Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $74.2960 (0.71%) ($73.6900 - $74.3800) on Thu. Aug. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $74.2960(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(22%)    XLK(18%)    XBI(17%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    SHY(-12%)    BNDX(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    XLU(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.48(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.18(1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.86(1.97%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   28.3%
Market Cap   $211.744b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 3.12% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.63%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 5.07%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 6.86%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2014	64.36	72.86	73.18	73.48	73.49	73.82	74.3(0.71%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	18	30	25	-4	22.21	83%	0.23	67.6	1.74%	0	0.6	44	INF
2	Aug_13_2014	64.21	72.49	73.01	73.25	73.25	73.21	73.77(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-0	7	-28	29.18	83%	0.14	63.6	1.74%	0	0.5	43	INF
3	Aug_12_2014	64.12	72.2	73.08	72.99	73.17	73.17	72.83(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	10	-1	-24	27.42	85%	0.14	61.3	1.74%	0	0.2	58	INF
4	Aug_11_2014	64.03	71.94	73.16	72.97	73.07	73.29	73.44(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	30	5	-4	24.59	85%	0.09	66.8	1.81%	0	0.5	67	INF
5	Aug_8_2014	63.97	71.68	73.29	72.98	72.94	73.17	73.06(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	20	11	21	27.2	85%	0.09	67.5	1.81%	0	0.5	66	INF

6	Aug_7_2014	63.91	71.36	73.49	72.84	72.92	72.86	73.17(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-0	9	45	38.14	85%	0.08	61.6	1.82%	0	0.6	69	INF
7	Aug_6_2014	63.86	70.97	73.66	72.74	72.7	72.71	72.47(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-0	-17	68	30.99	77%	0.06	55.6	1.84%	0	0.4	73	INF
8	Aug_5_2014	63.82	70.61	73.58	73.18	72.9	72.97	72.69(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-0	-2	98	34.99	77%	0.06	50.7	1.93%	0	0.6	67	INF
9	Aug_4_2014	63.78	70.14	73.29	73.38	73.31	72.68	73.51(1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-60	-12	111	30.78	77%	0.08	46.3	1.93%	0	0.9	71	INF
10	Aug_1_2014	63.73	69.73	72.91	73.66	73.6	72.83	72.36(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-80	-46	114	43.54	77%	0.06	45.9	1.93%	0	0.7	65	INF

11	Jul_31_2014	63.69	69.43	72.57	74.23	74.23	73.93	72.65(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-30	-25	149	43.99	77%	0.03	49.9	1.94%	0	0.8	70	INF
12	Jul_30_2014	63.67	69.12	72	74.7	74.68	74.37	74.68(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	48	-30	2	186	36.85	83%	0.08	53.3	1.92%	0	1.5	80	INF
13	Jul_29_2014	63.62	68.76	71.31	74.02	74.93	74.53	73.71(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	59	-0	15	189	41.32	84%	0.02	54.9	1.94%	0	1.4	78	INF
14	Jul_28_2014	63.61	68.41	70.66	73.13	74.01	74.99	74.92(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	69	130	28	193	41.73	84%	0.08	53.5	1.96%	0	1.9	86	INF
15	Jul_25_2014	63.56	68.01	69.93	72.03	72.63	75.34	75.19(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	127	290	100	206	45.92	77%	0.08	54.9	2%	0	2.4	73	INF

16	Jul_24_2014	63.51	67.57	69.01	70.67	71.14	73.02	74.98(5.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	138	200	125	178	124.17	77%	0.05	56.1	2.12%	0	3	69	INF
17	Jul_23_2014	63.48	67.15	67.97	68.96	69.12	69.92	71.29(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	56	90	40	103	78.43	74%	0.05	55.6	2.03%	0	2.3	63	INF
18	Jul_22_2014	63.45	66.85	67.33	68.23	68.2	69.26	69.27(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	110	36	73	40.4	73%	0.03	56	2.04%	0	1.6	52	INF
19	Jul_21_2014	63.43	66.65	66.69	67.81	67.75	68.31	69.4(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	60	39	46	49.54	75%	0.02	55.2	2.07%	0	1.9	55	INF
20	Jul_18_2014	63.42	66.4	66.26	67.51	67.3	67.15	68.42(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-20	5	16	42.46	75%	-0.02	52.6	2.11%	0	1.4	51	INF

21	Jul_17_2014	63.43	66.2	66.02	67.09	67.32	67.19	66.41(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	2	-0	2	2	38.19	73%	-0.05	45.7	2.1%	0	0.2	48	INF
22	Jul_16_2014	63.46	66.16	66.02	66.79	67.05	67.46	67.66(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	50	20	-2	29.59	73%	-0.03	39	2.09%	0	1.1	50	INF
23	Jul_15_2014	63.48	65.99	66.01	66.25	66.2	67.45	67.17(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	130	44	3	44.29	73%	-0.06	23.7	2.09%	0	0.8	55	INF
24	Jul_14_2014	63.52	65.85	66	65.37	65.4	66.64	67.9(2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	45	130	61	-4	38.54	73%	0	10.3	2.09%	0	1.5	59	INF
25	Jul_11_2014	63.52	65.67	65.93	64.85	64.49	64.95	66.34(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	30	19	-23	39.21	72%		6.8	2.07%	0	0.5	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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