Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $527.0400 (0.27%) ($495.3600 - $545.7600) on Wed. Sep. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.2% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $527.0400(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(26%)    EEM(22%)    VWO(22%)    XOP(22%)    EWG(21%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.1% (StdDev 4.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $499.01(-5.32%)
Resistance Level   $535.73
5 Day Moving Average   $504.58(4.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $518.64(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $535.73(-1.62%)
To recent high   -24.2%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $175.514b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.23% (three month std-dev: 4.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.52%(50%) Average negative next day return: -6.6%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 12.35%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.19%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.23%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.89%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2009	532.96	535.73	518.64	504.58	507.35	522.54	527.04(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	209	230	269	29	0.01	57%	0.1	-56.8	4.2%	0	-0.3	35	0
2	Sep_8_2009	532.42	536.93	519.9	504.58	497.63	506.2	525.6(4.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	112	110	153	-10	0.01	57%	0.29	-68.1	4.84%	0	-0.4	53	0
3	Sep_4_2009	530.88	539.32	522.39	499.68	496.28	492.16	501.12(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-44	-80	-32	-80	0	58%	0.07	-69	4.84%	0	-1.3	48	0
4	Sep_3_2009	530.53	542.98	529.9	508.61	505.44	489.06	493.92(3.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-197	-250	-217	-137	0	58%	0.07	-64.9	4.84%	0	-1.7	42	0
5	Sep_2_2009	530.18	546.76	537.21	519.55	520.2	500.4	475.2(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-277	-260	-315	-163	0.01	58%	0.05	-62.2	4.82%	0	-2.7	36	0

6	Sep_1_2009	529.91	552.14	548.73	534.24	533.25	521.82	502.56(-4.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-218	-160	-253	-114	0.01	64%	0.12	-56	4.78%	0	-2.2	41	0
7	Aug_31_2009	529.28	556.75	551.6	542.3	542.25	540	525.6(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-73	-30	-83	-42	0.01	64%	-0.01	-48.5	4.83%	0	-1.5	46	0
8	Aug_28_2009	529.32	560.26	552.31	548.06	547.11	544.68	545.76(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-40	-34	-25	0	66%	0.23	-45	4.87%	0	-0.7	44	0
9	Aug_27_2009	528.11	561.85	552.45	554.69	552.06	544.5	548.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-91	-110	-104	-50	0	66%	0.33	-39.2	4.92%	0	-0.7	45	0
10	Aug_26_2009	526.36	563.74	553.7	558.14	560.25	549.53	548.64(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-126	-120	-146	-64	0	66%	0.35	-34.1	4.93%	0	-0.8	47	0

11	Aug_25_2009	524.53	564.95	554.45	565.92	566.55	559.61	542.88(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-96	-80	-113	-46	0	66%	0.3	-19.6	4.95%	0	-1.1	44	0
12	Aug_24_2009	522.97	567	555.48	561.89	566.82	570.96	554.4(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	29	80	38	2	0	66%	0.31	-21.6	4.98%	0	-0.6	42	0
13	Aug_21_2009	521.35	569.27	557.44	556.42	557.01	573.48	578.88(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	148	210	181	48	0	66%	0.39	-24.3	4.95%	0	0.5	45	0
14	Aug_20_2009	519.34	569.82	556.45	549.79	546.03	562.68	565.92(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	207	190	253	68	0.01	66%	0.42	-27.9	4.99%	0	-0.2	48	0
15	Aug_19_2009	517.15	570.58	556.25	548.93	540.99	540.54	587.52(12.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	81	-50	106	4	0.01	66%	0.48	-27.2	4.96%	0	0.8	49	0

16	Aug_18_2009	514.68	568.86	554.66	542.59	542.88	529.38	522.72(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-162	-170	-176	-119	0	64%	0.37	-37.3	4.73%	0	-2.2	37	0
17	Aug_17_2009	512.79	571.44	561.75	548.35	549.9	541.44	527.04(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-192	-100	-214	-125	0	64%	0.38	-23.6	4.79%	0	-2.4	35	0
18	Aug_14_2009	510.86	574.39	568.76	558.14	558	556.38	545.76(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-58	-20	-59	-53	0	64%	0.28	2.7	4.78%	0	-1.9	34	0
19	Aug_13_2009	509.44	575.68	572.14	563.62	563.4	558.36	561.6(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-60	-38	-42	0	64%	0.31	28.6	4.79%	0	-1	41	0
20	Aug_12_2009	507.89	576.42	574.72	564.48	567.27	559.62	555.84(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-109	-80	-121	-73	0	64%	0.32	50.4	4.86%	0	-1.5	44	0

21	Aug_11_2009	506.29	576.77	576.58	568.8	571.68	568.44	551.52(-4.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-92	-20	-103	-57	0	64%	0.24	54.3	4.93%	0	-1.4	53	0
22	Aug_10_2009	505.06	575.76	579.99	577.15	576.9	568.44	576(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-30	-28	-15	0	64%	0.4	58.4	4.92%	0	0	53	0
23	Aug_7_2009	503.07	574.02	582.42	581.18	581.04	574.92	573.12(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-70	-62	-20	0	64%	0.3	53.5	4.92%	0	-0	49	0
24	Aug_6_2009	501.59	571.76	584.45	582.05	584.46	578.88	565.92(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-80	-50	-97	-28	0	64%	0.31	36.7	4.94%	0	-0.2	52	0
25	Aug_5_2009	500.06	569.5	586.29	586.37	586.17	587.16	577.44(-2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-25	10	-34	4	0	64%		23.6	4.93%	0	0.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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