Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 24, 2006

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1424.1600 (-3.04%) ($1375.2000 - $1497.6000) on Wed. May. 24, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.15% (three month average)
RSI   12
Latest Price   $1424.1600(-3.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -11.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(34%)    VWO(34%)    QQQ(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.575% (StdDev 3.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.9%

Resistance Level   $1763.33
5 Day Moving Average   $1512.86(-5.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1618.49(-12.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1763.33(-19.23%)
To recent high   -29.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $474.271b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 10.13% (three month std-dev: 3.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.33%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 10.76%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.51%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 15.47%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.47%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060624

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_24_2006	1584.94	1763.33	1618.49	1512.86	1517.58	1470.06	1424.16(-3.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-927	-210	-1027	-627	0.01	51%	0.11	-60.5	3.15%	0	-1.9	12	0
2	May_23_2006	1583.15	1792.32	1665.25	1550.02	1557.81	1509.66	1468.8(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1157	-200	-1304	-717	0.01	51%	-0.07	-59.1	3.16%	0	-1.9	16	0
3	May_22_2006	1584.33	1820.94	1709.85	1600.13	1600.65	1565.1	1467.36(-9.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-1030	-150	-1161	-636	0.01	51%	0.16	-54.8	3.16%	0	-2.3	15	0
4	May_19_2006	1581.77	1847.24	1759.49	1653.98	1652.67	1605.96	1617.12(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-800	-200	-896	-511	0	57%	0.24	-51.5	2.91%	0	-1.8	21	0
5	May_18_2006	1577.93	1860.62	1791.86	1684.8	1687.95	1636.2	1586.88(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-1401	-210	-1610	-774	0	57%	0.22	-44.6	2.93%	0	-2.4	23	0

6	May_17_2006	1574.5	1878.53	1826.12	1741.25	1737.72	1699.38	1609.92(-6.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-1116	-160	-1284	-613	0.01	57%	0.24	-26.9	2.94%	0	-2.8	22	0
7	May_16_2006	1570.77	1896.5	1856.71	1797.98	1794.24	1739.7	1719.36(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-958	-220	-1104	-521	0.01	61%	0.1	2.5	2.82%	0	-2.4	24	0
8	May_15_2006	1569.23	1907.32	1879.42	1836.86	1836	1776.06	1736.64(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-1581	-230	-1840	-802	0.01	63%	0.31	43.6	2.82%	0	-2.7	22	0
9	May_12_2006	1564.37	1914.39	1899.89	1880.93	1886.22	1848.78	1771.2(-5.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-1091	-130	-1270	-552	0.01	63%	0.33	97.5	2.8%	0	-2.7	34	0
10	May_11_2006	1559.21	1913.27	1913.53	1914.62	1925.01	1895.94	1869.12(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-562	-90	-655	-284	0	67%	0.39	103.7	2.73%	0	-0.7	54	0

11	May_10_2006	1553.12	1904.99	1920.09	1923.84	1938.06	1923.66	1893.6(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-446	-30	-520	-223	0	67%	0.44	81.1	2.74%	0	-0.1	49	0
12	May_9_2006	1546.37	1894.52	1928.98	1924.13	1934.82	1954.08	1913.76(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	116	90	140	45	0	67%	0.45	67.1	2.75%	0	0.2	48	0
13	May_8_2006	1539.41	1879.83	1939.44	1928.74	1924.56	1952.46	1956.96(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	627	90	737	298	0	67%	0.45	54.3	2.74%	0	0.7	54	0
14	May_5_2006	1532.58	1864.42	1939.86	1922.98	1918.98	1915.56	1939.68(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	347	-20	405	173	0	65%	0.41	48.7	2.74%	0	0.6	59	0
15	May_4_2006	1526.3	1851.34	1932.5	1913.18	1913.85	1896.66	1915.2(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-426	-60	-507	-182	0	65%	0.48	46	2.76%	0	0.5	67	0

16	May_3_2006	1519.02	1841.86	1933.16	1916.35	1917.45	1922.4	1895.04(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-178	20	-224	-41	0.01	65%	0.47	49.4	2.79%	0	0.4	69	0
17	May_2_2006	1511.88	1831.92	1938.41	1934.5	1923.3	1931.04	1936.8(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	151	10	150	152	0	63%	0.48	52	2.77%	0	0.8	73	0
18	May_1_2006	1504.65	1818.63	1936.63	1952.35	1939.77	1912.5	1928.16(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-220	-120	-300	22	0.01	59%	0.49	57.4	2.8%	0	0.8	76	0
19	Apr_28_2006	1497.38	1804.96	1929.94	1959.84	1962.45	1915.56	1890.72(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-783	-160	-971	-217	0	62%	0.47	61.3	2.89%	0	0.6	70	0
20	Apr_27_2006	1490.43	1792.91	1914.55	1953.22	1970.37	1967.04	1931.04(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-566	10	-718	-110	0.01	62%	0.51	64.5	2.89%	0	1	69	0

21	Apr_26_2006	1482.87	1778.48	1890.88	1950.62	1969.11	2009.34	1985.76(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	732	170	808	502	0.01	62%	0.54	71	2.86%	0	1.5	66	0
22	Apr_25_2006	1474.86	1763.99	1859.08	1942.27	1951.74	1973.7	2026.08(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	934	90	1046	596	0.02	60%	0.56	84.7	2.84%	0	2	71	0
23	Apr_24_2006	1466.58	1743.23	1816.07	1920.38	1928.16	1928.88	1965.6(5.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	119	10	93	197	0.01	60%	0.53	94.4	2.86%	0	1.9	70	0
24	Apr_21_2006	1458.86	1723.76	1782.64	1897.63	1918.62	1929.78	1857.6(-3.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	360	70	380	301	0	59%	0.44	99.7	2.81%	0	1.2	67	0
25	Apr_20_2006	1452.51	1706.63	1763.71	1868.26	1888.02	1927.44	1918.08(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	912	180	1033	549	0.01	59%		89.7	2.79%	0	1.8	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.