Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 10, 2009

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $522.7200 (1.68%) ($506.8800 - $531.3600) on Fri. Jul. 10, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $522.7200(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(26%)    EEM(22%)    VWO(22%)    XOP(22%)    EWG(21%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(-0%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.5% (StdDev 5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $565.9
5 Day Moving Average   $533.95(-2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $561.03(-6.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $565.9(-7.63%)
To recent high   -24.8%
To recent low   28.3%
Market Cap   $174.075b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 6.6% (three month std-dev: 5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.78%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.29%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -6.74%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -7%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2009	462.05	565.9	561.03	533.95	536.49	523.98	522.72(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-175	-150	-198	-105	0	60%	0.19	-62.6	5%	0	-1.2	45	0
2	Jul_9_2009	461.17	573.35	567.36	546.34	547.02	536.58	514.08(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-198	-130	-230	-100	0.01	65%	0.13	-33.8	5.04%	0	-1.4	42	0
3	Jul_8_2009	460.56	578.98	572.71	565.06	562.77	549	534.24(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-146	-180	-176	-54	0.01	65%	0.09	-13.2	5.27%	0	-1.1	51	0
4	Jul_7_2009	460.14	586.7	574.22	578.59	577.98	557.46	548.64(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-194	-250	-237	-63	0.01	65%	0.2	11.1	5.25%	0	-0.8	53	0
5	Jul_6_2009	459.23	588.75	571.8	583.78	587.07	576.54	550.08(-5.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-205	-110	-246	-82	0.01	65%	-0.06	20.7	5.31%	0	-0.8	39	0

6	Jul_2_2009	459.52	590.29	573.16	591.55	593.19	598.5	584.64(-3.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	70	19	15	0	71%	0.12	35	5.22%	0	-0.1	39	0
7	Jul_1_2009	458.96	588.3	571.32	591.26	591.48	597.6	607.68(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	126	70	152	48	0.01	71%	0.19	42.4	5.28%	0	0.4	39	0
8	Jun_30_2009	458.08	584.62	564.66	581.76	581.94	587.88	601.92(4.76%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	59	70	80	-6	0.01	71%	0.07	41.3	5.24%	0	0.4	48	0
9	Jun_29_2009	457.77	581.47	558.88	569.66	573.66	585.36	574.56(-2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	128	160	173	-8	0.03	71%	0.01	40.6	5.23%	0	-0.1	37	0
10	Jun_26_2009	457.74	579.23	563.71	557.86	560.56	576	588.96(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	150	210	199	3	0.02	62%	0.11	38.7	5.65%	0	0.2	53	0

11	Jun_25_2009	457.24	574.55	569.65	552.1	547.15	561.96	583.2(4.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	124	160	166	-3	0.01	62%	0.13	37.1	5.65%	0	0.1	54	0
12	Jun_24_2009	456.64	568.71	577.95	548.93	544.36	545.13	560.16(3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	81	-20	111	-8	0.01	58%	0.07	34.5	5.65%	0	-0.1	56	0
13	Jun_23_2009	456.33	565.12	584.24	545.47	545.26	532.35	541.44(5.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-107	-170	-113	-87	0.01	62%	0.02	33.3	5.72%	0	-0.4	56	0
14	Jun_22_2009	456.24	561.76	599.13	546.62	547.83	543.6	515.52(-7.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-142	-50	-162	-81	0.01	62%	-0.09	34.4	5.9%	0	-0.7	53	0
15	Jun_19_2009	456.66	559.09	607.27	569.95	552.69	558.18	560.16(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-20	-66	-11	0.02	61%	-0.02	44.6	5.97%	0	0	59	0

16	Jun_18_2009	456.73	553.31	609.65	590.11	573.66	552.06	567.36(4.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-76	-350	-104	8	0.02	61%	-0.07	50.9	5.97%	0	0.2	64	0
17	Jun_17_2009	457.04	547.95	608.01	612.29	600.12	547.2	542.88(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-451	-680	-557	-134	0.01	61%	-0.02	61.8	5.98%	0	-0.1	66	0
18	Jun_16_2009	457.13	543.91	608.27	628.7	629.26	595.26	547.2(-13.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-515	-380	-640	-138	0.07	61%	0.01	68.6	6.01%	0	0	62	0
19	Jun_15_2009	457.1	539.44	608.54	658.37	658.15	653.04	632.16(-4.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-103	-60	-174	110	0	67%	0.16	78.9	5.74%	0	1.1	73	0
20	Jun_12_2009	456.35	528.88	598.09	648.86	675.43	653.04	660.96(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	163	-0	135	247	0	67%	0.25	71.9	5.71%	0	1.6	78	0

21	Jun_11_2009	455.22	516.93	580.93	631.58	651.58	663.26	678.24(8.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-7	220	-65	167	0.01	70%	0.2	66.2	5.71%	0	2	81	0
22	Jun_10_2009	454.29	502.98	558.6	603.65	626.49	687.6	624.96(-10.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	534	800	581	394	0.02	70%	0.18	55.1	5.91%	0	1.6	73	0
23	Jun_9_2009	453.48	493.08	543.82	584.64	593.64	639.9	695.52(18.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	803	590	899	513	0.03	75%	0.55	46.9	5.79%	0	2.9	83	0
24	Jun_8_2009	450.99	480.42	519.25	552.67	548.28	565.38	584.64(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	234	190	237	226	0	71%	0.03	44	5.39%	0	2.1	77	0
25	Jun_5_2009	450.84	474.47	505.17	540.29	537.21	547.38	574.56(6.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	233	120	237	219	0	63%		44.6	5.45%	0	2.3	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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