Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 11, 2004

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1748.1600 (5.47%) ($1707.8400 - $1807.2000) on Mon. Oct. 11, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.35% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $1748.1600(5.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    FXI(-2%)    REMX(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.175% (StdDev 4.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $1649.09(6.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1579.04(10.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1532.49(14.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   63.6%
Market Cap   $582.169b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.89% (three month std-dev: 4.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_11_2004	1513.37	1532.49	1579.04	1649.09	1665.72	1714.68	1748.16(5.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	748	240	849	445	0.01	57%	-0.22	60.4	4.35%	0	2.4	66	0
2	Oct_8_2004	1516.71	1521.51	1542.24	1608.48	1614.15	1672.74	1657.44(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	771	260	884	430	0.01	55%	-0.29	63.3	4.3%	0	1.8	61	0
3	Oct_7_2004	1521.14	1512.84	1515.85	1576.51	1582.11	1616.76	1715.04(8.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	903	160	1048	468	0.02	55%	-0.3	57.7	4.3%	0	2.8	64	0
4	Oct_6_2004	1525.68	1498.03	1483.97	1528.7	1536.03	1555.56	1586.88(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	223	100	259	116	0.01	49%	-0.36	46.2	4.19%	0	1.5	52	0
5	Oct_5_2004	1531.2	1487.64	1471.12	1510.85	1514.16	1547.46	1537.92(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	402	160	474	187	0.01	49%	-0.38	33.2	4.28%	0	0.8	50	0

6	Oct_4_2004	1537.02	1479.8	1467	1497.89	1498.68	1516.5	1545.12(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	530	80	627	237	0.01	49%	-0.43	31.2	4.31%	0	1.1	46	0
7	Oct_1_2004	1543.72	1474.69	1462.52	1465.34	1469.43	1516.5	1497.6(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	163	60	202	46	0	47%	-0.48	30.7	4.31%	0	0.4	42	0
8	Sep_30_2004	1551.24	1472.57	1464.61	1444.61	1441.35	1480.86	1476(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	330	190	401	118	0	47%	-0.49	37.6	4.35%	0	0.1	48	0
9	Sep_29_2004	1558.84	1470.66	1471.13	1431.65	1421.91	1458	1497.6(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	619	160	740	255	0.01	47%	-0.5	39.6	4.35%	0	0.4	58	0
10	Sep_28_2004	1566.61	1467.52	1473.58	1426.18	1408.5	1401.84	1473.12(6.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	-70	83	1	0.01	47%	-0.48	48.8	4.35%	0	0.1	63	0

11	Sep_27_2004	1574.21	1460.82	1481.96	1433.38	1422.9	1385.82	1382.4(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-516	-200	-603	-255	0	44%	-0.62	51.5	4.27%	0	-1.2	56	0
12	Sep_24_2004	1584.01	1456.52	1499.94	1459.87	1458.63	1415.16	1393.92(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-625	-210	-738	-286	0	44%	-0.64	54	4.27%	0	-0.8	47	0
13	Sep_23_2004	1594.16	1450.35	1511.68	1486.94	1487.79	1459.98	1411.2(-4.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-586	-130	-697	-251	0.01	44%	-0.68	56.6	4.28%	0	-0.4	48	0
14	Sep_22_2004	1605.09	1447.07	1516.01	1514.88	1515.87	1502.1	1470.24(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-223	-60	-275	-66	0	44%	-0.64	70.7	4.28%	0	0.2	56	0
15	Sep_21_2004	1615.51	1438.44	1508.58	1526.98	1532.07	1515.6	1509.12(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-178	-70	-223	-43	0	44%	-0.58	76.6	4.27%	0	0.7	61	0

16	Sep_20_2004	1625.01	1426.52	1496.45	1538.21	1539.9	1529.64	1514.88(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-272	-40	-337	-76	0	44%	-0.55	84	4.27%	0	0.8	72	0
17	Sep_17_2004	1633.98	1415.36	1489.87	1546.56	1556.01	1548.54	1529.28(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-20	-36	68	0.01	44%	-0.58	95.3	4.27%	0	1.1	77	0
18	Sep_16_2004	1643.45	1400.89	1482.31	1540.22	1558.71	1550.16	1550.88(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-0	-18	95	0	44%	-0.59	100.3	4.27%	0	1.4	81	0
19	Sep_15_2004	1653.26	1383.76	1470.22	1516.9	1540.08	1563.48	1530.72(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	218	150	227	192	0	44%	-0.63	98.1	4.28%	0	1.3	67	0
20	Sep_14_2004	1663.68	1366.02	1460.14	1486.08	1502.73	1567.26	1565.28(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	825	330	941	476	0.01	42%	-0.71	89.9	4.29%	0	1.8	72	0

21	Sep_13_2004	1675.56	1343.7	1436.1	1448.06	1454.22	1516.68	1556.64(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1005	310	1157	548	0.01	42%	-0.71	81.1	4.35%	0	1.9	73	0
22	Sep_10_2004	1687.51	1321.04	1407.32	1426.18	1418.31	1438.2	1497.6(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	504	80	571	302	0.01	42%	-0.74	75.1	4.35%	0	1.6	67	0
23	Sep_9_2004	1700.02	1299.81	1382.18	1426.18	1413.36	1391.76	1434.24(4.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-131	-120	-176	3	0	40%	-0.75	65.1	4.31%	0	1.2	68	0
24	Sep_8_2004	1712.85	1283.81	1371.5	1417.82	1427.49	1398.42	1376.64(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-449	-120	-554	-133	0	40%	-0.74	59.8	4.28%	0	0.8	68	0
25	Sep_7_2004	1725.6	1271.82	1363.02	1429.34	1445.04	1434.96	1375.2(-4.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-179	-20	-243	13	0.01	40%		57.7	4.29%	0	0.9	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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