Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $114.3800 (0.89%) ($113.9700 - $115.2142) on Tue. Jun. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $114.3800(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(44%)    KWEB(14%)    QQQ(14%)    MCHI(13%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    XLU(-8%)    BND(-8%)    IBUY(-7%)    EMHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $111.33(-2.67%)
Resistance Level   $116.79
5 Day Moving Average   $113.95(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.12(-0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.79(-2.06%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $325.983b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.06%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.36%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.66%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -0.79%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.18%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.71%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2016	112.49	116.79	115.12	113.95	113.9	114.04	114.38(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	10	11	-80	19.17	56%	-0.01	-39.4	1.4%	0	-1.1	31	INF
2	Jun_20_2016	112.5	116.89	115.45	114.06	114.01	113.63	113.37(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-20	-10	-91	20.79	56%	0.02	-45.3	1.4%	0	-1.7	25	INF
3	Jun_17_2016	112.48	117.11	115.98	114.18	114.19	113.77	113.02(-1.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-53	-30	-36	-102	24.64	56%	0.04	-53.3	1.4%	0	-2.1	21	INF
4	Jun_16_2016	112.44	117.33	116.54	114.9	114.4	114.39	114.39(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-50	-10	-36	-93	19.24	56%	0.18	-58.9	1.4%	0	-1.7	24	INF
5	Jun_15_2016	112.24	117.5	117	115.73	115.2	114.62	114.6(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-50	-20	-67	19.82	56%	0.16	-55.6	1.41%	0	-1.9	37	INF

6	Jun_14_2016	112.06	117.66	117.43	116.49	116.06	114.41	114.94(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-74	-110	-75	-72	17.62	56%	0.16	-57.5	1.41%	0	-1.9	39	INF
7	Jun_13_2016	111.88	117.86	117.84	117.06	116.96	115.78	113.95(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-92	-70	-102	-63	31.72	56%	0.14	-54.1	1.4%	0	-3.1	46	INF
8	Jun_10_2016	111.72	118.16	118.41	118.02	117.98	117.7	116.62(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-20	-29	-8	18.51	65%	0.21	-42.2	1.39%	0	-1.6	49	INF
9	Jun_9_2016	111.49	118.34	118.71	118.39	118.39	118.14	118.56(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10	-7	17	13.86	74%	0.22	-20.9	1.37%	0	0.2	61	INF
10	Jun_8_2016	111.24	118.38	118.65	118.47	118.47	118.25	118.39(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-11	-10	-20	15	14.51	74%	0.21	-12.4	1.38%	0	0	54	INF

11	Jun_7_2016	111.01	118.48	118.6	118.55	118.67	118.65	117.76(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	0	-4	25	17.1	74%	0.06	3.1	1.38%	0	-0.6	53	INF
12	Jun_6_2016	110.94	118.55	118.46	118.76	118.68	118.69	118.79(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-0	-3	20	12.74	74%	0.23	10.4	1.42%	0	0.2	50	INF
13	Jun_3_2016	110.69	118.58	118.32	118.87	118.76	118.7	118.47(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10	-6	14	14.14	74%	0.19	20.4	1.42%	0	-0.1	42	INF
14	Jun_2_2016	110.48	118.55	118.16	119.07	118.98	118.68	118.93(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-20	-3	9	13.23	74%	0.22	29.3	1.42%	0	0.3	42	INF
15	Jun_1_2016	110.24	118.51	118.03	118.87	118.99	118.83	118.78(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10	-11	-5	15.03	74%	0.18	60	1.42%	0	0.2	46	INF

16	May_31_2016	110.04	118.45	117.88	118.65	118.86	119.29	118.81(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	16	30	23	-5	23.55	74%	0.32	87.1	1.45%	0	0.3	42	INF
17	May_27_2016	109.69	118.43	117.88	118.08	118.32	119.15	119.38(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	30	60	43	-10	13.49	74%	0.2	109	1.46%	0	0.8	50	INF
18	May_26_2016	109.47	118.34	117.85	117.68	117.64	118.43	119.47(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	31	50	47	-16	18.48	74%	0.15	124.5	1.47%	0	0.9	49	INF
19	May_25_2016	109.31	118.21	117.89	117.14	117.25	117.48	117.89(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	14	20	28	-27	20.04	74%	0.15	66.2	1.47%	0	-0.1	51	INF
20	May_24_2016	109.15	117.81	118.04	117.1	116.95	116.84	117.7(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10	-7	-38	20.18	74%	0.15	45.5	1.47%	0	-0	50	INF

21	May_23_2016	108.99	117.41	118.3	117.03	117.05	117.02	115.97(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-0	-15	-34	20.44	70%	0.06	35.9	1.47%	0	-0.4	47	INF
22	May_20_2016	108.92	117.16	118.65	117.57	117.39	117.06	117.35(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-20	-14	-22	18.94	70%	0.12	37.3	1.49%	0	0.1	46	INF
23	May_19_2016	108.79	116.85	118.87	118.06	117.75	117.09	116.81(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-50	-46	-20	20.54	70%	0.1	42	1.5%	0	-0	49	INF
24	May_18_2016	108.68	116.7	119.01	118.75	118.58	117.73	117.65(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-50	-40	-1	21.64	70%	0.1	49.7	1.5%	0	0.3	56	INF
25	May_17_2016	108.57	116.45	119.08	119.13	119.24	118.42	117.35(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-31	-50	-51	30	21.33	78%		54.4	1.52%	0	0.2	76	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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