Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $78.4000 (3.01%) ($76.5100 - $78.4000) on Thu. Dec. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $78.4000(3.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(22%)    IBB(17%)    XLK(17%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    BND(-10%)    BNDX(-5%)    TLT(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.8(2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.77(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.08(3.05%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $223.44b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.33%(82%) Average negative next day return: -1.86%(18%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.45%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -2.57%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.07%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.51%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2014	75.76	76.08	76.77	76.8	76.63	76.58	78.4(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	-10	27	35	34.22	53%	0.05	46.2	1.76%	0	1.7	51	INF
2	Dec_17_2014	75.72	75.83	76.45	76.67	76.67	75.66	76.11(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-90	-37	-2	29.2	50%	0.03	39.2	1.72%	0	0.2	44	INF
3	Dec_16_2014	75.7	75.75	76.35	76.68	77.1	76.68	74.69(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-20	-40	-6	31.55	50%	0	37.9	1.71%	0	-0.7	48	INF
4	Dec_15_2014	75.7	75.74	76.45	77.11	77.32	77.69	76.99(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	40	14	33	29.4	50%	0.03	44	1.68%	0	0.9	63	INF
5	Dec_12_2014	75.68	75.63	76.27	77.02	76.9	77.52	77.83(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	50	26	41	28.09	50%	0.03	41.1	1.74%	0	1.5	68	INF

6	Dec_11_2014	75.66	75.44	76.22	76.73	76.55	76.96	77.73(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	30	32	54	33.49	50%	0.09	34.4	1.75%	0	1.7	68	INF
7	Dec_10_2014	75.59	75.28	76.18	76.23	76.24	76.28	76.18(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	0	15	53	32.21	48%	0.09	25.7	1.73%	0	0.7	65	INF
8	Dec_9_2014	75.52	75.2	76.13	75.97	75.85	76.14	76.84(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	20	6	49	25.36	48%	0.09	16.3	1.73%	0	1.3	61	INF
9	Dec_8_2014	75.45	75.1	75.86	75.69	75.64	76.2	76.52(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	50	26	50	25.73	48%	0.12	15.3	1.74%	0	1.2	61	INF
10	Dec_5_2014	75.36	75.04	75.6	75.41	75.42	75.57	76.36(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	10	10	33	24.31	49%	0.13	11.2	1.74%	0	1.2	56	INF

11	Dec_4_2014	75.26	74.98	75.33	75.68	75.43	75.08	75.24(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-12	-40	-24	24	14.39	49%	0.09	23.1	1.75%	0	0.2	56	INF
12	Dec_3_2014	75.19	74.96	75.16	76.15	76.09	75.27	74.88(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-80	-23	32	16.69	49%	0.11	31.3	1.75%	0	-0.1	51	INF
13	Dec_2_2014	75.11	75	75.12	76.3	76.47	75.78	75.46(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-60	-26	34	16.77	52%	0.11	14.8	1.75%	0	0.4	54	INF
14	Dec_1_2014	75.03	74.92	75	76.01	76.34	76.92	75.1(-3.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	15	70	7	37	31.79	52%	0.12	-17.8	1.77%	0	0.2	51	INF
15	Nov_28_2014	74.94	74.91	74.97	75.74	75.77	77.16	77.7(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	65	130	69	53	15.99	55%	0.29	-47	1.73%	0	2.5	59	INF

16	Nov_26_2014	74.72	74.72	74.6	74.92	74.85	75.77	77.62(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	58	80	68	28	32.72	53%	0.2	-107.1	1.74%	0	3.1	61	INF
17	Nov_25_2014	74.57	74.61	74.27	74.06	74.01	74.37	75.63(2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	30	22	-14	32.25	51%	0.15	-92	1.71%	0	0.7	54	INF
18	Nov_24_2014	74.46	74.83	74.15	73.81	73.71	73.94	74.01(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	20	6	-33	22.1	49%	-0.01	-73.2	1.69%	0	-0.4	36	INF
19	Nov_21_2014	74.47	75.12	74.24	73.85	73.85	73.64	73.75(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	-20	-2	-31	23.06	49%	0.11	-55.8	1.69%	0	-0.6	51	INF
20	Nov_20_2014	74.39	75.45	74.42	74.08	74	73.49	73.6(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-50	-25	-32	19.15	49%	0.09	-41.2	1.69%	0	-0.8	43	INF

21	Nov_19_2014	74.32	75.76	74.59	74.21	74.33	74.06	73.33(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-20	-21	-22	25.44	49%	0.07	-26.5	1.69%	0	-1	48	INF
22	Nov_18_2014	74.27	76.01	74.75	74.49	74.51	74.52	74.34(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	0	-3	-13	20.7	49%	0.09	-13.9	1.69%	0	-0.7	43	INF
23	Nov_17_2014	74.2	76.23	74.89	74.54	74.51	74.6	74.24(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	10	1	-31	28.7	49%	0.09	-3.9	1.7%	0	-0.9	28	INF
24	Nov_14_2014	74.13	76.37	74.87	74.69	74.52	74.5	74.88(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10	-3	-56	19.48	49%	0.11	5.7	1.7%	0	-0.7	32	INF
25	Nov_13_2014	74.05	76.44	74.88	74.84	74.66	74.44	74.25(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-30	-10	-79	26.45	49%		13.1	1.7%	0	-0.9	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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