Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $78.0000 (2.31%) ($74.2100 - $78.0200) on Thu. Jan. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $78.0000(2.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(21%)    IBB(17%)    XLK(17%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    BND(-9%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLU(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.07(1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.57(1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.81(1.55%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $222.3b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.84%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.55%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.19%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_29_2015	76.66	76.81	76.57	77.07	76.88	76.73	78(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-20	5	6	61.29	54%	0.01	-65.5	1.44%	0	1.1	48	0
2	Jan_28_2015	76.65	76.86	76.38	77	77.11	76.47	76.24(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-50	-22	-7	53.31	51%	-0.01	-76.8	1.61%	0	-0.6	51	0
3	Jan_27_2015	76.66	77.03	76.4	77.1	77.26	77.03	75.78(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10	-25	-4	20.11	51%	-0.03	-67.5	1.61%	0	-1	50	0
4	Jan_26_2015	76.68	77.27	76.4	77.19	77.33	77.74	77.5(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	40	25	16	19.26	54%	0	-51.1	1.58%	0	0.2	51	0
5	Jan_23_2015	76.68	77.42	76.4	76.73	76.82	77.5	77.83(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	70	46	9	16.75	57%	0.03	-39.7	1.59%	0	0.3	46	0

6	Jan_22_2015	76.66	77.54	76.5	75.97	76.05	76.91	77.65(1.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	25	80	38	-14	19.52	57%	0.03	-35.9	1.61%	0	0.1	47	0
7	Jan_21_2015	76.64	77.71	76.34	75.7	75.51	76.14	76.74(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	14	50	31	-38	25.1	59%	0	-25.8	1.6%	0	-0.5	39	0
8	Jan_20_2015	76.64	77.86	76.28	75.64	75.5	75.18	76.24(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-40	3	-68	22.82	59%	0.03	-20.6	1.63%	0	-0.8	35	0
9	Jan_16_2015	76.62	77.97	76.37	75.74	75.78	74.87	75.18(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-80	-47	-98	21.79	63%	0.01	-16.6	1.71%	0	-1.3	28	0
10	Jan_15_2015	76.61	78.05	76.69	76.25	76.43	75.81	74.05(-2.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-63	-50	-51	-98	34.13	63%	-0.01	-10.4	1.7%	0	-2	22	0

11	Jan_14_2015	76.62	78.12	77.1	77.07	77.13	76.69	76.28(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-40	-14	-76	25.92	67%	0.01	-4	1.66%	0	-1	27	0
12	Jan_13_2015	76.61	78.17	77.39	77.05	77.34	77.05	76.45(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10	-13	-86	25.18	67%	0.01	-3.3	1.67%	0	-0.9	25	0
13	Jan_12_2015	76.6	78.25	77.73	76.99	77.24	77.57	76.72(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	40	-0	-83	19.19	67%	0.03	-0.4	1.66%	0	-0.8	37	0
14	Jan_9_2015	76.58	78.32	78.12	77.08	77.09	77.62	77.74(-0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	50	19	-62	21.16	59%	0.05	6.8	1.73%	0	-0.3	49	0
15	Jan_8_2015	76.54	78.25	78.4	77.22	77.06	76.91	78.18(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-20	6	-47	23.96	60%	0.04	12.3	1.75%	0	-0	60	0

16	Jan_7_2015	76.51	78.19	78.63	77.19	77.34	76.55	76.15(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-40	-70	-38	-44	22.05	58%	0.01	15.2	1.73%	0	-1.1	60	0
17	Jan_6_2015	76.5	78.23	79.16	77.81	77.91	77.2	76.15(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-43	-60	-51	-17	27.4	58%	0.03	28	1.74%	0	-1.1	50	0
18	Jan_5_2015	76.48	78.27	79.57	78.58	78.68	78.12	77.19(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-22	-50	-35	17	26.45	58%	0.04	37.3	1.73%	0	-0.6	50	0
19	Jan_2_2015	76.45	78.19	79.73	79.3	79.3	78.61	78.45(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-18	-60	-36	38	18.18	58%	0.09	42.5	1.72%	0	0.1	54	0
20	Dec_31_2014	76.38	78.03	79.55	79.76	79.92	79.25	78.02(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-17	-50	-39	50	20.04	55%	0.08	43.8	1.72%	0	-0	58	0

21	Dec_30_2014	76.32	77.91	79.28	80.28	80.47	79.99	79.22(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-30	-31	58	14.37	55%	0.07	52.7	1.76%	0	0.6	59	0
22	Dec_29_2014	76.27	77.71	79.08	80.73	80.87	80.6	80.02(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-20	-12	81	14.13	55%	0.11	60.6	1.75%	0	1.1	63	0
23	Dec_26_2014	76.19	77.58	78.86	80.7	81.01	80.95	80.78(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	10	8	96	10.65	56%	0.14	72.2	1.75%	0	1.5	66	0
24	Dec_24_2014	76.08	77.4	78.54	80.22	80.6	81.15	80.77(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	60	30	105	7.69	55%	0.11	80.9	1.77%	0	1.7	69	0
25	Dec_23_2014	76	77.13	78.08	79.29	79.74	81.08	80.61(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	79	130	70	105	19.87	56%		76.6	1.77%	0	1.9	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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