Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 28, 2007

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1199.5200 (-4.25%) ($1195.2000 - $1268.6400) on Wed. Mar. 28, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.42% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $1199.5200(-4.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 5.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.21% (StdDev 4.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $1076.83(11.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $997.39(20.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $977.33(22.73%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   42.2%
Market Cap   $399.462b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 9.16% (three month std-dev: 4.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_28_2007	961.89	977.33	997.39	1076.83	1106.46	1238.4	1199.52(-4.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	1540	920	1783	809	0.02	69%	0.25	7.5	4.42%	0	2.5	70	0
2	Mar_27_2007	959.45	965.63	968.15	1020.38	1033.74	1126.62	1252.8(20.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	2026	670	2370	992	0.1	70%	0.35	-19.5	4.37%	0	3.8	71	0
3	Mar_26_2007	956.14	952.14	933.12	949.54	946.98	974.52	1036.8(8.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	588	200	698	258	0.01	61%	0.12	-66.9	3.51%	0	1.6	59	0
4	Mar_23_2007	955.02	955.14	926.01	921.89	923.4	940.86	956.16(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	356	140	430	133	0	58%	0.03	-63	3.37%	0	0	58	0
5	Mar_22_2007	954.77	962.63	929.38	908.93	911.79	919.44	938.88(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	215	70	266	61	0.01	58%	-0.01	-54.9	3.39%	0	-0.3	48	0

6	Mar_21_2007	954.89	970.66	931.53	904.9	904.5	905.94	917.28(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	10	-18	-58	0.01	60%	-0.04	-47.3	3.38%	0	-0.7	44	0
7	Mar_20_2007	955.27	980.51	938.25	906.62	909.36	904.14	898.56(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-44	-30	-37	-64	0	61%	-0.08	-41.3	3.44%	0	-1.1	37	0
8	Mar_19_2007	956.07	989.77	944.62	913.82	914.85	903.06	898.56(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-268	-90	-300	-173	0	58%	-0.12	-36.7	3.45%	0	-1.2	34	0
9	Mar_16_2007	957.25	996.11	946.97	930.82	928.89	914.58	891.36(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-345	-110	-385	-223	0.01	58%	-0.15	-33.1	3.49%	0	-1.4	25	0
10	Mar_15_2007	958.69	1002.4	953.92	952.7	952.02	926.64	918.72(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-333	-190	-370	-223	0	60%	-0.13	-29.4	3.5%	0	-1.2	27	0

11	Mar_14_2007	959.9	1008.06	958.73	961.92	966.96	943.2	925.92(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-558	-160	-630	-341	0.01	60%	-0.11	-28	3.52%	0	-1.2	29	0
12	Mar_13_2007	960.97	1013.7	965.55	974.3	983.07	977.4	934.56(-4.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-220	-10	-230	-190	0.01	60%	-0.13	-24.8	3.52%	0	-1.2	29	0
13	Mar_12_2007	962.19	1018.86	974.14	979.2	987.57	990.72	983.52(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	100	50	149	-46	0.01	61%	-0.06	-22.4	3.46%	0	-0.6	39	0
14	Mar_9_2007	962.78	1021.14	986.66	965.09	974.7	988.74	1000.8(3.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	139	130	194	-26	0.01	61%	-0.06	-23.4	3.44%	0	-0.3	50	0
15	Mar_8_2007	963.31	1023.32	997.41	955.87	960.3	984.42	964.8(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	307	190	389	59	0.01	60%	-0.1	-21.4	3.44%	0	-1	48	0

16	Mar_7_2007	964.31	1027.01	1011.44	955.58	955.26	960.66	987.84(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	307	40	386	69	0.01	60%	-0.11	-16.3	3.42%	0	-0.7	48	0
17	Mar_6_2007	965.39	1029.78	1024.24	956.74	952.02	936.18	959.04(5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-286	-130	-315	-199	0	60%	-0.12	-10.1	3.4%	0	-1.2	44	0
18	Mar_5_2007	966.59	1032.7	1037.06	969.41	964.08	949.86	912.96(-4.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-518	-120	-593	-292	0.01	58%	-0.13	-3.1	3.34%	0	-2.1	38	0
19	Mar_2_2007	967.8	1035.45	1049.23	1011.74	997.29	967.86	954.72(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-465	-250	-541	-235	0.01	60%	-0.08	26.2	3.27%	0	-1.5	43	0
20	Mar_1_2007	968.6	1036.4	1055.9	1045.44	1036.71	978.3	963.36(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-922	-420	-1087	-427	0.01	59%	-0.06	55	3.29%	0	-1.4	41	0

21	Feb_28_2007	969.14	1036.68	1063.41	1075.1	1073.43	1026.72	993.6(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-1164	-310	-1380	-515	0.01	57%	-0.04	79.9	3.25%	0	-0.8	47	0
22	Feb_27_2007	969.57	1035.71	1068.3	1101.02	1107.36	1095.12	1022.4(-9.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-433	-60	-528	-149	0.01	54%	-0.03	100	3.28%	0	-0.2	50	0
23	Feb_26_2007	969.89	1034.41	1069.92	1113.41	1122.66	1120.14	1124.64(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	200	10	211	168	0	59%	0.06	118.7	3.13%	0	1.6	74	0
24	Feb_23_2007	969.27	1021.72	1059.71	1091.81	1102.86	1119.6	1123.2(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	171	140	179	148	0.01	59%	0.07	95.9	3.13%	0	1.6	80	0
25	Feb_22_2007	968.63	1008.18	1051.13	1068.19	1076.31	1125.18	1111.68(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	781	340	899	428	0.01	59%		78.6	3.15%	0	1.5	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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