Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $77.4300 (0.99%) ($76.5100 - $77.9500) on Wed. Sep. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $77.4300(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(22%)    XLK(18%)    XBI(17%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    VIXM(-12%)    BNDX(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    XLU(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.04(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.17(1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.44(2.64%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $220.676b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.3%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.99%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.69%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2014	67.22	75.44	76.17	77.04	77.11	77.13	77.43(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	0	3	55	29.91	79%	0.22	83.5	1.6%	0	1.6	61	INF
2	Sep_9_2014	67.07	75.21	76.01	77.04	76.85	77.37	76.67(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	50	11	51	28.88	79%	0.24	76.2	1.68%	0	1.2	56	INF
3	Sep_8_2014	66.91	75.05	75.84	76.72	76.69	77.08	77.89(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	30	40	66	28.18	79%	0.16	76.8	1.67%	0	2.3	65	INF
4	Sep_5_2014	66.8	74.8	75.5	76.11	76.24	76.33	77.26(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	10	21	47	29.48	79%	0.29	73.7	1.68%	0	2.2	67	INF
5	Sep_4_2014	66.61	74.59	75.22	75.43	75.72	76.29	75.95(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	60	18	29	26.68	78%	0.26	65.2	1.67%	0	1.3	58	INF

6	Sep_3_2014	66.44	74.42	75.1	75.16	75.2	76.16	75.83(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	90	37	35	32.39	78%	0.26	47.2	1.67%	0	1.3	60	INF
7	Sep_2_2014	66.27	74.26	75.03	75.19	74.81	75.15	76.68(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	37	20	34	46	34.98	78%	0.39	44.1	1.66%	0	2.2	68	INF
8	Aug_29_2014	66.01	74.1	74.81	74.86	74.72	74.25	74.82(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-0	-50	-9	26	26.24	76%	0.24	32.8	1.63%	0	0.7	58	INF
9	Aug_28_2014	65.85	73.98	74.7	74.81	74.85	74.48	73.86(-1.04%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-14	-30	-25	21	21.95	76%	0.18	18.7	1.63%	0	-0.1	56	INF
10	Aug_27_2014	65.73	73.98	74.76	74.95	74.92	75.19	74.63(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	20	-0	41	36.32	78%	0.24	11.9	1.62%	0	0.7	60	INF

11	Aug_26_2014	65.57	73.92	74.68	74.99	74.88	75.21	75.96(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	30	22	57	23.99	82%	0.31	28.4	1.65%	0	2.1	72	INF
12	Aug_25_2014	65.37	73.79	74.37	74.85	74.74	74.66	75.02(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10	4	48	19.73	82%	0.28	49.6	1.66%	0	1.4	67	INF
13	Aug_22_2014	65.19	73.77	74.21	74.77	74.74	74.54	74.57(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-20	-6	42	20.9	82%	0.25	73.6	1.66%	0	0.9	57	INF
14	Aug_21_2014	65.03	73.79	74.07	74.58	74.77	74.83	74.57(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	10	-0	44	20.1	83%	0.18	100.8	1.66%	0	0.8	63	INF
15	Aug_20_2014	64.91	73.8	73.93	74.52	74.56	75	74.81(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	40	15	50	22.92	83%	0.19	124.8	1.7%	0	0.9	62	INF

16	Aug_19_2014	64.79	73.63	73.7	74.32	74.35	74.72	75.29(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	40	33	43	26.68	83%	0.25	104.8	1.7%	0	1.2	51	INF
17	Aug_18_2014	64.63	73.35	73.43	73.82	73.96	74.11	74.59(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	20	13	18	23.97	83%	0.23	91.1	1.72%	0	0.8	53	INF
18	Aug_15_2014	64.48	73.1	73.31	73.59	73.6	73.99	73.63(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	40	9	4	38.91	83%	0.19	79.6	1.71%	0	0.3	43	INF
19	Aug_14_2014	64.36	72.86	73.18	73.48	73.49	73.82	74.3(0.71%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	18	30	25	-4	22.21	83%	0.23	67.6	1.74%	0	0.6	44	INF
20	Aug_13_2014	64.21	72.49	73.01	73.25	73.25	73.21	73.77(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-0	7	-28	29.18	83%	0.14	63.6	1.74%	0	0.5	43	INF

21	Aug_12_2014	64.12	72.2	73.08	72.99	73.17	73.17	72.83(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	10	-1	-24	27.42	85%	0.14	61.3	1.74%	0	0.2	58	INF
22	Aug_11_2014	64.03	71.94	73.16	72.97	73.07	73.29	73.44(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	30	5	-4	24.59	85%	0.09	66.8	1.81%	0	0.5	67	INF
23	Aug_8_2014	63.97	71.68	73.29	72.98	72.94	73.17	73.06(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	20	11	21	27.2	85%	0.09	67.5	1.81%	0	0.5	66	INF
24	Aug_7_2014	63.91	71.36	73.49	72.84	72.92	72.86	73.17(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-0	9	45	38.14	85%	0.08	61.6	1.82%	0	0.6	69	INF
25	Aug_6_2014	63.86	70.97	73.66	72.74	72.7	72.71	72.47(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-0	-17	68	30.99	77%		55.6	1.84%	0	0.4	73	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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