Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 3, 2020

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $281.5700 (-2.07%) ($281.1250 - $281.5700) on Thu. Dec. 3, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.55% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $281.5700(-2.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLC(85%)    QQQ(71%)    IVW(70%)    VUG(70%)    IWF(69%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-51%)    VXX(-47%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.275% (StdDev 2.55%)
Hourly BBV -1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $282.21(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $277.81(1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $278.4(1.14%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $802.475b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.49% (three month std-dev: 2.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(36%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.55%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.33%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.22%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.3%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2020	266.86	278.4	277.81	282.21	282.4	284.19	281.57(-2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-11	50	-22	23	12.63	42%	0.16	38.6	2.55%	-1.3	0.5	57	0.9
2	Dec_2_2020	266.44	278.63	276.86	281.01	281.4	286.1	287.53(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	128	120	144	80	17.2	42%	0.18	45.3	2.58%	0.7	1.2	61	1
3	Dec_1_2020	265.96	277.54	275.48	278.87	278.68	280.62	286.43(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	102	50	115	61	20.72	42%	0.18	25.3	2.6%	0.5	1.2	65	1
4	Nov_30_2020	265.48	276.32	274.58	275.31	276.07	276.71	277.57(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	20	27	9	16.57	39%	0.12	2.1	2.55%	0.4	0.2	48	1.1
5	Nov_27_2020	265.16	275.67	274.47	273.73	274.12	276.73	277.94(0.85%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	36	70	49	-2	7.79	37%	0.21	-14.7	2.55%	-2.4	0.3	34	1.1

6	Nov_25_2020	264.61	275.76	274.15	272.77	272.36	275.42	275.6(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	61	70	83	-5	12.44	46%	0.13	-16.6	2.76%	0.9	-0	31	1.3
7	Nov_24_2020	264.26	275.4	274.2	272.05	271.42	271.5	276.83(3.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	26	-0	45	-31	16.88	46%	0.14	-24.5	2.79%	2	0.2	41	1.1
8	Nov_23_2020	263.9	275.67	273.76	271.67	271.04	269.3	268.6(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-64	-50	-61	-72	20.97	44%	0.02	-17.8	2.78%	-0.7	-0.8	56	1.1
9	Nov_20_2020	263.85	276.16	274.78	273.77	272.8	271.34	269.68(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-50	-50	-47	18.09	46%	0.14	-3.2	2.78%	-0.8	-0.7	59	1.2
10	Nov_19_2020	263.48	276.91	277.02	275.26	274.7	272.77	273.16(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-60	-38	-16	12.92	46%	0.14	11.6	2.79%	-0.7	-0.4	59	1.3

11	Nov_18_2020	263.12	277.18	279.07	275.66	275.71	274.25	271.96(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-40	-53	-10	12.12	46%	0.17	19.2	2.79%	-1.4	-0.6	47	1.3
12	Nov_17_2020	262.67	277.53	280.64	276.59	276.42	276.63	274.94(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	0	-11	25	14.93	46%	0.21	25.8	2.78%	-0.5	-0.3	56	1.6
13	Nov_16_2020	262.12	277.24	279.91	276.11	276.62	277.17	279.09(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	20	37	31	12.76	46%	0.24	19	2.78%	1	0.2	49	1.6
14	Nov_13_2020	261.48	276.43	278.32	276.02	274.8	276.21	277.14(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	20	-22	-4	10.39	46%	0.16	11.6	2.77%	0.2	0.1	51	1.5
15	Nov_12_2020	261.06	275.91	277.12	279.24	276.25	276.08	275.19(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-40	-5	1	12.89	46%	0.16	21.5	2.77%	0.2	-0.1	47	1.1

16	Nov_11_2020	260.65	275.54	277.63	283.18	280.29	273.4	276.58(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-87	-200	-109	-21	14.98	44%	0.13	34.6	2.78%	-0.2	0.1	51	1.8
17	Nov_10_2020	260.3	275.3	276.82	285.38	284.8	276.43	272.57(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-189	-210	-229	-67	29.94	44%	0.13	47.9	2.79%	-1	-0.3	49	1.7
18	Nov_9_2020	259.96	275.48	277.88	283.93	288.52	287.19	278.6(-5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-38	20	-53	9	25.13	44%	0.15	52.5	2.79%	-2.3	0.3	56	1.4
19	Nov_6_2020	259.56	275.32	277.77	280.46	284.35	293.16	293.27(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	142	260	159	91	13.9	51%	0.22	46.8	2.72%	0.3	1.8	64	1.7
20	Nov_5_2020	258.98	273.83	276.67	274.52	276.92	289.85	294.88(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	288	350	335	148	25.26	51%	0.23	35	2.83%	1	2.3	62	1

21	Nov_4_2020	258.38	272.2	274.76	271.62	269.84	275.54	287.59(8.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	200	130	232	103	35.24	51%	0.2	27.6	2.82%	1.4	1.8	59	0.8
22	Nov_3_2020	257.86	270.7	273.68	267.59	268.31	263.98	265.31(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-100	-27	-13	17.91	46%	0.13	12.7	2.63%	0.6	-0.7	48	-0.6
23	Nov_2_2020	257.53	270.46	274.08	271.2	269.52	264.15	261.25(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-190	-160	-226	-82	27.08	46%	0.13	23.6	2.62%	-1	-1.1	44	-1.4
24	Oct_30_2020	257.19	270.71	274.39	274.48	274.35	272.64	263.55(-6.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-70	-50	-86	-22	47.22	51%	0.16	39.6	2.8%	-1.6	-0.9	45	-1.7
25	Oct_29_2020	256.79	270.62	274.83	278.75	277.59	274.88	280.42(4.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-17	-80	-30	22	31.14	55%		58.3	2.69%	0.7	1.2	60	-1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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