Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $166.0000 (0.95%) ($164.3100 - $166.1700) on Mon. Jul. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $166.0000(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(44%)    IBUY(14%)    GDXJ(12%)    KWEB(12%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    BND(-10%)    XLU(-9%)    EMHY(-8%)    XLP(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $164.39(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $161.7(2.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $156.68(5.95%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $473.1b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 3.68% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.29%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(63%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 2.73%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.38%(63%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 2.35%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.5%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2017	148.26	156.68	161.7	164.39	164.52	164.81	166(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	112	10	62	263	17.37	70%	0.2	51.9	1.12%	0	1.6	91	0
2	Jul_21_2017	147.97	156.08	160.48	163.14	163.55	164.32	164.43(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	94	40	44	245	14.74	70%	0.19	54	1.12%	0	1.6	78	0
3	Jul_20_2017	147.69	155.5	159.22	162.25	162.44	164.22	164.53(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	144	80	105	260	18.52	70%	0.19	56.7	1.12%	0	1.8	78	0
4	Jul_19_2017	147.41	154.92	157.68	161.19	161.35	162.78	164.14(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	165	70	139	243	26.27	71%	0.2	60.3	1.13%	0	2.1	70	0
5	Jul_18_2017	147.12	154.28	156.29	160.14	160.07	160.66	162.86(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	107	20	75	201	23.72	71%	0.18	63	1.13%	0	2.2	72	0

6	Jul_17_2017	146.85	153.74	154.84	158.63	159.14	159.91	159.73(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	40	71	159	12.86	71%	0.17	67.6	1.11%	0	1.8	60	0
7	Jul_14_2017	146.6	153.26	153.93	157.38	157.73	159.49	159.97(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	124	80	118	142	16.37	71%	0.17	63.3	1.12%	0	2.1	56	0
8	Jul_13_2017	146.35	152.73	152.99	155.67	155.91	158.37	159.26(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	173	120	187	129	13.93	71%	0.16	46.8	1.13%	0	2.3	59	0
9	Jul_12_2017	146.11	152.26	152.31	153.59	153.77	155.97	158.9(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	164	100	189	88	22.74	71%	0.17	25.6	1.13%	0	2.7	57	0
10	Jul_11_2017	145.86	151.82	151.41	151.87	151.59	153.46	155.27(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	107	80	134	26	13.67	68%	0.07	2.4	1.1%	0	1.8	55	0

11	Jul_10_2017	145.76	151.47	151.17	150.51	150.42	151.57	153.5(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	79	50	108	-10	13.38	67%	0.14	-29.8	1.1%	0	1.1	51	0
12	Jul_7_2017	145.55	151.28	151.26	150	149.76	149.72	151.44(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10	16	-44	13.62	66%	0.12	-47.2	1.08%	0	0.1	53	0
13	Jul_6_2017	145.37	151.42	151.44	149.92	149.95	149.28	148.82(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-30	-51	-62	14.95	64%	0.11	-38.6	1.07%	0	-1.3	50	0
14	Jul_5_2017	145.21	151.64	151.96	150.81	150.5	149.8	150.34(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-40	-55	-34	14.33	64%	0.19	-24.2	1.06%	0	-0.7	52	0
15	Jul_3_2017	144.93	151.77	152.17	150.85	151.07	150.62	148.43(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-48	-20	-54	-29	13.86	63%	0.1	-22.8	1.04%	0	-1.7	47	0

16	Jun_30_2017	144.79	152.04	152.65	151.89	151.51	151.2	150.98(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-38	-20	-54	10	17.67	66%	0.12	-5.1	1.01%	0	-0.6	59	0
17	Jun_29_2017	144.62	152.16	152.66	152.7	152.43	151.53	151.04(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-21	-50	-41	38	23.97	66%	0.12	11.9	1.01%	0	-0.6	55	0
18	Jun_28_2017	144.44	152.2	152.58	153.18	153.11	151.83	153.24(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-64	-60	-89	13	16.72	70%	0.15	23.1	0.99%	0	0.6	46	0
19	Jun_27_2017	144.22	152.11	152.3	153.31	153.51	153.33	150.58(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-48	-0	-69	16	19.36	68%	0.12	34.5	0.98%	0	-0.9	45	0
20	Jun_26_2017	144.04	152.21	152.34	153.64	153.83	154.4	153.59(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	59	30	56	68	18.05	72%	0.16	50.9	0.94%	0	0.8	51	0

21	Jun_23_2017	143.81	152.12	151.85	153.5	153.31	153.69	155.07(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	10	47	43	18.03	75%	0.17	60.5	0.93%	0	1.7	52	0
22	Jun_22_2017	143.56	151.95	151.28	152.61	152.95	153.26	153.4(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	20	57	11	13.01	74%	0.15	62.9	0.93%	0	0.9	48	0
23	Jun_21_2017	143.35	151.79	151.35	151.89	152.06	152.93	153.91(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	50	40	64	8	15.04	71%	0.17	64.5	0.93%	0	1.3	56	0
24	Jun_20_2017	143.11	151.5	151.22	151.16	150.91	152.63	152.25(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	70	98	10	14.74	70%	0.15	44.7	0.93%	0	0.4	52	0
25	Jun_19_2017	142.89	151.31	151.25	150.85	150.4	151.19	152.87(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	109	30	138	20	19.03	70%		32.5	0.93%	0	0.8	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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