Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 5, 2004

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $2004.4800 (4.74%) ($1909.4400 - $2013.1200) on Mon. Jan. 5, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.88% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $2004.4800(4.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(34%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.94% (StdDev 3.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5%

5 Day Moving Average   $1921.54(4.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1852.29(8.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1803.96(11.12%)
To recent high   -19.3%
To recent low   21.7%
Market Cap   $667.528b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.06% (three month std-dev: 3.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2004	1843.4	1803.96	1852.29	1921.54	1928.34	1934.82	2004.48(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	440	30	489	291	0	63%	0.37	1	3.88%	0	2.2	60	NAN
2	Jan_2_2004	1836.69	1798.42	1826.13	1881.79	1896.21	1917	1913.76(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	158	100	165	138	0	61%	0.85	-15.8	3.84%	0	1.4	54	NAN
3	Dec_31_2003	1821.29	1798.81	1800.11	1855.01	1867.95	1921.86	1874.88(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	783	220	906	414	0	61%	0.43	-24.3	3.86%	0	0.9	58	NAN
4	Dec_30_2003	1813.54	1800.94	1783.31	1833.12	1829.61	1875.42	1945.44(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	958	170	1115	487	0.01	61%	0.51	-28.2	3.83%	0	1.6	63	NAN
5	Dec_29_2003	1804.27	1800.77	1753.05	1800	1790.73	1814.04	1869.12(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	476	80	556	235	0	59%	0.49	-32.4	3.81%	0	0.7	54	NAN

6	Dec_26_2003	1795.54	1803.15	1744.97	1773.22	1771.47	1783.8	1805.76(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	271	50	321	122	0	59%	0.9	-39.7	3.81%	0	0	45	NAN
7	Dec_24_2003	1779.55	1811.03	1746.19	1762.56	1758.42	1767.42	1779.84(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	208	30	250	82	0	60%	0.42	-36.8	4.06%	0	-0.3	41	NAN
8	Dec_23_2003	1772.07	1820.13	1741.81	1736.06	1739.43	1759.14	1765.44(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	253	90	309	84	0	60%	0.39	-52.2	4.71%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
9	Dec_22_2003	1765.1	1826.92	1738.32	1724.54	1707.57	1749.42	1779.84(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	378	140	462	127	0	60%	0.38	-68.4	4.71%	0	-0.4	40	NAN
10	Dec_19_2003	1758.5	1831.5	1738.58	1698.62	1685.61	1719.72	1735.2(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	491	120	601	161	0	60%	0.33	-92.4	4.71%	0	-0.9	35	NAN

11	Dec_18_2003	1752.67	1842.36	1751.54	1713.31	1680.75	1665.72	1752.48(6.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-66	-120	-54	-100	0.01	60%	0.35	-106.9	4.73%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
12	Dec_17_2003	1746.63	1850.12	1767.67	1729.73	1712.34	1651.5	1647.36(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-626	-280	-713	-363	0.01	57%	0.27	-122.7	4.67%	0	-1.9	29	NAN
13	Dec_16_2003	1741.84	1878.9	1797.79	1748.16	1748.88	1695.78	1707.84(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-790	-210	-908	-436	0.01	57%	0.3	-105.2	4.65%	0	-1.4	32	NAN
14	Dec_15_2003	1736.59	1905.09	1820.89	1753.06	1760.49	1773.18	1650.24(-8.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-341	60	-380	-222	0.01	57%	0.28	-95.2	4.64%	0	-1.8	34	NAN
15	Dec_12_2003	1731.73	1938.08	1854.21	1781.57	1770.21	1801.98	1808.64(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	494	110	597	183	0	63%	0.39	-84.8	4.49%	0	-0.8	47	NAN

16	Dec_11_2003	1724.97	1966.92	1866.99	1795.39	1770.66	1747.8	1834.56(5.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-68	-130	-65	-78	0	63%	0.39	-71.3	4.49%	0	-0.7	42	NAN
17	Dec_10_2003	1718.35	1992.14	1881.04	1814.69	1795.32	1738.44	1739.52(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-882	-250	-1025	-451	0	60%	0.33	-66.6	4.45%	0	-1.3	39	NAN
18	Dec_9_2003	1712.66	2021.34	1905.41	1857.02	1854	1793.52	1732.32(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-862	-230	-1002	-442	0	60%	0.32	-62.6	4.45%	0	-1.4	25	NAN
19	Dec_8_2003	1707.21	2050.69	1924.62	1898.78	1903.32	1852.2	1792.8(-4.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-804	-180	-932	-420	0.01	60%	0.38	-59.6	4.45%	0	-1.3	26	NAN
20	Dec_5_2003	1700.82	2079.05	1934.44	1935.65	1936.53	1914.48	1877.76(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-525	-80	-599	-301	0	64%	0.43	-52.3	4.42%	0	-1	26	NAN

21	Dec_4_2003	1693.6	2106.39	1942.43	1947.74	1957.77	1954.44	1931.04(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-100	0	-93	-122	0	64%	0.42	-44.3	4.41%	0	-0.9	24	NAN
22	Dec_3_2003	1686.48	2133.2	1940.08	1957.82	1964.25	1958.58	1951.2(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-81	-10	-63	-133	0	64%	0.43	-36.3	4.41%	0	-0.8	29	NAN
23	Dec_2_2003	1679.34	2155	1965.76	1962.43	1969.11	1961.1	1941.12(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-112	-20	-99	-152	0	64%	0.42	-30.3	4.41%	0	-1	31	NAN
24	Dec_1_2003	1672.33	2175.02	1994.11	1954.66	1969.29	1969.92	1977.12(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	20	43	-102	0	64%	0.43	-25.9	4.41%	0	-0.9	34	NAN
25	Nov_28_2003	1665.09	2187.33	2025.73	1933.06	1951.69	1977.12	1938.24(-2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	128	120	188	-53	0	64%		-25.5	4.41%	0	-1.2	29	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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