Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $89.6800 (-0.47%) ($89.6500 - $90.8000) on Tue. Jul. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $89.6800(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(20%)    IBB(16%)    XLK(16%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    VIXM(-10%)    BND(-9%)    XLU(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.85(2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.46(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.39(3.81%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $255.588b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.88% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(29%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.76%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.13%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.46%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.62%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2015	81.96	86.39	87.46	87.85	88.38	89.75	89.68(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	130	76	38	26.63	62%	0.13	64.6	1.4%	0	1.3	56	INF
2	Jul_13_2015	81.85	85.95	87.06	87.36	87.36	88.46	90.1(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	90	73	28	29.98	62%	0.12	56.4	1.4%	0	1.6	67	INF
3	Jul_10_2015	81.75	85.52	86.8	86.85	86.77	87.02	87.95(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	20	32	22	23.25	59%	0.11	50.8	1.37%	0	0.9	69	INF
4	Jul_9_2015	81.66	85.22	86.78	86.72	86.67	86.25	85.88(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-40	-17	23	23.31	57%	0.11	48.9	1.34%	0	0.2	64	INF
5	Jul_8_2015	81.57	85.04	87.07	86.92	86.83	86.53	85.65(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-30	-27	59	24.4	57%	0.12	49.7	1.34%	0	0.2	66	INF

6	Jul_7_2015	81.47	84.81	87.3	86.95	87.08	87.09	87.22(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	10	8	110	33.06	60%	0.07	48.7	1.32%	0	0.8	74	INF
7	Jul_6_2015	81.41	84.49	87.08	86.66	86.86	87.13	87.55(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	30	5	123	24.64	60%	0.22	45.8	1.32%	0	1	77	INF
8	Jul_2_2015	81.23	84.21	86.62	86.75	86.68	87.07	87.29(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	30	12	136	16.91	60%	0.14	53.6	1.33%	0	1.1	71	INF
9	Jul_1_2015	81.12	83.94	86.21	86.89	86.86	86.59	86.91(1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	33	-20	-4	143	25.26	60%	0.15	60.4	1.33%	0	1.1	69	INF
10	Jun_30_2015	81	83.71	85.73	87.28	87.25	86.28	85.77(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-80	-52	140	23.23	58%	0.14	69	1.32%	0	0.8	64	INF

11	Jun_29_2015	80.89	83.45	85.3	87.71	87.25	87.12	85.8(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-50	-38	165	35.96	58%	0.15	75.2	1.32%	0	0.9	69	INF
12	Jun_26_2015	80.77	83.17	84.83	87.49	87.79	88.22	88.01(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	73	40	32	197	38.21	63%	0.15	72	1.28%	0	1.7	78	INF
13	Jun_25_2015	80.65	82.72	84.17	86.39	86.86	88.46	87.98(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	120	150	97	189	27.3	58%	0.16	63.7	1.28%	0	2	69	INF
14	Jun_24_2015	80.52	82.31	83.53	85.38	85.35	87.35	88.86(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	147	160	139	172	41.37	58%	0.17	58.8	1.32%	0	2.8	72	INF
15	Jun_23_2015	80.38	81.87	82.8	83.97	83.86	85.25	87.88(3.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	123	110	123	121	50.67	58%	0.16	52.6	1.32%	0	3.2	68	INF

16	Jun_22_2015	80.25	81.42	82.04	82.6	82.71	83.36	84.74(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	69	60	71	63	29.38	53%	0.11	41.4	1.24%	0	2.6	68	INF
17	Jun_19_2015	80.16	81.19	81.61	81.8	81.92	82.47	82.51(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	50	34	25	23.35	53%	0.06	30.7	1.21%	0	1.3	62	INF
18	Jun_18_2015	80.11	81.09	81.56	81.6	81.41	82.05	82.91(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	50	37	35	26.78	55%	0.07	23	1.24%	0	1.8	69	INF
19	Jun_17_2015	80.05	80.96	81.45	81.38	81.21	81.37	81.79(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	10	21	32	18.35	56%	0.08	28.8	1.25%	0	0.9	59	INF
20	Jun_16_2015	79.99	80.9	81.5	81.46	81.29	80.76	81.06(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-50	-14	31	13.69	56%	0.05	48.6	1.26%	0	0.2	53	INF

21	Jun_15_2015	79.95	80.89	81.46	81.38	81.45	81.06	80.71(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-15	-30	-29	29	18.81	56%	0.04	61.5	1.26%	0	-0.2	58	INF
22	Jun_12_2015	79.92	80.88	81.44	81.37	81.42	81.82	81.53(-0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	40	-1	40	11.42	58%	0.05	71.6	1.26%	0	0.7	55	INF
23	Jun_11_2015	79.88	80.86	81.22	81.49	81.33	81.85	81.83(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	40	32	50	18.66	58%	0.06	91.7	1.28%	0	1.1	56	INF
24	Jun_10_2015	79.83	80.7	81.06	81.54	81.3	81.02	82.16(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-30	4	39	21.53	54%	0.08	85.4	1.28%	0	1.5	57	INF
25	Jun_9_2015	79.77	80.47	80.89	81.59	81.44	80.8	80.67(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-23	-60	-38	24	16.5	52%		75.5	1.29%	0	0.2	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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