Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 30, 2010

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $188.6400 (-2.96%) ($188.6400 - $204.4800) on Fri. Jul. 30, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.13% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $188.6400(-2.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(24%)    EEM(20%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EWG(19%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -3.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(0%)    GLD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.065% (StdDev 6.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $186.62(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $181.12(4.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $176.05(7.15%)
To recent high   -54.7%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $62.821b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 4.95% (three month std-dev: 6.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 2.16%(36%) Average negative next day return: -1.22%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.27%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -4.79%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 3.58%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.58%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100830

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2010	315.66	176.05	181.12	186.62	188.28	193.68	188.64(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	230	49	54	0.03	43%	-0.9	47.5	6.13%	0	1.4	61	NAN
2	Jul_29_2010	318.54	174.81	179.91	183.46	183.69	191.16	194.4(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	92	290	99	71	0.02	43%	-0.73	10.3	6.13%	0	2.3	70	NAN
3	Jul_28_2010	320.89	173.49	177.5	180	178.47	182.88	195.84(10.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	72	150	78	55	0.05	43%	-0.7	-36.4	6.13%	0	3.1	71	NAN
4	Jul_27_2010	323.16	172.02	174.89	175.1	175.41	176.22	177.12(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	24	40	24	22	0.01	40%	-0.74	-133.2	5.95%	0	1	63	NAN
5	Jul_26_2010	325.56	171.96	175.23	175.1	174.33	174.06	177.12(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	1	-20	-5	18	0.01	40%	-0.73	-192.5	5.95%	0	1	63	NAN

6	Jul_23_2010	327.97	172.01	174.93	174.82	174.42	174.06	172.8(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	0	-5	23	0.01	40%	-0.74	-238.1	5.93%	0	0.2	58	NAN
7	Jul_22_2010	330.4	173.94	174.33	175.68	175.14	174.6	177.12(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-30	8	33	0.01	40%	-0.72	-126.3	5.93%	0	0.3	65	NAN
8	Jul_21_2010	332.81	176.16	173.22	175.68	174.6	174.24	171.36(-2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-10	-11	19	0.01	40%	-0.73	-97.2	5.92%	0	-0.3	53	NAN
9	Jul_20_2010	335.25	178.97	172.74	174.53	174.33	175.68	175.68(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	50	3	24	0.01	40%	-0.69	-87.1	5.92%	0	-0.2	59	NAN
10	Jul_19_2010	337.58	182.24	171.77	175.68	174.42	174.96	177.12(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	0	17	28	0.01	40%	-0.69	-68.8	5.93%	0	-0.2	49	NAN

11	Jul_16_2010	339.91	185.34	170.73	175.1	174.51	172.98	177.12(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-70	2	13	0.01	38%	-0.72	-62	5.94%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
12	Jul_15_2010	342.36	188.92	169.42	172.8	173.52	173.88	171.36(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	30	-9	-26	0.01	38%	-0.72	-59.1	5.97%	0	-0.6	24	NAN
13	Jul_14_2010	344.83	193.19	169.24	171.65	172.08	176.04	171.36(-5.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	16	170	35	-41	0.02	38%	-0.72	-57.9	5.99%	0	-0.6	21	NAN
14	Jul_13_2010	347.33	198.35	168.93	170.5	170.37	173.16	181.44(4.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	31	110	63	-64	0.02	38%	-0.74	-54.5	5.97%	0	-0.4	22	NAN
15	Jul_12_2010	349.91	201.14	168.26	167.33	167.52	168.12	174.24(5.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	30	8	-128	0.02	39%	-0.6	-63.6	5.93%	0	-0.7	14	NAN

16	Jul_9_2010	352.01	204.69	168.62	165.89	167.43	167.58	165.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0	-35	30	7	-160	0.01	39%	-0.62	-72.7	5.9%	0	-1	8	NAN
17	Jul_8_2010	354.19	209.78	173.24	165.6	167.25	166.92	165.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-43	20	2	-177	0.01	39%	-0.6	-80.5	5.9%	0	-1.1	7	NAN
18	Jul_7_2010	356.33	215.84	179	166.46	165.99	167.28	165.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0	-53	50	-8	-189	0.01	39%	-0.62	-79.1	5.91%	0	-1.2	7	NAN
19	Jul_6_2010	358.54	222.29	185.38	167.04	166.86	167.58	165.6(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0	-35	30	17	-192	0.03	39%	-0.61	-77	5.91%	0	-1.3	6	NAN
20	Jul_2_2010	360.74	230.1	193.25	169.34	167.31	164.7	167.04(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-74	-150	-31	-201	0.01	39%	-0.6	-64.8	5.89%	0	-1.2	31	NAN

21	Jul_1_2010	362.92	238.82	200.87	171.86	169.92	166.14	164.16(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-104	-190	-69	-208	0.03	39%	-0.59	-57.3	5.92%	0	-1.3	28	NAN
22	Jun_30_2010	365.09	249.21	209.89	182.23	173.41	169.92	169.92(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-142	-290	-119	-211	0.02	39%	-0.59	-51.7	5.88%	0	-1.4	26	NAN
23	Jun_29_2010	367.27	256.25	219.12	193.75	186.55	173.7	168.48(-4.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-144	-590	-126	-197	0.05	39%	-0.58	-50.6	5.88%	0	-1.7	23	NAN
24	Jun_28_2010	369.4	262.73	230.4	206.64	201.76	176.9	177.12(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-285	-930	-298	-244	0.03	39%	-0.61	-48.9	5.86%	0	-1.7	23	NAN
25	Jun_25_2010	371.66	269.63	237.19	220.75	218.21	199.4	179.64(-16.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-326	-640	-347	-262	0.11	39%		-45.5	5.86%	0	-2	21	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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