Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 30, 2009

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $614.8800 (-0.47%) ($610.5600 - $643.6800) on Wed. Sep. 30, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.65% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $614.8800(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(26%)    VWO(22%)    XOP(22%)    EEM(21%)    EWG(21%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(0%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.825% (StdDev 3.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $616.61(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $616.68(-0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $576.08(6.74%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   29.4%
Market Cap   $204.766b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 8.95% (three month std-dev: 3.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.64%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.63%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.42%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2009	553.68	576.08	616.68	616.61	618.84	620.28	614.88(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	92	30	85	114	0.01	78%	0.33	43	3.65%	0	0.8	72	0
2	Sep_29_2009	551.84	570.59	615.55	623.52	622.44	611.46	617.76(3.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-67	-130	-112	68	0.01	78%	0.29	42.7	3.7%	0	0.9	71	0
3	Sep_28_2009	550.27	565.91	610.7	620.64	622.44	617.4	599.04(-3.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-155	-70	-218	35	0.01	78%	0.22	39.3	3.69%	0	0.6	70	0
4	Sep_25_2009	549.04	563.13	608.34	622.08	626.67	633.42	623.52(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	100	13	155	0.01	83%	0.29	37.9	3.66%	0	1.2	79	0
5	Sep_24_2009	547.45	559.08	598.12	619.78	621.09	635.94	627.84(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	287	170	292	273	0.01	83%	0.27	36.8	3.69%	0	1.4	81	0

6	Sep_23_2009	545.95	554.74	587.95	616.61	612.27	619.92	649.44(7.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	255	70	249	272	0.01	83%	0.3	33.5	3.68%	0	2	89	0
7	Sep_22_2009	544.29	548.9	575.52	607.1	605.61	606.24	603.36(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	129	-0	101	214	0	71%	0.24	33.9	3.61%	0	1.3	73	0
8	Sep_21_2009	543	546.09	567.86	599.33	596.97	604.62	606.24(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	100	80	71	186	0.01	71%	0.28	33.4	3.76%	0	1.5	66	0
9	Sep_18_2009	541.47	544.19	557.49	592.13	588.33	604.98	612(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	333	180	351	278	0.01	71%	0.29	33.8	3.76%	0	1.8	61	0
10	Sep_17_2009	539.9	541.37	545.6	572.54	572.67	589.32	612(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	373	200	412	254	0.01	71%	0.27	21.3	3.8%	0	2	60	0

11	Sep_16_2009	538.44	539.49	531.77	554.69	552.06	571.68	601.92(6.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	284	230	322	169	0.01	59%	0.31	11.7	3.79%	0	1.9	59	0
12	Sep_15_2009	536.8	535.26	521.22	539.71	539.28	556.02	564.48(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	317	210	372	153	0.01	55%	0.22	-5.7	4.07%	0	1	54	0
13	Sep_14_2009	535.62	533.27	516.74	531.94	529.02	532.44	570.24(10.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	150	30	181	57	0.01	55%	0.22	-20.9	4.1%	0	1.3	52	0
14	Sep_11_2009	534.43	531.77	513.33	518.11	522.54	522.54	514.08(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	30	16	-42	0	54%	0.15	-39.8	3.87%	0	-0.6	32	0
15	Sep_10_2009	533.64	534.11	516.43	514.08	515.9	525.6	522.72(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	80	140	111	-13	0	47%	0.13	-44.4	4.02%	0	-0.4	38	0

16	Sep_9_2009	532.96	535.73	518.64	504.58	507.35	522.54	527.04(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	209	230	269	29	0.01	57%	0.1	-56.8	4.2%	0	-0.3	35	0
17	Sep_8_2009	532.42	536.93	519.9	504.58	497.63	506.2	525.6(4.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	112	110	153	-10	0.01	57%	0.29	-68.1	4.84%	0	-0.4	53	0
18	Sep_4_2009	530.88	539.32	522.39	499.68	496.28	492.16	501.12(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-44	-80	-32	-80	0	58%	0.07	-69	4.84%	0	-1.3	48	0
19	Sep_3_2009	530.53	542.98	529.9	508.61	505.44	489.06	493.92(3.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-197	-250	-217	-137	0	58%	0.07	-64.9	4.84%	0	-1.7	42	0
20	Sep_2_2009	530.18	546.76	537.21	519.55	520.2	500.4	475.2(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-277	-260	-315	-163	0.01	58%	0.05	-62.2	4.82%	0	-2.7	36	0

21	Sep_1_2009	529.91	552.14	548.73	534.24	533.25	521.82	502.56(-4.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-218	-160	-253	-114	0.01	64%	0.12	-56	4.78%	0	-2.2	41	0
22	Aug_31_2009	529.28	556.75	551.6	542.3	542.25	540	525.6(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-73	-30	-83	-42	0.01	64%	-0.01	-48.5	4.83%	0	-1.5	46	0
23	Aug_28_2009	529.32	560.26	552.31	548.06	547.11	544.68	545.76(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-40	-34	-25	0	66%	0.23	-45	4.87%	0	-0.7	44	0
24	Aug_27_2009	528.11	561.85	552.45	554.69	552.06	544.5	548.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-91	-110	-104	-50	0	66%	0.33	-39.2	4.92%	0	-0.7	45	0
25	Aug_26_2009	526.36	563.74	553.7	558.14	560.25	549.53	548.64(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-126	-120	-146	-64	0	66%		-34.1	4.93%	0	-0.8	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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