Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 15, 2005

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1333.4400 (1.42%) ($1271.5200 - $1343.5200) on Wed. Jun. 15, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.67% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $1333.4400(1.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(34%)    VWO(34%)    QQQ(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.335% (StdDev 2.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $1257.12(6.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1212.48(9.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1164.64(14.49%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $444.06b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 6.74% (three month std-dev: 2.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.44%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.46%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.41%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_15_2005	1321.21	1164.64	1212.48	1257.12	1255.5	1304.64	1333.44(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1307	270	1509	700	0.01	48%	0.08	44.8	2.67%	0	2.1	75	0
2	Jun_14_2005	1320.14	1151.39	1197.55	1218.53	1219.05	1247.22	1314.72(5.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	1007	160	1163	538	0.01	48%	0.05	30.6	2.67%	0	2.3	76	0
3	Jun_13_2005	1319.45	1142	1182.22	1186.85	1185.39	1206.36	1242.72(4.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	423	120	478	258	0	41%	-0.02	20.1	2.56%	0	1.7	78	0
4	Jun_10_2005	1319.66	1136.6	1174	1165.54	1171.61	1190.88	1189.44(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	617	130	705	352	0.01	27%	-0.05	11.8	2.49%	0	1	76	0
5	Jun_9_2005	1320.35	1133.87	1170.42	1162.66	1157.39	1164.42	1205.28(5.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	177	30	184	157	0.01	27%	-0.06	10.1	2.66%	0	1.4	74	0

6	Jun_8_2005	1321.13	1130.55	1162.65	1161.5	1161.26	1152.34	1140.48(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-77	-50	-120	52	0	15%	-0.16	10.4	2.57%	0	0.2	67	0
7	Jun_7_2005	1323.29	1130.42	1159.76	1173.02	1174.22	1150.36	1156.32(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-413	-140	-522	-87	0	15%	-0.13	18	2.57%	0	0.5	64	0
8	Jun_6_2005	1325.01	1130.45	1149.7	1176.48	1185.75	1170.18	1136.16(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-477	-70	-593	-127	0.01	15%	-0.15	21.8	2.56%	0	0.1	48	0
9	Jun_3_2005	1327.03	1130.44	1140.87	1182.53	1189.53	1198.08	1175.04(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	47	70	26	110	0	17%	-0.15	24.1	2.54%	0	0.9	53	0
10	Jun_2_2005	1328.99	1128.65	1128.88	1178.21	1182.15	1201.32	1199.52(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	516	120	584	311	0	17%	-0.15	22.5	2.58%	0	1.5	57	0

11	Jun_1_2005	1330.95	1125.48	1114.66	1163.81	1166.67	1180.98	1198.08(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	540	90	622	293	0	36%	-0.04	15.6	2.58%	0	1.6	55	0
12	May_31_2005	1331.5	1121.65	1102.12	1144.8	1144.26	1162.98	1173.6(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	412	110	481	204	0	17%	-0.06	-1.8	2.58%	0	1.2	54	0
13	May_27_2005	1332.32	1119.85	1098.02	1118.88	1122.11	1152.36	1166.4(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	677	200	802	300	0	36%	-0.11	-25.8	2.86%	0	1.1	48	0
14	May_26_2005	1333.83	1118.71	1094.8	1092.67	1091.96	1125.54	1153.44(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	720	210	861	298	0.01	36%	-0.15	-47.1	2.88%	0	0.9	51	0
15	May_25_2005	1335.9	1117.95	1092.48	1072.22	1066.67	1091.86	1127.52(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	594	150	719	219	0.01	36%	-0.17	-69.2	2.88%	0	0.2	46	0

16	May_24_2005	1338.24	1118.44	1093.68	1058.69	1054.34	1058.38	1103.04(5.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	261	10	332	49	0	36%	-0.25	-77.9	2.86%	0	-0.4	41	0
17	May_23_2005	1341.53	1122.44	1096.89	1054.08	1051.11	1041.48	1044(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-337	-70	-369	-239	0	26%	-0.29	-73.4	2.75%	0	-1.7	32	0
18	May_20_2005	1345.42	1130.48	1108.89	1074.53	1068.93	1050.3	1035.36(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-414	-140	-467	-254	0	36%	-0.29	-63.3	2.84%	0	-2.3	27	0
19	May_19_2005	1349.33	1137.81	1119.77	1096.99	1094.4	1060.74	1051.2(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-615	-220	-710	-331	0	36%	-0.29	-49	2.86%	0	-2.2	28	0
20	May_18_2005	1353.23	1146	1129.89	1115.14	1116.27	1087.56	1059.84(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-800	-180	-932	-402	0.01	36%	-0.29	-48.1	2.88%	0	-2.6	32	0

21	May_17_2005	1357.1	1152.19	1139.24	1132.99	1137.15	1128.06	1080(-5.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-328	-40	-383	-163	0.01	31%	-0.26	-61.7	2.92%	0	-2.7	37	0
22	May_16_2005	1360.63	1156.55	1145.1	1145.09	1145.52	1144.98	1146.24(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-0	-48	-27	0	55%	-0.16	-94.6	2.91%	0	-0.5	37	0
23	May_13_2005	1362.84	1157.7	1145.07	1148.54	1147.86	1146.24	1147.68(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-10	-23	-20	0	51%	-0.2	-113.6	3.75%	0	-0.5	34	0
24	May_12_2005	1365.6	1157.18	1145.4	1146.53	1151.19	1146.06	1141.92(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-20	-39	-31	0	51%	-0.2	-113.8	3.78%	0	-0.5	43	0
25	May_11_2005	1368.27	1162.38	1145.74	1147.39	1150.38	1149.48	1149.12(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-82	0	-90	-59	0	51%		-96	3.81%	0	-0.3	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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