Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $153.5000 (1.36%) ($151.5100 - $153.9800) on Mon. Jul. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $153.5000(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(44%)    IBUY(14%)    GDXJ(13%)    KWEB(12%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    XLU(-9%)    BND(-9%)    EMHY(-8%)    XLRE(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $150.51(1.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $151.17(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $151.47(1.34%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $437.475b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.18%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.19%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.11%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.52%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2017	145.76	151.47	151.17	150.51	150.42	151.57	153.5(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	79	50	108	-10	13.38	67%	0.14	-29.8	1.1%	0	1.1	51	INF
2	Jul_7_2017	145.55	151.28	151.26	150	149.76	149.72	151.44(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10	16	-44	13.62	66%	0.12	-47.2	1.08%	0	0.1	53	INF
3	Jul_6_2017	145.37	151.42	151.44	149.92	149.95	149.28	148.82(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-30	-51	-62	14.95	64%	0.11	-38.6	1.07%	0	-1.3	50	INF
4	Jul_5_2017	145.21	151.64	151.96	150.81	150.5	149.8	150.34(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-40	-55	-34	14.33	64%	0.19	-24.2	1.06%	0	-0.7	52	INF
5	Jul_3_2017	144.93	151.77	152.17	150.85	151.07	150.62	148.43(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-48	-20	-54	-29	13.86	63%	0.1	-22.8	1.04%	0	-1.7	47	INF

6	Jun_30_2017	144.79	152.04	152.65	151.89	151.51	151.2	150.98(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-38	-20	-54	10	17.67	66%	0.12	-5.1	1.01%	0	-0.6	59	INF
7	Jun_29_2017	144.62	152.16	152.66	152.7	152.43	151.53	151.04(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-21	-50	-41	38	23.97	66%	0.12	11.9	1.01%	0	-0.6	55	INF
8	Jun_28_2017	144.44	152.2	152.58	153.18	153.11	151.83	153.24(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-64	-60	-89	13	16.72	70%	0.15	23.1	0.99%	0	0.6	46	INF
9	Jun_27_2017	144.22	152.11	152.3	153.31	153.51	153.33	150.58(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-48	-0	-69	16	19.36	68%	0.12	34.5	0.98%	0	-0.9	45	INF
10	Jun_26_2017	144.04	152.21	152.34	153.64	153.83	154.4	153.59(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	59	30	56	68	18.05	72%	0.16	50.9	0.94%	0	0.8	51	INF

11	Jun_23_2017	143.81	152.12	151.85	153.5	153.31	153.69	155.07(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	10	47	43	18.03	75%	0.17	60.5	0.93%	0	1.7	52	INF
12	Jun_22_2017	143.56	151.95	151.28	152.61	152.95	153.26	153.4(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	20	57	11	13.01	74%	0.15	62.9	0.93%	0	0.9	48	INF
13	Jun_21_2017	143.35	151.79	151.35	151.89	152.06	152.93	153.91(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	50	40	64	8	15.04	71%	0.17	64.5	0.93%	0	1.3	56	INF
14	Jun_20_2017	143.11	151.5	151.22	151.16	150.91	152.63	152.25(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	70	98	10	14.74	70%	0.15	44.7	0.93%	0	0.4	52	INF
15	Jun_19_2017	142.89	151.31	151.25	150.85	150.4	151.19	152.87(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	109	30	138	20	19.03	70%	0.15	32.5	0.93%	0	0.8	51	INF

16	Jun_16_2017	142.68	151.08	151.28	149.96	149.84	149.19	150.64(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-30	-1	-53	22.88	68%	0.13	14	0.92%	0	-0.2	46	INF
17	Jun_15_2017	142.5	150.95	151.57	149.75	149.26	149.61	149.8(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-88	10	-88	-87	18.99	68%	0.13	5.1	0.91%	0	-0.6	44	INF
18	Jun_14_2017	142.31	150.74	151.77	150.74	150.05	150.48	150.25(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	37	10	50	-4	20.81	68%	0.15	5.5	0.91%	0	-0.2	53	INF
19	Jun_13_2017	142.1	150.73	151.91	151.31	150.9	148.91	150.68(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-58	-100	-69	-25	20.48	68%	0.16	11	0.91%	0	-0	60	INF
20	Jun_12_2017	141.88	150.7	152.09	151.74	151.63	149.62	148.44(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-201	-90	-245	-68	33.17	67%	0.16	14.6	0.9%	0	-0.9	55	INF

21	Jun_9_2017	141.66	150.81	152.5	152.77	153.06	152.9	149.6(-3.3%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-43	-0	-72	45	35.58	67%	0.16	26.9	0.89%	0	-0.5	59	INF
22	Jun_8_2017	141.44	150.84	152.78	153.58	153.61	153.64	154.71(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	77	0	53	150	17.8	77%	0.2	35	0.78%	0	1.6	83	INF
23	Jun_7_2017	141.16	150.6	152.32	152.94	153.22	153.21	153.12(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	10	-2	139	12.07	75%	0.18	27.5	0.77%	0	1.1	86	INF
24	Jun_6_2017	140.9	150.46	151.84	152.61	152.8	153.58	152.81(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	40	36	141	13.46	75%	0.09	19.6	0.77%	0	1.1	58	INF
25	Jun_5_2017	140.78	150.35	151.41	152.52	152.52	153.22	153.63(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	113	30	98	156	12.52	75%		15.8	0.77%	0	1.6	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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