Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $111.0200 (-1.03%) ($110.7300 - $112.6900) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.8% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $111.0200(-1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(43%)    KWEB(14%)    QQQ(14%)    MCHI(13%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    BND(-8%)    XLU(-7%)    EMHY(-5%)    XME(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.4% (StdDev 2.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.63(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.92(1.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.3(2.51%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $316.407b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 2.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.53%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.23%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.53%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.86%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 0.69%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.56%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	104.8	108.3	108.92	110.63	110.6	111.48	111.02(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	50	28	32	24.24	51%	0.07	89.1	2.8%	0	1.2	59	0
2	Mar_16_2016	104.73	107.93	108.74	109.89	109.89	110.59	112.18(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	40	32	28	24.74	53%	0.09	87	2.8%	0	2	62	0
3	Mar_15_2016	104.64	107.57	108.46	108.96	108.91	109.72	110.67(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	50	24	21	17.62	53%	0.07	82.6	2.8%	0	1.4	62	0
4	Mar_14_2016	104.57	107.13	108.33	108.01	108.15	109.19	109.89(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	70	35	23	17.25	55%	0.08	78.2	2.8%	0	1.2	65	0
5	Mar_11_2016	104.49	106.75	108.03	107.18	107.16	108.11	109.41(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	60	25	9	20.7	52%	0.1	59.7	2.82%	0	1.1	56	0

6	Mar_10_2016	104.39	106.38	107.87	106.98	106.62	107.11	107.32(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	8	6	24.85	52%	0.11	39.3	2.84%	0	0.4	60	0
7	Mar_9_2016	104.28	106.09	107.95	107.43	107.04	106.21	107.51(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-4	-70	-9	12	20.49	51%	0.11	21.5	2.84%	0	0.5	63	0
8	Mar_8_2016	104.17	105.72	107.95	107.92	107.76	106.13	105.93(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-34	-110	-47	6	25.62	51%	0.07	1.7	2.85%	0	0.1	54	0
9	Mar_7_2016	104.1	105.43	107.9	108.69	108.79	107.88	105.73(-2.45%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-19	-60	-34	28	31.53	51%	0.09	-12.9	2.85%	0	0.1	62	0
10	Mar_4_2016	104.01	105.35	108.08	108.93	109.32	109.39	108.39(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	20	-1	54	24.94	52%	0.13	-21.8	2.83%	0	0.9	68	0

11	Mar_3_2016	103.88	105.41	107.73	108.84	108.93	109.7	109.58(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	50	14	66	21.35	52%	0.15	-20.4	2.83%	0	1.2	71	0
12	Mar_2_2016	103.72	105.5	107.13	108.54	108.59	109.25	109.95(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	40	30	75	25.67	52%	0.16	0.6	2.84%	0	1.2	74	0
13	Mar_1_2016	103.55	105.66	106.64	107.92	107.96	108.16	109.82(2.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	10	19	75	26.82	54%	0.15	15.3	2.84%	0	1	76	0
14	Feb_29_2016	103.39	105.85	105.83	107.05	107.07	107.93	106.92(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	60	6	66	32.78	54%	0.14	26.9	2.83%	0	0.2	72	0
15	Feb_26_2016	103.25	106.08	105.36	107.1	106.74	107.76	107.92(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	60	37	77	26.69	54%	0.16	40.3	2.82%	0	0.4	58	0

16	Feb_25_2016	103.09	106.11	104.76	106.43	106.3	106.21	108.07(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10	25	49	29.91	54%	0.16	51.2	2.85%	0	0.4	43	0
17	Feb_24_2016	102.93	105.48	104.05	105.51	105.38	105.71	106.88(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-5	20	-8	4	34.41	54%	0.15	40.8	2.84%	0	0.3	38	0
18	Feb_23_2016	102.78	105.04	103.32	105.17	105.23	106.39	105.46(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	25	80	36	-9	25.32	54%	0.12	39.2	2.84%	0	0.1	33	0
19	Feb_22_2016	102.66	104.66	102.76	104.4	104.5	105.06	107.16(2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	40	36	-46	35.71	54%	0.16	35.8	2.84%	0	0.4	34	0
20	Feb_19_2016	102.5	104.22	102.38	103.37	103.46	104.06	104.57(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	40	8	-85	32.4	54%	0.14	30	2.82%	0	0.1	36	0

21	Feb_18_2016	102.36	103.75	102.86	102.84	103.26	103.95	103.47(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	60	31	-80	29.59	55%	0.14	25.4	2.82%	0	-0	41	0
22	Feb_17_2016	102.22	103.34	103.68	102.35	102.46	102.86	105.2(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	30	18	-61	44.07	55%	0.19	18.9	2.83%	0	0.3	66	0
23	Feb_16_2016	102.03	102.88	104.5	101.21	102.01	102.58	101.61(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	60	21	-43	45.69	53%	0.23	12.4	2.8%	0	-0.2	59	0
24	Feb_12_2016	101.8	102.59	105.78	100.84	101.16	102.07	102.01(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	70	16	-18	36.18	50%	0.08	9.3	2.82%	0	-0.1	60	0
25	Feb_11_2016	101.72	102.43	106.79	101.25	100.48	101.44	101.91(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	40	-5	4	43.67	50%		11.3	2.82%	0	-0.1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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