Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 17, 2004

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1982.8800 (1.55%) ($1929.6000 - $2010.2400) on Wed. Mar. 17, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.45% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $1982.8800(1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(34%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.725% (StdDev 3.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $1960.99(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1978.18(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1910.44(3.79%)
To recent high   -11.7%
To recent low   20.4%
Market Cap   $660.335b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 4.86% (three month std-dev: 3.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2004	1972.77	1910.44	1978.18	1960.99	1972.62	1964.52	1982.88(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-59	-10	-77	-5	0	57%	-0.06	20.2	3.45%	0	0.8	61	0
2	Mar_16_2004	1974.05	1906.37	1972.01	1953.22	1957.77	1978.92	1952.64(-0.37%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0	-49	80	-67	4	0	57%	-0.04	19.5	3.49%	0	0.5	63	0
3	Mar_15_2004	1974.78	1905.17	1965.58	1961.86	1962.28	1980.72	1959.84(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	515	70	591	286	0.01	52%	-0.02	28.2	3.51%	0	0.6	69	0
4	Mar_12_2004	1975.16	1899.05	1964.27	1961.28	1966.69	1936.62	1987.2(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-180	-100	-231	-26	0	52%	0.01	29.9	3.69%	0	0.9	72	0
5	Mar_11_2004	1975.02	1893.46	1954.28	1974.24	1982.62	1943.84	1922.4(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-840	-120	-1012	-322	0	55%	-0.06	42.1	3.67%	0	0.3	60	0

6	Mar_10_2004	1976.15	1891.94	1949.76	1998.14	2017.45	1996.76	1944(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-264	-40	-340	-36	0	55%	-0.09	56.4	3.73%	0	0.6	59	0
7	Mar_9_2004	1977.95	1888.63	1937.12	1992.38	2018.79	2021.4	1995.84(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	46	50	27	102	0.01	55%	-0.04	53.1	3.71%	0	1.2	55	0
8	Mar_8_2004	1978.73	1879.29	1910.31	1968.48	1988.37	2038.14	1956.96(-4.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	466	210	529	275	0.01	52%	-0.04	38.1	3.73%	0	0.9	51	0
9	Mar_5_2004	1979.61	1871.58	1886.72	1965.89	1959.29	2016.18	2052(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1148	190	1335	587	0.01	55%	-0.03	34.4	3.73%	0	2.1	62	0
10	Mar_4_2004	1980.23	1855.96	1859.58	1931.9	1923.83	1938.6	2041.92(6.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	595	40	691	307	0.01	55%	-0.04	18.4	3.75%	0	2.3	58	0

11	Mar_3_2004	1981.01	1842.29	1835.6	1896.48	1899.08	1902.4	1915.2(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	20	54	29	0	52%	-0.11	1.6	3.66%	0	1.1	51	0
12	Mar_2_2004	1983.17	1842.24	1833.39	1874.02	1882.25	1909.06	1876.32(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	434	110	511	203	0	52%	-0.15	-7.2	3.65%	0	0.5	50	0
13	Mar_1_2004	1986.11	1846.57	1837.98	1841.47	1843.38	1895.76	1944(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	851	200	1003	393	0	52%	-0.06	-22.5	3.63%	0	1.3	59	0
14	Feb_27_2004	1987.38	1842.27	1826.05	1794.24	1791	1855.44	1882.08(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	986	250	1169	438	0	52%	-0.1	-52.3	3.6%	0	0.6	57	0
15	Feb_26_2004	1989.39	1841.4	1825.1	1776.38	1758.75	1791	1864.8(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	795	100	943	350	0	52%	-0.09	-70.6	3.62%	0	0.3	60	0

16	Feb_25_2004	1991.22	1841.22	1827.14	1767.74	1752.72	1726.56	1802.88(5.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-219	-130	-250	-124	0	52%	-0.15	-88	3.6%	0	-0.5	53	0
17	Feb_24_2004	1994.18	1847.15	1835.02	1789.34	1781.97	1726.51	1713.6(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-977	-230	-1144	-475	0	49%	-0.12	-97.5	3.57%	0	-1.8	36	0
18	Feb_23_2004	1996.49	1863.79	1846.85	1834.27	1829.14	1778.89	1707.84(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-959	-200	-1126	-459	0	49%	-0.03	-77.4	3.57%	0	-2	33	0
19	Feb_20_2004	1997.15	1880.75	1858.64	1860.19	1864.63	1837.44	1792.8(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-594	-90	-699	-280	0	51%	0.01	-65.6	3.56%	0	-1.1	47	0
20	Feb_19_2004	1996.94	1893.73	1856.06	1878.62	1877.01	1879.4	1821.6(-4.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-198	10	-232	-94	0	44%	0.06	-53.9	3.58%	0	-0.8	48	0

21	Feb_18_2004	1995.72	1906.74	1853.27	1893.6	1883.49	1891.82	1910.88(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	176	10	207	82	0	46%	0.12	-44	4.01%	0	0	54	0
22	Feb_17_2004	1993.37	1921.75	1853.88	1888.13	1884.74	1874.61	1938.24(5.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-40	58	21	0	46%	0.29	-32.7	4.01%	0	0.1	50	0
23	Feb_13_2004	1987.62	1927.23	1855.88	1863.36	1877.03	1875.15	1837.44(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-166	10	-189	-95	0	43%	0.08	-38.8	3.96%	0	-0.7	36	0
24	Feb_12_2004	1986.04	1934.54	1859.42	1856.74	1869.43	1894.86	1884.96(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	366	120	441	141	0	43%	-0.01	-46.3	3.96%	0	-0.4	38	0
25	Feb_11_2004	1986.32	1941.02	1857.7	1829.38	1838.83	1878.91	1896.48(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	541	170	654	201	0	43%		-55.1	3.97%	0	-0.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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