Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 1, 2005

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1706.4000 (9.72%) ($1549.4400 - $1710.7200) on Tue. Mar. 1, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.66% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $1706.4000(9.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 8.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(34%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.33% (StdDev 4.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $1604.74(6.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1564.29(9.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1471.67(15.95%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   47.8%
Market Cap   $568.262b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 8.07% (three month std-dev: 4.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.43%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 12.35%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.09%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.69%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2005	1475.97	1471.67	1564.29	1604.74	1594.35	1610.64	1706.4(9.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	320	50	342	252	0.01	70%	-0.03	72.4	4.66%	0	2	71	0
2	Feb_28_2005	1476.4	1451.42	1533.18	1588.9	1588.41	1582.74	1555.2(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	114	-30	99	159	0	67%	-0.07	78.1	4.43%	0	0.9	62	0
3	Feb_25_2005	1477.45	1438.42	1514.7	1586.02	1581.75	1578.06	1586.88(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-39	-20	-80	86	0	67%	-0.09	78.2	4.43%	0	1.3	62	0
4	Feb_24_2005	1478.78	1423.96	1492.76	1567.01	1567.62	1594.08	1573.92(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	195	120	198	186	0.01	67%	-0.01	77.4	4.46%	0	1.4	61	0
5	Feb_23_2005	1478.91	1409.29	1464.25	1568.45	1552.59	1585.44	1601.28(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	614	120	694	373	0.01	67%	0.04	80.7	4.46%	0	1.8	58	0

6	Feb_22_2005	1478.26	1390.42	1436.3	1515.74	1525.59	1541.16	1627.2(5.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	512	90	583	298	0.02	67%	0.04	62.6	4.45%	0	2.3	64	0
7	Feb_18_2005	1477.62	1370.74	1409.13	1469.66	1476.9	1519.74	1540.8(3.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	319	220	361	192	0.01	66%	0.04	51.5	4.37%	0	1.9	64	0
8	Feb_17_2005	1476.96	1356.37	1393.16	1432.8	1442.25	1510.02	1491.84(-5.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	1001	350	1166	504	0.01	66%	-0	37.8	4.35%	0	1.6	64	0
9	Feb_16_2005	1477.01	1344.33	1383.01	1406.88	1401.03	1434.06	1581.12(18.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	880	150	1025	443	0.03	69%	0.07	23.5	4.29%	0	3	68	0
10	Feb_15_2005	1475.91	1328.27	1366.94	1346.4	1356.75	1374.48	1337.76(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	197	110	226	108	0	63%	-0.03	5.3	3.63%	0	0.2	57	0

11	Feb_14_2005	1476.37	1328.79	1370.08	1344.1	1340.28	1368	1396.8(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	392	140	452	212	0	66%	0	7.1	3.6%	0	1.1	68	0
12	Feb_11_2005	1476.34	1325.11	1361.99	1339.49	1334.61	1339.02	1356.48(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	270	10	306	160	0	57%	-0.04	9.7	3.58%	0	0.5	63	0
13	Feb_10_2005	1476.9	1325.13	1356.29	1347.55	1341.81	1312.56	1362.24(6.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-316	-170	-384	-110	0.01	57%	-0.07	17.7	3.93%	0	0.6	61	0
14	Feb_9_2005	1478	1325.93	1350.71	1355.9	1362.33	1330.2	1278.72(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-635	-150	-763	-249	0	54%	-0.16	24.1	3.83%	0	-0.8	56	0
15	Feb_8_2005	1480.35	1325.22	1352.8	1390.46	1389.96	1371.06	1326.24(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-346	-100	-431	-89	0	54%	-0.13	32.4	3.81%	0	0	57	0

16	Feb_7_2005	1482.27	1324.58	1344.52	1398.24	1405.35	1394.46	1373.76(-1.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-75	-40	-111	33	0	54%	-0.11	27.7	3.8%	0	0.8	52	0
17	Feb_4_2005	1483.86	1319.51	1332.38	1386.14	1395.99	1408.86	1396.8(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	104	90	104	102	0	54%	-0.11	10.8	3.8%	0	1.3	56	0
18	Feb_3_2005	1485.43	1314.97	1318.81	1365.12	1371.6	1416.24	1404(-3.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	587	240	680	308	0.01	49%	-0.09	-7.1	3.8%	0	1.6	52	0
19	Feb_2_2005	1486.73	1311.84	1303.62	1344.67	1341.63	1383.12	1451.52(6.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	819	210	961	392	0.02	51%	-0.08	-24.1	3.95%	0	2.6	53	0
20	Feb_1_2005	1487.89	1306.05	1284.99	1311.26	1310.45	1326.96	1365.12(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	444	90	526	199	0.01	47%	-0.13	-57.3	3.9%	0	1.3	62	0

21	Jan_31_2005	1489.84	1308.11	1282.02	1283.9	1288.13	1300.14	1313.28(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	170	80	208	57	0	45%	-0.13	-66.1	3.86%	0	0.1	51	0
22	Jan_28_2005	1491.72	1313.1	1283.02	1270.66	1272.47	1293.93	1291.68(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	244	120	295	89	0	43%	-0.1	-65.3	3.86%	0	-0.4	53	0
23	Jan_27_2005	1493.18	1319.03	1289.47	1264.9	1264.46	1276.11	1301.76(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	326	60	391	129	0	43%	-0.05	-63	3.89%	0	-0.3	50	0
24	Jan_26_2005	1493.94	1325.12	1297.15	1255.97	1256.05	1251.02	1284.48(4.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-51	-30	-51	-51	0	43%	-0.06	-60.5	3.9%	0	-0.6	45	0
25	Jan_25_2005	1494.87	1332.56	1294.51	1255.39	1259.65	1252.82	1228.32(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-242	-30	-272	-151	0	40%		-56.3	3.85%	0	-1.5	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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