Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $107.0950 (-1.53%) ($105.9100 - $108.7400) on Fri. Nov. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $107.0950(-1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(17%)    KWEB(15%)    MCHI(15%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    BND(-8%)    VIXM(-7%)    XLU(-5%)    EMHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $105.14(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.48(2.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.99(6.05%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   30.5%
Market Cap   $305.221b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 4.46% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 3.23%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.15%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 3.28%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.3%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 2.77%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.29%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2015	93.2	100.99	104.48	105.14	105.72	108.24	107.1(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	89	180	78	121	35.08	48%	0.26	69.5	2.01%	0	1.4	70	INF
2	Nov_5_2015	92.96	100.3	103.98	104.11	104.51	106.24	108.76(4.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	111	130	105	129	63.23	50%	0.29	64.2	2.01%	0	1.9	76	INF
3	Nov_4_2015	92.69	99.47	103.06	103.34	103.05	103.2	103.94(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	0	7	92	43.47	46%	0.26	64.9	1.96%	0	1	73	INF
4	Nov_3_2015	92.45	98.9	102.42	103.39	103.29	102.78	102.58(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-40	-9	99	21.24	46%	0.24	68.2	1.95%	0	0.8	75	INF
5	Nov_2_2015	92.23	98.42	101.92	103.61	103.52	102.91	103.31(1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-40	-26	107	24	46%	0.24	77.5	1.95%	0	1.1	77	INF

6	Oct_30_2015	92.01	97.95	101.45	103.7	103.69	103.79	101.97(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	10	-7	132	33.49	44%	0.22	84.4	1.95%	0	0.9	75	INF
7	Oct_29_2015	91.81	97.46	101.03	103.75	103.59	104.12	104.88(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	30	35	168	20.32	48%	0.25	83	1.93%	0	1.7	88	INF
8	Oct_28_2015	91.58	96.75	100.14	102.71	102.94	103.58	104.2(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	78	50	48	168	24.08	48%	0.26	75.8	1.94%	0	1.7	89	INF
9	Oct_27_2015	91.34	96.02	99.13	101.29	101.65	103.06	103.7(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	81	110	56	154	23.8	46%	0.25	61.3	1.95%	0	1.8	88	INF
10	Oct_26_2015	91.11	95.17	98.17	99.95	100.14	102.31	103.77(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	98	160	82	145	25.96	46%	0.24	48.8	1.98%	0	2.1	86	INF

11	Oct_23_2015	90.89	94.42	97.18	98.89	98.93	100.23	102.19(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	94	90	82	130	42.81	46%	0.22	39.8	1.98%	0	2.2	76	INF
12	Oct_22_2015	90.69	93.91	96.26	97.96	97.93	97.98	99.67(2.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	0	24	96	26.39	44%	0.2	35.5	1.97%	0	1.9	76	INF
13	Oct_21_2015	90.51	93.61	95.54	97.22	97.43	97.63	97.11(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	26	20	7	84	22	41%	0.18	32.1	1.95%	0	1.3	75	INF
14	Oct_20_2015	90.35	93.43	95.07	96.61	96.99	97.88	97(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	80	37	94	30.88	44%	0.19	28.2	1.95%	0	1.3	77	INF
15	Oct_19_2015	90.18	93.21	94.65	96.03	96.06	97.23	98.47(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	65	90	51	108	23.73	44%	0.22	23.2	1.98%	0	2	88	INF

16	Oct_16_2015	89.98	93.02	94.16	95.19	95.15	96.1	97.54(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	70	49	105	25.41	48%	0.19	22.1	2.05%	0	1.9	73	INF
17	Oct_15_2015	89.81	92.83	93.59	94.33	94.42	94.89	95.96(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	40	33	84	27.56	48%	0.18	18.2	2.05%	0	1.5	57	INF
18	Oct_14_2015	89.65	92.72	93.09	93.63	93.79	94.21	94.07(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	40	18	57	19.25	48%	0.17	15	2.03%	0	0.7	48	INF
19	Oct_13_2015	89.5	92.68	92.69	93.3	93.23	93.94	94.12(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	50	23	42	19.48	50%	0.06	17	2.03%	0	0.7	49	INF
20	Oct_12_2015	89.45	92.61	91.99	93.03	92.85	93.37	94.26(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	30	23	20	18.45	50%	0.16	21.4	2.05%	0	0.8	52	INF

21	Oct_9_2015	89.31	92.51	91.48	92.98	92.76	92.52	93.24(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-30	6	-6	20.01	52%	0.15	30.7	2.07%	0	0.4	44	INF
22	Oct_8_2015	89.18	92.44	91.4	92.75	92.87	92.32	92.47(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-40	-7	-20	27.29	50%	0.13	36.8	2.07%	0	0	45	INF
23	Oct_7_2015	89.06	92.42	91.54	92.45	92.46	92.99	92.4(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	40	4	-21	24.13	50%	0.13	37	2.08%	0	-0	45	INF
24	Oct_6_2015	88.94	92.34	91.67	91.95	91.82	93.41	92.8(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	47	120	64	-5	22.49	50%	0.14	35.8	2.08%	0	0.2	49	INF
25	Oct_5_2015	88.82	92.18	91.66	90.72	90.76	91.93	94.01(2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	47	90	71	-24	27.29	50%		19.4	2.08%	0	0.9	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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