Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $118.0600 (0.54%) ($116.5700 - $118.3000) on Wed. May. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $118.0600(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(43%)    KWEB(14%)    QQQ(14%)    MCHI(13%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    BND(-8%)    XLU(-7%)    IBUY(-7%)    EMHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.67(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $114.19(3.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.64(4.81%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $336.471b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.84% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.97%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.96%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.36%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2016	107.31	112.64	114.19	117.67	117.47	117.46	118.06(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10	6	106	23.45	45%	0.13	37.7	1.83%	0	1.7	66	INF
2	May_3_2016	107.17	112.38	113.6	115.84	117.7	117.73	117.43(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	73	50	62	104	24.12	45%	0.12	22.1	1.85%	0	1.7	66	INF
3	May_2_2016	107.04	112.09	113.05	114.11	115.32	117.47	118.57(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	53	160	45	75	28.1	45%	0.16	0	1.85%	0	2.4	69	INF
4	Apr_29_2016	106.87	111.75	112.19	112.41	113.21	117.68	117.58(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	147	300	163	99	37.14	51%	0.12	-21.3	1.86%	0	2.4	71	INF
5	Apr_28_2016	106.74	111.62	111.36	111.01	111.44	113.18	116.73(7.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	133	120	154	70	87.11	69%	0.12	-36.2	1.89%	0	2.3	63	INF

6	Apr_27_2016	106.61	111.44	110.71	110.35	109.51	108.75	108.89(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-70	-38	-22	52.21	58%	0.02	-45.6	2.56%	0	-1.3	36	INF
7	Apr_26_2016	106.59	111.73	110.89	111.06	110.78	109.7	108.76(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-80	-25	-14	22.52	58%	0.03	-28.9	2.59%	0	-1.4	35	INF
8	Apr_25_2016	106.56	112.1	111.11	111.76	111.52	110.28	110.1(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-80	-35	-13	21.02	58%	0.04	-11.7	2.58%	0	-1	44	INF
9	Apr_22_2016	106.52	112.28	111.03	111.83	111.85	111.86	110.56(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	0	-14	-10	38.46	62%	0.07	-6.2	2.59%	0	-0.9	44	INF
10	Apr_21_2016	106.45	112.41	111.04	111.65	111.7	112.75	113.44(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	21	70	30	-5	20.88	62%	0.08	-4	2.6%	0	0.5	40	INF

11	Apr_20_2016	106.37	112.36	111.01	111.13	110.97	111.84	112.42(0.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	20	50	30	-12	21.03	62%	0.05	-10.9	2.6%	0	0	45	INF
12	Apr_19_2016	106.32	112.35	111.09	110.75	110.6	110.65	112.29(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	-0	15	-25	30.21	62%	0.08	-12.6	2.61%	0	-0	43	INF
13	Apr_18_2016	106.24	112.34	111.06	110.41	110.6	110.1	110.45(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-20	-7	-46	21.17	62%	0.06	-13.2	2.6%	0	-1	34	INF
14	Apr_15_2016	106.18	112.4	111.27	110.12	110.4	110.55	109.64(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	20	-4	-50	20.92	57%	0.03	-12.9	2.62%	0	-1.4	41	INF
15	Apr_14_2016	106.15	112.49	111.88	110.32	110.32	110.71	110.84(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	20	1	-41	28.47	60%	0.06	-1.8	2.66%	0	-0.9	46	INF

16	Apr_13_2016	106.09	112.57	112.2	110.88	110.66	110.25	110.51(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-30	-8	-36	88.23	55%	0.05	18.8	2.68%	0	-1.1	46	INF
17	Apr_12_2016	106.04	112.6	112.62	111.52	111.5	109.93	110.61(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-100	-31	-34	26.25	57%	0.04	40.9	2.74%	0	-1.1	48	INF
18	Apr_11_2016	106	112.59	113.16	111.84	112.27	111.06	108.99(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-44	-60	-48	-30	39.76	57%	0.02	55.8	2.74%	0	-2	45	INF
19	Apr_8_2016	105.98	112.65	113.68	112.55	112.9	113.06	110.63(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	20	-17	-7	48.5	57%	0.04	71.3	2.73%	0	-1.1	50	INF
20	Apr_7_2016	105.94	112.52	113.97	113.64	113.13	113.47	113.64(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	10	10	20	20.71	52%	0.06	71.7	2.71%	0	0.5	61	INF

21	Apr_6_2016	105.88	112.24	113.87	113.73	113.38	112.75	113.71(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-50	-5	15	20.81	52%	0.09	62	2.78%	0	0.6	56	INF
22	Apr_5_2016	105.79	111.87	113.87	113.93	113.7	112.79	112.22(-0.29%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-25	-60	-36	8	22.96	52%	0.09	50.4	2.78%	0	0.1	57	INF
23	Apr_4_2016	105.7	111.58	113.75	114.71	114.53	114.01	112.55(-3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-40	-17	28	48.49	50%	0.09	51.7	2.78%	0	0.3	61	INF
24	Apr_1_2016	105.61	111.38	113.67	114.94	114.98	114.61	116.06(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	10	-20	-1	42	24.76	53%	0.09	53.9	2.77%	0	1.5	76	INF
25	Mar_31_2016	105.52	111.03	113.16	114.34	114.68	115.04	114.1(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	30	2	44	21.21	53%		54.7	2.78%	0	1.1	78	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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