Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 17, 2004

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1664.6400 (-1.2%) ($1635.8400 - $1696.3200) on Thu. Jun. 17, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.74% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $1664.6400(-1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -13.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.37% (StdDev 4.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Resistance Level   $1982.08
5 Day Moving Average   $1701.65(-2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1758.19(-5.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1982.08(-16.02%)
To recent high   -40.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $554.355b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 12.59% (three month std-dev: 4.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2004	2070.08	1982.08	1758.19	1701.65	1693.31	1690.02	1664.64(-1.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-281	-30	-279	-288	0.01	59%	-0.1	-46.8	4.74%	0	-1.3	19	0
2	Jun_16_2004	2072.15	2006.22	1813.93	1720.66	1720.13	1699.92	1684.8(-2.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-114	-80	-84	-203	0.01	59%	-0.12	-49.3	4.74%	0	-1.3	19	0
3	Jun_15_2004	2074.63	2028.59	1876.77	1743.7	1738.13	1696.59	1723.68(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-593	-180	-651	-417	0.01	59%	-0.16	-51.7	4.74%	0	-1.3	22	0
4	Jun_14_2004	2078.02	2053.14	1931	1763.86	1767.38	1740.33	1666.8(-5.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-562	-100	-620	-389	0.01	59%	-0.18	-55.4	4.72%	0	-1.8	33	0
5	Jun_10_2004	2081.73	2082.61	1993.87	1798.85	1798.11	1779.66	1768.32(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-311	-70	-330	-253	0	63%	-0.16	-60.7	4.65%	0	-1.6	36	0

6	Jun_9_2004	2085.05	2106.08	2042.47	1823.62	1823.76	1794.42	1759.68(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-520	-110	-580	-341	0.01	63%	-0.24	-67.9	4.66%	0	-1.9	33	0
7	Jun_8_2004	2090.01	2131.96	2094.66	1923.55	1873.53	1816.56	1800(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1042	-290	-1205	-554	0.01	60%	-0.14	-66.2	4.66%	0	-2	37	0
8	Jun_7_2004	2093	2154.05	2142.13	2033.28	1996.2	1853.1	1824.48(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-1405	-560	-1644	-688	0.01	60%	-0.12	-62.6	4.69%	0	-2.2	40	0
9	Jun_4_2004	2095.47	2180.47	2171.64	2125.44	2121.3	1930.5	1841.76(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-2464	-640	-2897	-1166	0.02	62%	-0.07	-55	4.69%	0	-2.6	36	0
10	Jun_3_2004	2096.86	2208.28	2201.06	2216.45	2223.45	2139.3	1892.16(-16.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-1978	-260	-2331	-917	0.03	62%	-0.06	-46.1	4.75%	0	-2.9	37	0

11	Jun_2_2004	2098.14	2237.7	2231.59	2287.87	2302.38	2312.1	2259.36(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	133	50	145	98	0.01	73%	0.1	-34.2	4.29%	0	0.2	54	0
12	Jun_1_2004	2096.11	2247.39	2218.56	2289.31	2289.06	2307.6	2348.64(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	298	60	340	170	0.01	73%	0.1	-32.5	4.28%	0	0.9	56	0
13	May_28_2004	2094.1	2249.98	2193.4	2270.02	2266.02	2292.66	2285.28(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	397	80	460	206	0	73%	0.08	-46.4	4.29%	0	0.3	55	0
14	May_27_2004	2092.45	2254.08	2183.11	2227.39	2238.48	2270.52	2296.8(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	625	120	736	293	0.01	73%	0.1	-64.7	4.32%	0	0.3	46	0
15	May_26_2004	2090.31	2260.43	2174.31	2185.34	2185.65	2239.38	2249.28(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	487	170	580	207	0	73%	0.09	-76.8	4.32%	0	-0.1	40	0

16	May_25_2004	2088.49	2271.96	2169.39	2166.62	2157.66	2206.44	2266.56(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	800	150	955	336	0.01	74%	0.13	-79.9	4.33%	0	-0	36	0
17	May_24_2004	2085.81	2284.41	2165.82	2137.82	2144.88	2131.92	2252.16(8.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	323	-30	400	92	0.01	74%	0.17	-74.4	4.37%	0	-0.2	35	0
18	May_21_2004	2082.36	2305.67	2160.21	2107.87	2125.98	2108.88	2072.16(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-574	-30	-648	-352	0	68%	-0	-70.2	4.26%	0	-1.2	24	0
19	May_20_2004	2082.46	2337.18	2185.69	2132.35	2135.7	2157.84	2086.56(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	80	-9	-92	0.01	68%	0.1	-67.3	4.29%	0	-1.3	30	0
20	May_19_2004	2080.28	2368.04	2214.3	2160.58	2160.72	2143.08	2155.68(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	177	-60	233	10	0.01	65%	0.1	-55.9	4.28%	0	-1.1	30	0

21	May_18_2004	2078.11	2393.9	2244.1	2172.1	2176.38	2113.56	2122.56(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-838	-200	-962	-466	0.01	65%	0.13	-47.8	4.32%	0	-1.4	24	0
22	May_17_2004	2075.5	2419.01	2279.22	2197.73	2206.17	2178.36	2102.4(-4.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-754	-80	-864	-423	0.01	67%	0.15	-40.3	4.32%	0	-1.7	21	0
23	May_14_2004	2072.44	2447.38	2312.85	2219.33	2228.49	2239.2	2194.56(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	50	24	-75	0	67%	0.06	-32.1	4.33%	0	-1.3	19	0
24	May_13_2004	2071.17	2477.35	2332.71	2246.95	2232.9	2233.98	2227.68(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-20	-15	-99	0.01	67%	0.23	-15	4.36%	0	-1.4	19	0
25	May_12_2004	2066.51	2483.52	2354.99	2277.19	2261.24	2217.78	2213.28(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-437	-160	-485	-291	0.01	67%		-2.4	4.38%	0	-1.5	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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