Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 17, 2006

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1008.0000 (-1.96%) ($999.3600 - $1029.6000) on Fri. Nov. 17, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.07% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $1008.0000(-1.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.035% (StdDev 2.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $1020.96(-1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1000.45(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $994.01(1.41%)
To recent high   -28.6%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $335.682b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 3.84% (three month std-dev: 2.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2006	1181.59	994.01	1000.45	1020.96	1025.19	1028.88	1008(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-77	40	-123	63	0	34%	-0.26	-20.8	2.07%	0	0.4	57	NAN
2	Nov_16_2006	1184.65	995.28	993.24	1015.2	1017.27	1038.96	1028.16(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	540	160	611	327	0	34%	-0.22	-23	2.07%	0	0.8	51	NAN
3	Nov_15_2006	1187.3	995.95	983.73	1009.15	1004.58	1021.5	1051.2(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	643	100	742	344	0.01	39%	-0.21	-24.2	2.09%	0	1.3	51	NAN
4	Nov_14_2006	1189.79	995.73	973.12	999.07	996.75	995.58	1019.52(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	226	-20	263	114	0	36%	-0.28	-24.4	2.11%	0	0.5	44	NAN
5	Nov_13_2006	1193.16	998.64	966.09	988.7	992.16	987.66	997.92(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-161	-20	-181	-100	0	34%	-0.28	-24.5	2.09%	0	-0	42	NAN

6	Nov_10_2006	1196.48	1002.03	963.29	976.9	988.47	997.92	979.2(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	180	100	232	25	0	34%	-0.29	-29.5	2.08%	0	-0.5	33	NAN
7	Nov_9_2006	1199.93	1004.5	965.77	967.1	975.15	996.66	997.92(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	583	180	713	193	0.01	34%	-0.28	-38.8	2.07%	0	-0.1	39	NAN
8	Nov_8_2006	1203.35	1006.08	967.79	953.86	956.25	979.02	1000.8(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	648	170	798	198	0.01	34%	-0.26	-49.8	2.07%	0	-0.1	37	NAN
9	Nov_7_2006	1206.5	1006.74	970.07	943.78	944.19	953.64	967.68(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	423	70	541	68	0.01	30%	-0.29	-58.1	2.02%	0	-0.8	27	NAN
10	Nov_6_2006	1210.01	1010.23	975.48	940.9	941.58	933.48	938.88(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-176	-60	-156	-236	0	26%	-0.37	-59.3	1.99%	0	-1.5	13	NAN

11	Nov_3_2006	1214.52	1016.14	986.46	948.1	949.32	934.74	930.24(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-558	-100	-607	-410	0	24%	-0.41	-59	2.02%	0	-1.9	18	NAN
12	Nov_2_2006	1219.48	1023.17	997.62	964.22	964.17	949.68	931.68(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-595	-110	-658	-404	0.01	24%	-0.34	-58.2	2.03%	0	-2.2	34	NAN
13	Nov_1_2006	1223.62	1030.06	1009.89	983.52	983.7	963.9	950.4(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-576	-140	-646	-366	0.01	24%	-0.28	-66.5	2.03%	0	-2.3	36	NAN
14	Oct_31_2006	1227.08	1034.96	1021.11	1000.22	1001.7	978.66	953.28(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-735	-160	-843	-409	0.01	24%	-0.34	-79.5	2.03%	0	-2.7	42	NAN
15	Oct_30_2006	1231.29	1039.03	1034.97	1014.91	1016.37	1003.5	974.88(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-623	-80	-722	-325	0.01	25%	-0.37	-105.1	2.02%	0	-2.6	41	NAN

16	Oct_27_2006	1235.83	1043.48	1045.15	1030.18	1028.61	1024.74	1010.88(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-292	-30	-341	-144	0	31%	-0.34	-114.9	2.02%	0	-1.5	43	NAN
17	Oct_26_2006	1239.99	1047.65	1047.49	1035.94	1043.73	1029.24	1028.16(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-136	-70	-157	-71	0	31%	-0.36	-81.6	2.04%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
18	Oct_25_2006	1244.52	1054.12	1048.19	1040.54	1048.68	1032.48	1033.92(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-625	-80	-732	-302	0.01	31%	-0.35	-65.3	2.04%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
19	Oct_24_2006	1248.87	1059.63	1046.69	1045.73	1055.25	1058.22	1026.72(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-279	50	-326	-138	0.01	38%	-0.37	-59.1	2.04%	0	-0.8	49	NAN
20	Oct_23_2006	1253.5	1065.36	1047.9	1058.4	1065.51	1064.88	1051.2(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	233	20	270	122	0.01	39%	-0.4	-52.8	2.17%	0	-0.3	57	NAN

21	Oct_20_2006	1258.5	1069.92	1047.95	1062.72	1066.68	1052.28	1039.68(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-272	-80	-326	-111	0	39%	-0.36	-54.6	2.19%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
22	Oct_19_2006	1263.1	1075.3	1050.45	1060.42	1067.49	1066.14	1051.2(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-214	10	-254	-93	0	43%	-0.36	-63.3	2.2%	0	-0.5	42	NAN
23	Oct_18_2006	1267.69	1079.91	1051.47	1056.38	1061.46	1081.08	1059.84(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	371	140	443	156	0.01	43%	-0.33	-71.2	2.26%	0	-0.4	34	NAN
24	Oct_17_2006	1271.87	1085.24	1049.46	1047.17	1049.04	1068.84	1090.08(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	676	140	812	266	0.01	45%	-0.15	-78.7	2.24%	0	0.1	39	NAN
25	Oct_16_2006	1273.72	1089.67	1042.59	1036.22	1034.1	1041.84	1072.8(4.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	237	50	309	21	0.01	45%		-81.2	2.23%	0	-0.3	38	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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