Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $171.1800 (-0.03%) ($169.5600 - $171.4500) on Wed. Aug. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $171.1800(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(44%)    IBUY(14%)    GDXJ(13%)    KWEB(12%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    BND(-10%)    XLU(-9%)    EMHY(-8%)    XLP(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $170.52(0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $170.4(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $167.02(2.49%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $487.863b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.12%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.62%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.79%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.7%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.2%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.15%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2017	152.02	167.02	170.4	170.52	170.62	171.12	171.18(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	6	80	10.81	67%	0.22	96.5	1.17%	0	1	69	INF
2	Aug_8_2017	151.69	166.43	169.88	170.14	170.23	171.3	171.23(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	78	50	69	105	14.39	67%	0.21	94.4	1.17%	0	1	70	INF
3	Aug_7_2017	151.37	165.66	169.32	169.87	169.62	170.12	171.98(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	20	54	103	12.79	67%	0.22	91.2	1.17%	0	1.2	74	INF
4	Aug_4_2017	151.04	164.76	168.72	169.32	169.34	169.15	169.62(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10	-12	88	10.78	66%	0.2	84.5	1.16%	0	0.8	77	INF
5	Aug_3_2017	150.74	163.88	168.23	169.89	169.66	169.11	168.59(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-30	-35	103	10.79	66%	0.19	79.3	1.17%	0	0.7	74	INF

6	Aug_2_2017	150.45	162.94	167.85	170.26	170.17	169.53	169.3(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-30	-40	126	17.43	66%	0.21	74.1	1.17%	0	0.9	78	INF
7	Aug_1_2017	150.14	162.02	167.35	169.52	170.87	170.22	169.86(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	-0	12	152	14.38	67%	0.21	71.9	1.17%	0	1.2	80	INF
8	Jul_31_2017	149.83	160.97	166.66	168.61	169.77	170.82	169.25(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	60	13	161	25.48	67%	0.21	62.4	1.18%	0	1.2	84	INF
9	Jul_28_2017	149.52	160.06	165.74	167.96	168.35	171.52	172.45(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	190	140	174	239	24.56	71%	0.23	57.7	1.16%	0	1.8	95	INF
10	Jul_27_2017	149.17	158.96	164.47	166.35	166.92	168.73	170.44(2.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	223	90	213	254	68.91	71%	0.22	53.3	1.17%	0	1.7	96	INF

11	Jul_26_2017	148.84	158.06	163.32	165.17	165	165.18	165.61(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	61	0	15	198	35.24	69%	0.2	52.3	1.12%	0	1.2	95	INF
12	Jul_25_2017	148.55	157.3	162.67	164.88	164.71	165.1	165.28(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	74	10	23	228	15.38	69%	0.2	50.8	1.12%	0	1.3	87	INF
13	Jul_24_2017	148.26	156.68	161.7	164.39	164.52	164.81	166(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	112	10	62	263	17.37	70%	0.2	51.9	1.12%	0	1.6	91	INF
14	Jul_21_2017	147.97	156.08	160.48	163.14	163.55	164.32	164.43(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	94	40	44	245	14.74	70%	0.19	54	1.12%	0	1.6	78	INF
15	Jul_20_2017	147.69	155.5	159.22	162.25	162.44	164.22	164.53(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	144	80	105	260	18.52	70%	0.19	56.7	1.12%	0	1.8	78	INF

16	Jul_19_2017	147.41	154.92	157.68	161.19	161.35	162.78	164.14(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	165	70	139	243	26.27	71%	0.2	60.3	1.13%	0	2.1	70	INF
17	Jul_18_2017	147.12	154.28	156.29	160.14	160.07	160.66	162.86(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	107	20	75	201	23.72	71%	0.18	63	1.13%	0	2.2	72	INF
18	Jul_17_2017	146.85	153.74	154.84	158.63	159.14	159.91	159.73(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	40	71	159	12.86	71%	0.17	67.6	1.11%	0	1.8	60	INF
19	Jul_14_2017	146.6	153.26	153.93	157.38	157.73	159.49	159.97(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	124	80	118	142	16.37	71%	0.17	63.3	1.12%	0	2.1	56	INF
20	Jul_13_2017	146.35	152.73	152.99	155.67	155.91	158.37	159.26(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	173	120	187	129	13.93	71%	0.16	46.8	1.13%	0	2.3	59	INF

21	Jul_12_2017	146.11	152.26	152.31	153.59	153.77	155.97	158.9(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	164	100	189	88	22.74	71%	0.17	25.6	1.13%	0	2.7	57	INF
22	Jul_11_2017	145.86	151.82	151.41	151.87	151.59	153.46	155.27(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	107	80	134	26	13.67	68%	0.07	2.4	1.1%	0	1.8	55	INF
23	Jul_10_2017	145.76	151.47	151.17	150.51	150.42	151.57	153.5(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	79	50	108	-10	13.38	67%	0.14	-29.8	1.1%	0	1.1	51	INF
24	Jul_7_2017	145.55	151.28	151.26	150	149.76	149.72	151.44(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10	16	-44	13.62	66%	0.12	-47.2	1.08%	0	0.1	53	INF
25	Jul_6_2017	145.37	151.42	151.44	149.92	149.95	149.28	148.82(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-30	-51	-62	14.95	64%		-38.6	1.07%	0	-1.3	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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