Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $82.9200 (-2.8%) ($82.9200 - $85.5200) on Wed. Mar. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $82.9200(-2.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(21%)    IBB(16%)    XBI(16%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    BND(-9%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLU(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.84(-1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.6(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.58(2.9%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $236.322b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.71% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.05%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.56%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.05%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.3%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2015	77.39	80.58	81.6	83.84	84.31	84.68	82.92(-2.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	51	50	20	142	37.44	54%	0.09	57.9	1.41%	0	1.1	54	INF
2	Mar_24_2015	77.32	80.4	81.09	83.44	83.75	84.65	85.31(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	91	90	74	141	32.58	58%	0.16	60.3	1.38%	0	2.3	63	INF
3	Mar_23_2015	77.2	80.04	80.29	82.25	82.49	83.93	84.43(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	94	130	91	104	27.36	58%	0.13	59.6	1.37%	0	2.4	65	INF
4	Mar_20_2015	77.1	79.74	79.75	80.98	81.2	82.84	83.8(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	106	150	116	74	44.47	61%	0.13	57.5	1.39%	0	2.6	63	INF
5	Mar_19_2015	77	79.52	79.31	79.83	79.74	81.06	82.75(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	73	110	87	32	42.1	62%	0.09	58.6	1.39%	0	2.6	63	INF

6	Mar_18_2015	76.93	79.33	79.1	79.07	78.85	79.55	80.91(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	47	50	62	3	36.91	63%	0.01	56.8	1.38%	0	1.4	51	INF
7	Mar_17_2015	76.92	79.13	79.06	78.4	78.44	78.42	79.37(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	-0	23	-27	22.17	63%	-0.01	41.1	1.41%	0	0.2	49	INF
8	Mar_16_2015	76.93	78.96	79.07	78.03	78.14	78.15	78.07(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	10	-18	-49	19.31	57%	-0.04	37.2	1.42%	0	-0.7	50	INF
9	Mar_13_2015	76.96	78.86	79.25	78.31	78.23	78.46	78.05(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	20	-0	-29	18.56	57%	-0.03	42.5	1.46%	0	-0.5	48	INF
10	Mar_12_2015	76.98	78.79	79.36	78.7	78.47	78.13	78.93(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-40	-14	-28	16.09	57%	0	49.5	1.47%	0	0.1	46	INF

11	Mar_11_2015	76.98	78.68	79.5	79.16	78.98	77.99	77.57(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52	-90	-59	-29	20.22	57%	-0.01	57.9	1.45%	0	-0.7	44	INF
12	Mar_10_2015	76.99	78.58	79.72	79.82	79.88	78.82	77.55(-2.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-40	-90	-55	5	23.07	57%	0.01	63.5	1.48%	0	-0.6	56	INF
13	Mar_9_2015	76.98	78.46	79.85	80.23	80.34	79.97	79.44(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-15	-30	-34	41	18.93	61%	0.05	62.5	1.45%	0	0.5	67	INF
14	Mar_6_2015	76.94	78.22	79.81	80.29	80.32	80.94	80.01(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	60	18	80	24.49	61%	0.09	56.6	1.43%	0	0.8	68	INF
15	Mar_5_2015	76.87	78	79.79	80.09	80.01	80.71	81.21(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	60	46	105	27.83	63%	0.12	49.5	1.43%	0	1.5	71	INF

16	Mar_4_2015	76.78	77.72	79.6	79.93	79.64	79.7	80.9(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10	16	104	28.13	63%	0.09	48.3	1.44%	0	1.5	68	INF
17	Mar_3_2015	76.71	77.43	79.19	79.66	79.71	79.32	79.6(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	22	-30	-4	99	18.63	62%	0.09	46.5	1.43%	0	1.1	69	INF
18	Mar_2_2015	76.64	77.2	78.82	79.43	79.67	79.58	79.75(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	0	-12	97	21.66	62%	0.09	38.2	1.43%	0	1.3	72	INF
19	Feb_27_2015	76.57	77	78.44	79.25	79.51	80.11	78.97(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	60	11	107	30.74	56%	0.04	33.3	1.47%	0	1	71	INF
20	Feb_26_2015	76.54	76.94	78.18	79.43	79.38	79.77	80.41(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	30	36	129	31.11	62%	0.04	37.7	1.46%	0	1.8	69	INF

21	Feb_25_2015	76.51	76.71	77.78	79.23	79.23	78.91	79.56(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-30	11	118	25.59	64%	0.05	37.4	1.49%	0	1.7	67	INF
22	Feb_24_2015	76.47	76.51	77.34	78.66	79.01	78.99	78.45(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	10	3	99	18.9	64%	0.01	29.3	1.51%	0	1.2	65	INF
23	Feb_23_2015	76.46	76.44	76.95	78.09	78.41	79.54	78.84(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	110	46	98	24.14	64%	0.01	27.1	1.51%	0	1.6	69	INF
24	Feb_20_2015	76.45	76.37	76.52	77.47	77.5	79.02	79.9(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	91	140	90	93	36.93	64%	0.04	28.4	1.49%	0	2.4	67	INF
25	Feb_19_2015	76.42	76.23	76.06	76.74	76.58	77.27	79.42(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	59	60	62	50	45.85	64%		21.3	1.49%	0	2.6	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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