Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 13, 2007

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1226.8800 (-4.27%) ($1225.4400 - $1311.8400) on Mon. Aug. 13, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.91% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $1226.8800(-4.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 9.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.455% (StdDev 2.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $1260(-2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1175.55(4.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1149.38(6.74%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   31.7%
Market Cap   $408.573b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 7.2% (three month std-dev: 2.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_13_2007	1086.6	1149.38	1175.55	1260	1272.92	1268.64	1226.88(-4.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-64	10	-132	141	0.01	72%	0.25	30.7	2.91%	0	0.9	64	0
2	Aug_10_2007	1083.84	1146.76	1160.94	1230.62	1237.64	1298.43	1281.6(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	832	360	934	527	0.01	77%	0.32	20.4	2.85%	0	1.6	58	0
3	Aug_9_2007	1080.34	1141.91	1135.99	1188	1186.7	1277.19	1308.96(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	2055	530	2394	1039	0.03	79%	0.37	7.3	2.87%	0	2.2	58	0
4	Aug_8_2007	1076.34	1134.2	1108.59	1145.09	1127.43	1176.84	1311.84(12.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	1478	260	1735	705	0.02	79%	0.39	-9.7	2.93%	0	2.6	57	0
5	Aug_7_2007	1072.12	1125.55	1083.41	1103.04	1094.94	1096.2	1170.72(8.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	375	-10	457	127	0.01	74%	0.26	-35.5	2.55%	0	0.8	47	0

6	Aug_6_2007	1069.35	1124.56	1074.32	1080.86	1087.74	1078.02	1080(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-321	-40	-346	-246	0.01	70%	0.18	-46.9	2.34%	0	-0.8	35	0
7	Aug_3_2007	1067.42	1130.24	1082.11	1080.58	1088.64	1093.68	1068.48(-2.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	50	9	-111	0.01	70%	0.14	-43.2	2.34%	0	-1.1	32	0
8	Aug_2_2007	1065.89	1136.37	1093.19	1073.95	1082.07	1097.46	1094.4(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	398	120	505	77	0.01	74%	0.16	-45.3	2.38%	0	-0.8	32	0
9	Aug_1_2007	1064.17	1140.86	1102.42	1064.74	1065.67	1083.6	1101.6(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	366	120	469	55	0.01	66%	0.16	-46.6	2.39%	0	-0.7	39	0
10	Jul_31_2007	1062.47	1145.64	1109.89	1060.99	1056.76	1066.68	1059.84(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	255	50	340	-1	0	64%	0.07	-41.4	2.36%	0	-1.5	35	0

11	Jul_30_2007	1061.69	1151.71	1121.57	1067.33	1061.17	1047.74	1078.56(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-189	-110	-186	-198	0.01	64%	0.07	-36.8	2.44%	0	-1.4	38	0
12	Jul_27_2007	1060.9	1155.32	1132.45	1085.18	1076.74	1046.84	1035.36(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-911	-220	-1040	-524	0.01	61%	0.07	-27.8	2.41%	0	-2.4	24	0
13	Jul_26_2007	1060.18	1162.08	1150.1	1115.71	1112.17	1074.6	1048.32(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-943	-250	-1089	-506	0.01	61%	0.06	-11	2.43%	0	-2.8	27	0
14	Jul_25_2007	1059.56	1167.54	1164.08	1145.37	1145.29	1106.64	1082.88(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-1064	-240	-1240	-535	0.01	65%	0.12	14.9	2.39%	0	-2.6	33	0
15	Jul_24_2007	1058.3	1169.38	1173.05	1165.53	1171.12	1149.73	1091.51(-6.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-784	-110	-916	-389	0.01	65%	0.17	31.9	2.4%	0	-2.6	32	0

16	Jul_23_2007	1056.48	1171.33	1180.96	1182.53	1186.42	1183.93	1167.84(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-185	-0	-216	-92	0	77%	0.21	53.3	2.26%	0	-0.1	50	0
17	Jul_20_2007	1054.3	1169.36	1183.7	1186.56	1186.42	1192.5	1188(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	67	30	76	41	0.01	77%	0.22	58.1	2.28%	0	0.6	62	0
18	Jul_19_2007	1052.01	1166.63	1183.73	1190.3	1188.18	1188.9	1196.64(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	124	-0	139	78	0.01	77%	0.2	68.7	2.28%	0	1	59	0
19	Jul_18_2007	1049.94	1162.74	1182.28	1186.56	1186.2	1183.86	1183.68(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-49	-10	-65	0	0.01	77%	0.16	73.1	2.28%	0	0.7	60	0
20	Jul_17_2007	1048.29	1159.97	1183.54	1182.24	1185.4	1187.46	1176.48(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	66	20	65	67	0.01	77%	0.05	79.5	2.3%	0	0.5	66	0

21	Jul_16_2007	1047.76	1157.26	1183.44	1178.78	1178.83	1188.54	1188(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	139	60	149	108	0.01	81%	0.06	86.3	2.33%	0	1	65	0
22	Jul_13_2007	1047.1	1152.84	1179.06	1180.22	1175.86	1183.34	1206.72(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	246	30	274	162	0.01	81%	0.09	89.8	2.46%	0	1.6	66	0
23	Jul_12_2007	1046.13	1146.82	1173.9	1176.77	1177.3	1169.12	1177.92(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-4	-50	-21	46	0.01	81%	0.05	91.4	2.44%	0	0.9	60	0
24	Jul_11_2007	1045.57	1141.1	1170.56	1177.92	1180.17	1168.38	1162.08(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-363	-60	-445	-116	0.01	81%	0.08	80.1	2.44%	0	0.6	61	0
25	Jul_10_2007	1044.78	1136.14	1165.41	1185.12	1187.46	1185.48	1159.2(-3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-122	-10	-164	3	0.01	81%		73.3	2.44%	0	0.6	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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