22%	-1.11	-99.6	3.71%	0	-1.3	40	0
7	Sep_15_2010	232.96	160.4	158.66	157.97	158.09	157.5	155.52(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-20	-15	-25	0	43%	-1.1	-69.5	3.78%	0	-1	42	0
8	Sep_14_2010	235.54	161.49	159.38	157.97	158.63	158.13	158.4(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-20	-7	-12	0.01	43%	-1.1	-57.6	4.41%	0	-0.5	57	0
9	Sep_13_2010	238.17	162.1	159.66	158.54	158.81	158.67	157.68(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-0	-2	-2	0	43%	-1.13	-65.8	4.42%	0	-0.7	61	0
10	Sep_10_2010	240.89	162.64	160.16	158.54	158.49	159.12	158.4(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	40	4	-3	0	35%	-1.14	-81.8	4.52%	0	-0.6	45	0

11	Sep_9_2010	243.67	163.4	160.46	158.11	158.13	158.94	159.84(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	40	4	-7	0	35%	-1.08	-89.5	4.59%	0	-0.5	43	0
12	Sep_8_2010	246.33	164.02	160.61	159.55	158.76	157.86	158.4(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-7	-50	-4	-15	0.01	31%	-1.08	-97.5	4.59%	0	-0.8	35	0
13	Sep_7_2010	249.02	165.18	160.4	160.42	159.93	157.32	158.4(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-120	-34	-39	0.01	29%	-1.65	-88.6	4.69%	0	-0.8	33	0
14	Sep_3_2010	253.21	166.55	159.86	160.99	161.1	159.66	155.52(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-60	-40	-52	0.01	40%	-1.12	-71.7	4.76%	0	-1.1	39	0
15	Sep_2_2010	256.09	168.22	160.73	162.43	161.1	159.66	158.4(-5.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	10	-1	-29	0.01	43%	-1.05	-63	5.62%	0	-0.9	43	0

16	Sep_1_2010	258.81	169.88	161.56	163.01	162.09	162.54	167.04(2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	0	14	-26	0.01	41%	-0.99	-56.5	5.65%	0	-0.2	44	0
17	Aug_31_2010	261.41	171.34	162.22	161.86	161.46	162.54	162.72(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	0	10	-30	0	41%	-1.01	-56	5.67%	0	-0.7	42	0
18	Aug_30_2010	264.09	172.67	163.64	160.42	160.2	161.64	161.28(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	60	20	-33	0	41%	-0.95	-53.5	5.71%	0	-0.9	34	0
19	Aug_27_2010	266.63	174.22	164.6	158.54	157.77	161.28	162.72(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	140	25	-46	0.01	43%	-0.97	-52.9	5.72%	0	-0.9	32	0
20	Aug_26_2010	269.25	175.51	165.17	158.83	157.01	158.76	161.28(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	40	31	-54	0.01	43%	-0.94	-47.1	5.76%	0	-1	30	0

21	Aug_25_2010	271.81	177.16	166.43	159.98	158.09	154.26	161.28(3.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-210	-34	-87	0.01	45%	-0.98	-39.8	5.76%	0	-1.2	29	0
22	Aug_24_2010	274.49	178.89	167.59	162.86	161.87	155.25	155.52(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-105	-300	-100	-118	0.01	45%	-0.96	-28.3	5.77%	0	-1.8	21	0
23	Aug_23_2010	277.15	180.12	170.33	167.47	168.08	161.91	151.92(-7.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-91	-250	-87	-103	0.02	45%	-0.46	-20.3	5.76%	0	-2.4	27	0
24	Aug_20_2010	278.43	181.57	173.92	171.36	172.26	168.48	164.16(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-140	-58	-84	0.01	44%	-0.9	-13.4	5.7%	0	-1.7	30	0
25	Aug_19_2010	280.97	182.16	176.48	172.22	173.43	174.24	167.04(-4.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	50	-16	-63	0.01	44%		-14	5.81%	0	-1.6	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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