Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 3, 2018

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $184.6700 (1.79%) ($181.3300 - $184.7800) on Wed. Jan. 3, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $184.6700(1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(44%)    IBUY(14%)    GDXJ(13%)    KWEB(12%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    XLU(-10%)    BND(-10%)    EMHY(-8%)    XLP(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $179.62(2.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $178.69(3.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $178.45(3.49%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $526.31b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.28%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.7%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_3_2018	174.58	178.45	178.69	179.62	179.57	181.36	184.67(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	148	70	170	80	16.89	64%	0.08	41.4	1.22%	0	3	68	INF
2	Jan_2_2018	174.44	177.79	178.21	177.88	178.08	178.5	181.42(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	49	20	60	14	18.15	61%	0.1	-6.4	1.2%	0	1.9	55	INF
3	Dec_29_2017	174.27	177.46	178.03	177.04	177.21	177.78	176.46(-0.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	30	5	-19	10.26	59%	0.06	-31	1.16%	0	-0.4	42	INF
4	Dec_28_2017	174.17	177.51	178.24	177.24	177.11	177.67	177.92(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	34	20	46	-4	12.22	59%	0.04	-36.7	1.16%	0	0.2	42	INF
5	Dec_27_2017	174.1	177.38	178.28	177.23	177.02	176.65	177.62(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-20	-9	-21	9.5	62%	0.03	-48.5	1.16%	0	0.1	56	INF

6	Dec_26_2017	174.04	177.59	178.24	177.61	177.4	176.55	175.99(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-40	-66	-27	8.9	62%	0.05	-34.2	1.19%	0	-0.6	62	INF
7	Dec_22_2017	173.95	177.92	178.56	178.57	178.24	177.4	177.2(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-43	-40	-59	7	8.51	53%	0.05	-15.2	1.31%	0	-0.2	68	INF
8	Dec_21_2017	173.87	178.18	178.75	179.17	179.16	178.25	177.45(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-24	-40	-43	32	11.6	53%	0.05	-4.7	1.31%	0	-0.2	56	INF
9	Dec_20_2017	173.78	178.34	179.03	179.36	179.6	179.08	177.89(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-18	-20	-39	45	11.86	53%	0.05	1.2	1.31%	0	-0.1	52	INF
10	Dec_19_2017	173.7	178.52	178.89	179.44	179.59	180.08	179.51(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	20	11	69	14.92	55%	0.06	7.4	1.31%	0	0.3	59	INF

11	Dec_18_2017	173.6	178.48	178.27	178.93	179.23	180.12	180.82(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	59	40	58	60	17.27	55%	0.05	2.8	1.31%	0	0.7	46	INF
12	Dec_15_2017	173.52	178.37	177.37	178.57	178.51	179.1	180.18(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	20	32	18	28.46	55%	0.06	0.6	1.32%	0	0.6	44	INF
13	Dec_14_2017	173.42	178.32	176.85	178.34	178.46	178.34	178.39(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-0	3	-15	13.59	53%	0.08	-1.2	1.32%	0	0	42	INF
14	Dec_13_2017	173.29	178.31	176.7	178.69	178.89	177.92	178.3(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-30	-22	-29	14.62	53%	0.08	-0.6	1.33%	0	-0	46	INF
15	Dec_12_2017	173.16	178.3	176.38	178.24	178.9	178.59	176.96(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-0	-21	-51	16.85	53%	0.06	-7.5	1.32%	0	-0.4	42	INF

16	Dec_11_2017	173.05	178.39	176.85	177.41	178.02	179.86	179.04(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	57	80	81	-15	13.17	55%	0.09	-17.4	1.31%	0	0.2	51	INF
17	Dec_8_2017	172.9	178.36	177.17	175.9	176.16	179.21	179(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	120	130	158	4	19.88	53%	0.09	-32	1.33%	0	0.2	50	INF
18	Dec_7_2017	172.75	178.37	177.47	175.12	174.51	176.17	180.14(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	100	60	136	-10	20.4	53%	0.09	-39	1.33%	0	0.6	51	INF
19	Dec_6_2017	172.59	178.32	177.48	174.53	173.81	173.11	176.06(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	-40	-3	-69	20.26	50%	0.08	-48.8	1.31%	0	-0.7	48	INF
20	Dec_5_2017	172.46	178.54	178.04	174.34	174.45	172.85	172.83(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-117	-60	-118	-112	20.18	47%	0.08	-51.2	1.29%	0	-1.9	42	INF

21	Dec_4_2017	172.32	178.93	178.69	176.26	176.04	174.51	171.47(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-124	-60	-134	-92	24.46	47%	0.06	-37.9	1.29%	0	-2.7	38	INF
22	Dec_1_2017	172.21	179.34	179.53	178.57	178.36	176.06	175.1(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-101	-90	-117	-51	20.18	50%	0.09	-16.8	1.27%	0	-2	44	INF
23	Nov_30_2017	172.05	179.56	180.03	180.11	180.25	177.56	177.18(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-130	-100	-158	-44	25.31	52%	0.11	22.6	1.26%	0	-1.3	46	INF
24	Nov_29_2017	171.86	179.83	180.17	180.85	181.45	180.66	175.13(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-95	-20	-120	-21	41.93	52%	0.12	62.6	1.26%	0	-2.4	40	INF
25	Nov_28_2017	171.66	180.11	180.54	182.19	182.16	182.95	182.42(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	30	55	68	14.38	60%		122.5	1.15%	0	1.4	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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