Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 22, 2007

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1111.6800 (-1.03%) ($1111.6800 - $1152.0000) on Thu. Feb. 22, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.15% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $1111.6800(-1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.575% (StdDev 3.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $1068.19(4.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1051.13(5.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1008.18(10.27%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   31.7%
Market Cap   $370.21b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 6.77% (three month std-dev: 3.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.53%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.62%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.3%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 9.5%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.51%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2007	968.63	1008.18	1051.13	1068.19	1076.31	1125.18	1111.68(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	781	340	899	428	0.01	59%	0.08	78.6	3.15%	0	1.5	76	NAN
2	Feb_21_2007	967.88	995.59	1042.62	1050.62	1048.14	1086.12	1123.2(3.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	1014	250	1174	535	0.02	59%	0.11	67.7	3.15%	0	1.8	79	NAN
3	Feb_20_2007	966.83	983.31	1033.3	1032.19	1023.85	1027.44	1084.32(6.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	289	0	322	190	0.02	58%	-0.11	62.7	3.12%	0	1.5	73	NAN
4	Feb_16_2007	967.91	972.04	1025.17	1021.25	1019.89	1010.16	1016.64(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-188	-70	-238	-39	0	53%	-0.16	54.7	2.99%	0	0.6	56	NAN
5	Feb_15_2007	969.48	964.93	1018.88	1022.98	1026.64	1020.27	1005.12(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-164	-30	-215	-11	0	55%	-0.16	52	3%	0	0.5	74	NAN

6	Feb_14_2007	971.01	957.23	1014.75	1030.75	1032.04	1029.63	1023.84(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-31	-10	-68	80	0.01	56%	-0.13	51.7	3.02%	0	0.9	78	NAN
7	Feb_13_2007	972.29	949.94	1008.03	1032.48	1033.11	1033.02	1031.04(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-7	0	-47	113	0	56%	-0.13	52.7	3.03%	0	1.1	77	NAN
8	Feb_12_2007	973.52	942.48	1001.26	1034.21	1035.36	1034.46	1029.6(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	54	-0	18	161	0	56%	-0.13	55.1	3.04%	0	1.2	71	NAN
9	Feb_9_2007	974.79	935.29	997.09	1029.6	1035.9	1033.2	1025.28(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	133	0	104	221	0	56%	-0.13	55.2	3.05%	0	1.3	73	NAN
10	Feb_8_2007	976.07	928.26	981.9	1013.47	1021.32	1036.26	1044(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	196	130	182	238	0	57%	-0.14	48.5	3.04%	0	1.7	73	NAN

11	Feb_7_2007	977.42	920.3	962.7	995.9	1000.17	1038.6	1032.48(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	674	280	749	448	0.01	59%	-0.17	44.2	3.06%	0	1.8	74	NAN
12	Feb_6_2007	979.05	912.78	945.26	979.78	978.57	1006.38	1039.68(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	813	200	919	495	0.01	59%	-0.2	37.7	3.08%	0	2.3	68	NAN
13	Feb_5_2007	980.97	904.14	928.84	964.22	959.67	961.74	1006.56(6.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	212	0	216	199	0.01	57%	-0.26	27.3	3.06%	0	2.2	64	NAN
14	Feb_2_2007	983.54	898.21	913.7	961.06	956.16	950.76	944.64(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-37	-50	-76	79	0	54%	-0.34	24.9	2.95%	0	1.1	58	NAN
15	Feb_1_2007	986.87	896.85	906.22	944.93	953.37	957.6	956.16(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	192	60	201	166	0	54%	-0.33	15.5	2.95%	0	1.5	60	NAN

16	Jan_31_2007	990.18	893.93	894.95	923.04	928.62	961.56	951.84(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	423	270	484	241	0.01	53%	-0.34	-3.6	2.95%	0	1.5	58	NAN
17	Jan_30_2007	993.54	892.32	887.03	904.03	903.15	949.14	961.92(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	1001	350	1172	489	0.01	51%	-0.33	-19.4	2.97%	0	1.9	60	NAN
18	Jan_29_2007	996.84	891.36	878.46	887.9	877.41	895.68	990.72(14.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.2	692	110	813	327	0.04	51%	-0.3	-26.2	2.98%	0	3	67	NAN
19	Jan_26_2007	999.84	888.21	867.02	861.41	862.92	857.16	864(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-74	-40	-74	-74	0	42%	-0.45	-53	2.3%	0	-1	41	NAN
20	Jan_25_2007	1004.36	890.69	869.57	862.56	865.17	859.14	846.72(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-193	-40	-212	-137	0	42%	-0.53	-43.3	2.29%	0	-1.5	31	NAN

21	Jan_24_2007	1009.76	895.25	874.5	861.98	865.53	868.68	856.8(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-69	40	-64	-83	0.01	41%	-0.57	-42.2	2.29%	0	-1.3	40	NAN
22	Jan_23_2007	1015.53	899.37	878.15	866.3	865.89	871.2	881.28(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	128	40	168	6	0.01	42%	-0.14	-34.6	2.28%	0	-0.6	38	NAN
23	Jan_22_2007	1016.94	899.97	877.83	867.17	867.78	862.38	858.24(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-40	-40	-98	0.01	40%	-0.55	-33.6	2.25%	0	-1.4	28	NAN
24	Jan_19_2007	1022.54	900.9	882.04	873.79	873.27	860.58	869.76(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-346	-100	-382	-237	0.01	40%	-0.54	-30.6	2.25%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
25	Jan_18_2007	1028.14	903.25	887.39	878.11	880.56	873.18	843.84(-3.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-365	-50	-406	-240	0.01	37%		-25.4	2.21%	0	-2.1	38	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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