Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 5, 2009

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $486.7200 (2.11%) ($470.8800 - $491.0400) on Tue. May. 5, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.82% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $486.7200(2.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(27%)    VWO(23%)    EEM(22%)    EWG(22%)    QQQ(22%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -3.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.41% (StdDev 6.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $469.44(3.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $459.04(6.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $448.79(8.45%)
To recent high   -14.9%
To recent low   70.7%
Market Cap   $162.087b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 6.35% (three month std-dev: 6.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.27%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 14.08%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 9.95%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2009	473.72	448.79	459.04	469.44	469.44	475.92	486.72(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	99	100	113	55	0	49%	-0.05	86.1	6.82%	0	1.3	57	NAN
2	May_4_2009	473.97	444.03	457.25	460.22	464.58	464.22	476.64(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	20	42	22	0	49%	-0.17	83.2	6.83%	0	1.1	58	NAN
3	May_1_2009	474.8	440.05	454.22	454.75	457.92	462.96	456.48(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	100	-8	-3	0	49%	-0.18	86.6	6.72%	0	0.5	56	NAN
4	Apr_30_2009	475.65	436.5	454.3	454.18	456.48	464.94	457.92(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	93	140	108	48	0	49%	-0.21	77.6	6.77%	0	0.7	60	NAN
5	Apr_29_2009	476.67	431.48	455	449.86	452.79	452.88	469.44(6.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	20	54	38	0	49%	-0.14	57.8	6.77%	0	1	74	NAN

6	Apr_28_2009	477.33	425.5	453.78	447.26	449.19	448.02	440.64(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-41	-10	-57	8	0	49%	-0.3	45.3	6.74%	0	0.4	72	NAN
7	Apr_27_2009	478.76	420.67	454.72	453.89	453.24	452.7	449.28(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10	14	56	0	49%	-0.25	35.9	6.83%	0	0.7	66	NAN
8	Apr_24_2009	479.97	415.36	454.07	453.6	453.96	450.36	453.6(3.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	-50	-18	53	0	49%	-0.2	29.6	6.78%	0	0.8	65	NAN
9	Apr_23_2009	480.92	412.79	451.74	454.46	452.16	453.78	436.32(-4.42%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-31	10	-58	49	0	49%	-0.6	28.8	6.82%	0	0.5	66	NAN
10	Apr_22_2009	483.8	411.34	446.75	460.51	458.28	457.56	456.48(-3.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	62	-30	47	107	0	49%	-0.38	32.7	6.8%	0	1	75	NAN

11	Apr_21_2009	485.66	408.24	438.6	461.09	459.18	450.54	473.76(5.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-19	-140	-51	78	0	49%	-0.23	35	6.83%	0	1.5	80	NAN
12	Apr_20_2009	486.8	405.56	430.26	455.9	457.47	459	447.84(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-23	30	-58	84	0	49%	-0.38	40.1	6.86%	0	1	80	NAN
13	Apr_17_2009	488.67	402.11	425.16	454.46	456.21	467.82	457.92(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	146	190	136	177	0.01	49%	-0.07	41.1	6.87%	0	1.4	82	NAN
14	Apr_16_2009	488.99	400.12	417.52	448.42	445.86	455.94	466.56(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	159	140	154	174	0	49%	-0.29	44.1	6.93%	0	1.7	60	NAN
15	Apr_15_2009	490.4	397.12	406.02	430.56	431.91	444.6	459.36(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	150	220	154	139	0	49%	-0.08	39.7	6.96%	0	1.7	58	NAN

16	Apr_14_2009	490.78	393.53	394.55	412.42	413.73	435.78	447.84(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	177	380	195	122	0	49%	-0.15	38.6	6.97%	0	1.7	59	NAN
17	Apr_13_2009	491.53	389.64	383.35	400.9	397.98	419.22	440.64(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	202	350	234	104	0	54%	0.46	43.1	7.07%	0	1.7	51	NAN
18	Apr_9_2009	489.27	386.18	372.84	391.97	390.33	391.68	427.68(13.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	107	10	128	42	0.01	54%	0.11	50.6	7.37%	0	1.5	58	NAN
19	Apr_8_2009	488.73	383.79	369.66	382.75	385.47	376.74	377.28(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-74	-140	-79	-57	0	50%	-0.29	61.4	7.16%	0	-0.2	44	NAN
20	Apr_7_2009	490.17	383.42	372.46	377.57	384.93	388.99	368.64(-5.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	130	-1	-33	0	50%	-0.31	51.1	7.2%	0	-0.5	45	NAN

21	Apr_6_2009	491.67	381.33	375.27	372.96	377.37	394.21	390.24(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	116	350	147	22	0	50%	-0.32	34.7	7.23%	0	0.3	51	NAN
22	Apr_3_2009	493.26	376.98	378.58	362.3	366.03	380.88	396(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	164	310	205	42	0	50%	-0.41	18.5	7.2%	0	0.5	56	NAN
23	Apr_2_2009	495.27	372.77	376.93	350.78	352.8	360.54	381.6(8.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	47	170	71	-24	0.01	50%	-0.31	-0.8	7.24%	0	0.2	54	NAN
24	Apr_1_2009	496.79	368.34	381	355.68	350.28	351.18	351.36(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-30	-28	-51	0	47%	-0.43	-10	7.25%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
25	Mar_31_2009	498.92	368.84	387.53	367.49	365.13	345.07	345.6(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-80	-400	-89	-53	0.01	47%		-7.5	7.31%	0	-0.6	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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