Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $106.7900 (2.14%) ($104.1900 - $107.0900) on Wed. Dec. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $106.7900(2.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(17%)    KWEB(15%)    MCHI(15%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    BND(-8%)    XLU(-6%)    VIXM(-6%)    EMHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.71(1.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.07(1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.61(1.12%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   23.2%
Market Cap   $304.352b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.22% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.25%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.07%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.28%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2015	97.52	105.61	105.07	104.71	104.31	105.42	106.79(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	34	60	44	2	22.68	57%	0.12	-27	1.73%	0	0.9	53	0
2	Dec_15_2015	97.4	105.53	104.97	104.27	104.18	104.13	104.55(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	13	-10	22	-15	21.76	55%	0.1	-46.7	1.71%	0	-0.8	47	0
3	Dec_14_2015	97.3	105.52	105.21	104.66	104.23	103.21	104.66(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-80	-41	-33	24.81	55%	0.08	-46.3	1.71%	0	-0.7	44	0
4	Dec_11_2015	97.22	105.49	105.19	104.85	104.75	104.23	102.12(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-50	-40	-52	-44	26.43	52%	0.07	-52.4	1.69%	0	-2.5	36	0
5	Dec_10_2015	97.15	105.8	105.19	105.66	105.44	105.26	105.42(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-20	0	-11	17.45	56%	0.08	-42.9	1.64%	0	-0.3	48	0

6	Dec_9_2015	97.07	105.96	105.56	105.45	105.53	105.27	104.6(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10	-14	-28	23.52	56%	0.07	-25.4	1.65%	0	-1	40	0
7	Dec_8_2015	97	105.96	105.68	105.75	105.54	105.62	106.49(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-15	-0	-13	-20	20.4	59%	0.08	-2.3	1.63%	0	0.3	55	0
8	Dec_7_2015	96.92	106.12	105.7	105.87	105.54	105.8	105.61(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10	14	2	15.47	59%	0.11	10.6	1.63%	0	-0.4	56	0
9	Dec_4_2015	96.81	106.19	105.7	105.6	105.88	105.46	106.18(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-8	-20	-10	-3	21.22	59%	0.17	21.1	1.64%	0	-0	58	0
10	Dec_3_2015	96.65	106.19	105.86	105.45	105.7	105.95	104.38(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	20	-14	-13	23.24	57%	0.15	28.9	1.63%	0	-1.3	41	0

11	Dec_2_2015	96.51	106.31	106.2	105.66	105.77	106.3	106.07(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	40	31	5	24.43	60%	0.18	31.7	1.64%	0	-0.2	42	0
12	Dec_1_2015	96.34	106.16	106.12	105.59	105.56	105.44	107.12(2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10	7	-14	22.78	57%	0.18	24.2	1.67%	0	0.5	47	0
13	Nov_30_2015	96.17	105.98	105.82	105.56	105.5	105.25	104.24(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-20	-29	-37	20.38	54%	0.18	21.8	1.68%	0	-0.9	45	0
14	Nov_27_2015	96	105.89	105.83	106.17	105.99	105.69	105.45(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-20	-11	-28	5.91	57%	0.31	28.6	1.68%	0	-0.2	46	0
15	Nov_25_2015	95.7	105.87	106.07	106.34	106.4	105.76	105.41(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-40	-24	-31	15.15	61%	0.19	43.1	1.79%	0	-0.2	41	0

16	Nov_24_2015	95.52	105.82	106.41	106.81	106.64	106.29	105.74(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-30	-24	-9	23.58	56%	0.19	65.3	1.79%	0	-0	56	0
17	Nov_23_2015	95.34	105.73	106.62	106.69	106.9	107.04	106.95(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	20	15	19	19.9	56%	0.13	77.7	1.89%	0	0.6	61	0
18	Nov_20_2015	95.22	105.58	106.57	106.1	106.43	106.99	107.32(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	50	28	22	22.13	47%	0.21	78.6	2%	0	0.8	60	0
19	Nov_19_2015	95.02	105.33	106.53	105.43	105.39	106.77	106.26(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	90	21	22	25.52	47%	0.2	72	2.1%	0	0.4	61	0
20	Nov_18_2015	94.83	105.02	106.77	105.78	105.17	105.87	107.77(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	30	36	43	23.84	47%	0.24	69.6	2.09%	0	0.9	56	0

21	Nov_17_2015	94.6	104.51	106.4	106.03	105.61	104.01	105.13(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-17	-120	-29	21	26.81	45%	0.2	70.4	2.07%	0	0.2	53	0
22	Nov_16_2015	94.41	104.14	106.2	106.59	106.49	104.47	104.04(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-62	-140	-84	6	49.31	45%	0.17	75.8	2.07%	0	-0	53	0
23	Nov_13_2015	94.25	103.89	106.18	107.08	107.45	107.2	103.95(-3.77%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-23	-10	-41	30	30.28	45%	0.17	81.1	2.08%	0	0	52	0
24	Nov_12_2015	94.09	103.6	106.05	107.71	107.69	108.52	108.02(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	50	23	68	20.92	48%	0.21	85.3	2.02%	0	1.1	65	0
25	Nov_11_2015	93.89	103.01	105.72	107.85	107.43	107.69	109.01(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	10	28	88	25.06	48%		85.8	2.02%	0	1.4	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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