Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $87.8800 (3.71%) ($84.7600 - $87.9700) on Tue. Jun. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $87.8800(3.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(20%)    IBB(16%)    XLK(16%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    VIXM(-10%)    BND(-9%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLU(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.97(4.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.8(6.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.87(7.34%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $250.458b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.63%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.47%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.34%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.5%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2015	80.38	81.87	82.8	83.97	83.86	85.25	87.88(3.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	123	110	123	121	50.67	58%	0.16	52.6	1.32%	0	3.2	68	0
2	Jun_22_2015	80.25	81.42	82.04	82.6	82.71	83.36	84.74(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	69	60	71	63	29.38	53%	0.11	41.4	1.24%	0	2.6	68	0
3	Jun_19_2015	80.16	81.19	81.61	81.8	81.92	82.47	82.51(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	50	34	25	23.35	53%	0.06	30.7	1.21%	0	1.3	62	0
4	Jun_18_2015	80.11	81.09	81.56	81.6	81.41	82.05	82.91(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	50	37	35	26.78	55%	0.07	23	1.24%	0	1.8	69	0
5	Jun_17_2015	80.05	80.96	81.45	81.38	81.21	81.37	81.79(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	10	21	32	18.35	56%	0.08	28.8	1.25%	0	0.9	59	0

6	Jun_16_2015	79.99	80.9	81.5	81.46	81.29	80.76	81.06(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-50	-14	31	13.69	56%	0.05	48.6	1.26%	0	0.2	53	0
7	Jun_15_2015	79.95	80.89	81.46	81.38	81.45	81.06	80.71(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-15	-30	-29	29	18.81	56%	0.04	61.5	1.26%	0	-0.2	58	0
8	Jun_12_2015	79.92	80.88	81.44	81.37	81.42	81.82	81.53(-0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	40	-1	40	11.42	58%	0.05	71.6	1.26%	0	0.7	55	0
9	Jun_11_2015	79.88	80.86	81.22	81.49	81.33	81.85	81.83(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	40	32	50	18.66	58%	0.06	91.7	1.28%	0	1.1	56	0
10	Jun_10_2015	79.83	80.7	81.06	81.54	81.3	81.02	82.16(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-30	4	39	21.53	54%	0.08	85.4	1.28%	0	1.5	57	0

11	Jun_9_2015	79.77	80.47	80.89	81.59	81.44	80.8	80.67(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-23	-60	-38	24	16.5	52%	0.01	75.5	1.29%	0	0.2	51	0
12	Jun_8_2015	79.76	80.35	80.77	81.55	81.8	81.58	80.67(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10	-13	25	16.92	52%	0.08	65.6	1.3%	0	0.3	49	0
13	Jun_5_2015	79.7	80.25	80.76	81.47	81.58	82.08	82.14(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	50	27	41	16.14	52%	0.1	60.4	1.29%	0	1.4	59	0
14	Jun_4_2015	79.62	80.06	80.58	80.88	81	82.03	82.05(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	90	59	30	20.86	54%	0.08	47.8	1.29%	0	1.5	52	0
15	Jun_3_2015	79.56	79.86	80.41	80.5	80.34	81.09	82.44(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	52	60	59	29	31.77	54%	0.08	32.1	1.3%	0	2	67	0

16	Jun_2_2015	79.5	79.62	80.2	80.12	79.96	79.97	80.45(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10	21	18	18.92	51%	0.05	13.8	1.27%	0	0.7	66	0
17	Jun_1_2015	79.46	79.53	80.24	79.9	79.9	79.59	80.29(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-9	-30	-16	12	18.12	51%	0.04	-2.6	1.27%	0	0.6	62	0
18	May_29_2015	79.43	79.47	80.25	79.95	79.95	79.94	79.19(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-0	-22	21	16.13	49%	0.01	-11.3	1.27%	0	-0.2	55	0
19	May_28_2015	79.42	79.45	80.47	80.21	80.23	80.21	80.15(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-0	8	58	11.98	49%	0.05	-18.5	1.27%	0	0.6	60	0
20	May_27_2015	79.38	79.46	80.32	80.29	80.24	79.96	80.55(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-30	-13	56	14.16	47%	0.05	-32.2	1.28%	0	0.9	64	0

21	May_26_2015	79.34	79.45	80.04	80.31	80.32	80.24	79.34(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10	-23	53	16.32	45%	0.05	-42.9	1.29%	0	-0.1	62	0
22	May_22_2015	79.3	79.57	79.94	80.62	80.61	80.52	80.54(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10	4	72	19.57	47%	0.01	-36.3	1.27%	0	0.7	59	0
23	May_21_2015	79.29	79.6	79.74	80.59	80.64	80.41	80.48(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-20	-18	61	13.4	47%	0.03	-32.3	1.28%	0	0.6	57	0
24	May_20_2015	79.27	79.68	79.54	80.77	80.75	80.71	80.55(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-0	3	75	23.06	47%	0.03	-23.9	1.3%	0	0.5	59	0
25	May_19_2015	79.25	79.85	79.29	80.35	80.71	80.87	80.63(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	30	32	61	17.96	52%		-23.5	1.3%	0	0.4	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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