Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $73.6000 (0.37%) ($72.5100 - $73.9900) on Thu. Nov. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $73.6000(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(22%)    XLK(17%)    XBI(16%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    GLD(-4%)    BNDX(-4%)    XLU(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $69.12(-6.09%)
Resistance Level   $75.45
5 Day Moving Average   $74.08(-0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.42(-1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.45(-2.45%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $209.76b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 3.13% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.54%(63%) Average negative next day return: -7.86%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.68%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -7.33%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.04%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.1%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2014	74.39	75.45	74.42	74.08	74	73.49	73.6(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-50	-25	-32	19.15	49%	0.09	-41.2	1.69%	0	-0.8	43	INF
2	Nov_19_2014	74.32	75.76	74.59	74.21	74.33	74.06	73.33(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-20	-21	-22	25.44	49%	0.07	-26.5	1.69%	0	-1	48	INF
3	Nov_18_2014	74.27	76.01	74.75	74.49	74.51	74.52	74.34(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	0	-3	-13	20.7	49%	0.09	-13.9	1.69%	0	-0.7	43	INF
4	Nov_17_2014	74.2	76.23	74.89	74.54	74.51	74.6	74.24(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	10	1	-31	28.7	49%	0.09	-3.9	1.7%	0	-0.9	28	INF
5	Nov_14_2014	74.13	76.37	74.87	74.69	74.52	74.5	74.88(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10	-3	-56	19.48	49%	0.11	5.7	1.7%	0	-0.7	32	INF

6	Nov_13_2014	74.05	76.44	74.88	74.84	74.66	74.44	74.25(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-30	-10	-79	26.45	49%	0.09	13.1	1.7%	0	-0.9	28	INF
7	Nov_12_2014	73.98	76.39	74.89	75.04	74.91	74.53	74.72(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-40	-13	-101	26.54	49%	0.12	9.3	1.7%	0	-0.7	32	INF
8	Nov_11_2014	73.89	76.34	74.99	75.06	75.06	74.88	74.61(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-20	-20	-115	18.74	49%	0.12	1.8	1.71%	0	-0.7	40	INF
9	Nov_10_2014	73.8	76.31	75.55	75.29	75.31	75.29	75(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	-0	6	-92	21.58	49%	0.15	-0.6	1.71%	0	-0.5	40	INF
10	Nov_7_2014	73.69	76.24	76.04	75.07	75.24	75.24	75.6(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	10	3	-88	20.77	49%	0.15	-10.6	1.7%	0	-0.2	48	INF

11	Nov_6_2014	73.58	76.12	76.51	74.94	75.24	75.33	75.26(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	30	6	-72	21.38	49%	0.14	-19.5	1.71%	0	-0.3	50	INF
12	Nov_5_2014	73.48	76.16	76.97	74.71	75.04	75.25	74.83(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	30	17	-45	35.91	49%	0.14	-23.8	1.7%	0	-0.5	59	INF
13	Nov_4_2014	73.38	76.3	77.34	74.92	74.72	74.75	75.76(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-10	-22	-35	39.33	49%	0.16	-20.5	1.7%	0	-0.2	59	INF
14	Nov_3_2014	73.26	76.33	77.64	75.92	74.94	74.83	73.88(-1.48%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-30	-50	-41	3	40.73	46%	0.14	-15	1.69%	0	-0.9	54	INF
15	Oct_31_2014	73.16	76.52	78.01	77.2	76.38	74.69	74.99(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-27	-190	-52	50	44.54	43%	0.14	-4.1	1.68%	0	-0.6	59	INF

16	Oct_30_2014	73.06	76.64	78.16	78.34	77.73	75.05	74.11(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-83	-260	-132	63	83.27	43%	0.12	5.6	1.7%	0	-1	58	INF
17	Oct_29_2014	72.97	76.8	78.12	79.52	79.2	78.08	75.86(-6.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-46	-110	-94	99	106.12	45%	0.14	18.9	1.69%	0	-0.4	51	INF
18	Oct_28_2014	72.87	76.84	77.93	80.03	80.21	80.41	80.77(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	20	18	157	74.21	52%	0.25	20.7	1.52%	0	1.5	58	INF
19	Oct_27_2014	72.69	76.72	77.21	79.61	79.79	80.32	80.28(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	50	33	142	30.17	52%	0.25	18.4	1.52%	0	1.4	60	INF
20	Oct_24_2014	72.51	76.63	76.48	78.94	79.2	80.01	80.67(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	74	80	60	114	32.25	58%	0.25	15.4	1.52%	0	1.7	56	INF

21	Oct_23_2014	72.33	76.5	75.69	78	78.2	79.26	80.04(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	100	72	68	35.06	60%	0.24	6.6	1.64%	0	1.6	55	INF
22	Oct_22_2014	72.16	76.33	75.22	76.52	77.01	78.4	78.37(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	72	150	86	28	41.86	58%	0.21	-12.2	1.65%	0	1	52	INF
23	Oct_21_2014	72.01	76.32	75.07	75.49	75.28	77.15	78.69(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	68	170	89	6	32.25	58%	0.22	-21.2	1.65%	0	1.1	55	INF
24	Oct_20_2014	71.85	76.27	74.77	74.47	73.83	75.62	76.95(1.32%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	62	140	93	-33	34.7	56%	0.2	-31.1	1.64%	0	0.3	42	INF
25	Oct_17_2014	71.71	76.26	74.78	73.67	73.13	73.41	75.95(4.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	25	0	58	-73	76.34	59%		-36.9	1.67%	0	-0.1	39	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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