Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 30, 2008

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1203.8400 (-1.53%) ($1175.0400 - $1231.2000) on Wed. Jul. 30, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.94% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $1203.8400(-1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(37%)    EEM(33%)    SPY(33%)    VWO(33%)    QQQ(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.97% (StdDev 3.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $1171.01(2.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1161.61(3.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1094.3(10.01%)
To recent high   -18.4%
To recent low   23.9%
Market Cap   $400.901b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 7.27% (three month std-dev: 3.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.24%(33%) Average negative next day return: 0%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.51%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.87%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2008	1142.71	1094.3	1161.61	1171.01	1177.11	1197.36	1203.84(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	406	140	449	277	0	52%	0.32	40	3.94%	0	1.4	68	0
2	Jul_29_2008	1139.07	1083.95	1151.04	1169.57	1162.35	1170.9	1222.56(7.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	181	30	180	184	0	52%	0.36	36.7	3.94%	0	1.8	71	0
3	Jul_28_2008	1135.01	1073.41	1130.23	1160.35	1162.62	1156.86	1133.28(-4.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	76	-30	58	129	0	48%	0.22	31.4	3.81%	0	0.8	58	0
4	Jul_25_2008	1132.47	1071.29	1118.05	1159.49	1160.46	1153.8	1190.88(7.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-92	-40	-141	54	0.01	50%	0.22	32.2	3.77%	0	1.7	69	0
5	Jul_24_2008	1130.02	1063.75	1099.9	1144.51	1154.79	1168.38	1104.48(-7.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	85	110	70	129	0	46%	0.05	24.4	3.64%	0	0.6	59	0

6	Jul_23_2008	1129.46	1063.33	1091.93	1149.12	1148.13	1167.12	1196.64(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	482	110	532	332	0	57%	0.16	24.2	3.52%	0	2.1	73	0
7	Jul_22_2008	1127.68	1056.23	1072.02	1129.25	1130.13	1141.2	1176.48(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	327	70	357	238	0	57%	0.13	8.5	3.86%	0	2.2	67	0
8	Jul_21_2008	1126.24	1051.6	1059.14	1095.84	1106.28	1129.14	1128.96(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	360	170	402	235	0	55%	0.09	-16.9	3.85%	0	1.6	61	0
9	Jul_18_2008	1125.24	1049.32	1045.61	1069.92	1073.16	1119.06	1116(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	592	310	685	312	0	57%	0.05	-37.7	3.85%	0	1.4	50	0
10	Jul_17_2008	1124.67	1048.4	1036.49	1048.32	1045.98	1083.42	1127.52(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	803	240	940	393	0	54%	0.07	-53.2	3.89%	0	1.7	56	0

11	Jul_16_2008	1123.9	1048.18	1020.44	1026.43	1019.07	1027.26	1097.28(8.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	257	30	308	104	0	56%	0.02	-64.1	3.91%	0	1	49	0
12	Jul_15_2008	1123.71	1051.53	1010.04	1007.42	1011.33	1008.54	1009.44(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-98	-10	-102	-86	0.01	54%	-0.04	-66.2	3.8%	0	-0.8	45	0
13	Jul_14_2008	1124.21	1060.08	1011.22	1017.5	1019.7	1010.88	999.36(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-50	-60	-73	0	54%	-0.06	-60	3.83%	0	-1	42	0
14	Jul_11_2008	1124.84	1067.68	1020.69	1016.93	1022.04	1014.12	1008(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-182	-40	-200	-129	0	54%	-0.11	-70	3.84%	0	-0.9	43	0
15	Jul_10_2008	1126.06	1074.31	1025.01	1021.82	1023.3	1028.52	1018.08(1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	6	40	22	-44	0	54%	-0.13	-90.3	3.86%	0	-0.9	42	0

16	Jul_9_2008	1127.58	1080.32	1033.09	1012.61	1018.71	1029.96	1002.24(-5.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	192	100	245	32	0	54%	-0.13	-109.6	3.85%	0	-1.2	38	0
17	Jul_8_2008	1129	1090.05	1040.03	1012.32	1007.1	1018.08	1059.84(6.36%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	147	60	197	-3	0.01	57%	-0.06	-117	3.79%	0	-0.5	38	0
18	Jul_7_2008	1129.71	1098.8	1043.53	1004.83	1000.35	1007.46	996.48(-3.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	9	40	40	-86	0.01	54%	-0.15	-117.8	3.71%	0	-1.4	31	0
19	Jul_3_2008	1131.44	1113.9	1053.69	1025.86	1012.95	996.12	1032.48(6.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-110	-150	-102	-135	0.01	59%	-0.16	-79.4	3.71%	0	-0.7	38	0
20	Jul_2_2008	1133.28	1134.7	1061.35	1029.89	1030.05	993.24	972(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-604	-250	-682	-369	0.01	56%	-0.15	-72.5	3.69%	0	-1.4	32	0

21	Jul_1_2008	1135	1154.03	1078.68	1056.67	1051.38	1029.78	1000.8(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-619	-160	-706	-359	0.01	56%	-0.14	-69.6	3.67%	0	-1.3	35	0
22	Jun_30_2008	1136.54	1171.64	1096.92	1070.78	1075.05	1066.86	1022.4(-7.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-139	-40	-144	-125	0.01	56%	-0.09	-66.1	3.66%	0	-1.2	31	0
23	Jun_27_2008	1137.61	1191.21	1113.65	1086.91	1081.44	1072.98	1101.6(4.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-181	-70	-194	-143	0.02	61%	-0.04	-57.5	3.54%	0	-0.7	33	0
24	Jun_26_2008	1138.05	1208.26	1118.64	1086.05	1087.29	1083.24	1052.64(-4.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-159	-20	-161	-151	0.01	58%	-0.07	-52.3	3.52%	0	-1.2	21	0
25	Jun_25_2008	1138.86	1226.36	1128.06	1097.86	1094.31	1089.9	1105.92(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-102	-40	-84	-154	0.01	62%		-47.3	3.49%	0	-0.9	17	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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