Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $68.0600 (1.14%) ($67.3900 - $68.4400) on Tue. Jul. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $68.0600(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(50%)    XHB(43%)    QQQ(23%)    XLK(18%)    XBI(17%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    VIXM(-12%)    BNDX(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.5(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.38(2.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.28(4.26%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.2%
Market Cap   $193.971b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.03%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.46%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.15%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -0.82%(38%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.4%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.11%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2014	63.64	65.28	66.38	67.5	67.55	67.66	68.06(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	10	15	64	33.24	62%	0.06	66.9	2.39%	0	1.7	60	0
2	Jun_30_2014	63.6	65.02	66.01	67.04	67.21	67.41	67.29(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	30	9	47	27.2	62%	0.05	61	2.41%	0	1.4	57	0
3	Jun_27_2014	63.57	64.8	65.7	66.65	66.82	67.44	67.6(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	70	24	51	46.46	62%	0.09	62.8	2.42%	0	1.9	71	0
4	Jun_26_2014	63.51	64.58	65.38	66.03	66.2	67.01	67.13(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	90	34	49	47.71	56%	0.08	65.9	2.42%	0	1.9	71	0
5	Jun_25_2014	63.46	64.4	65.08	65.47	65.39	66.2	67.44(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	28	80	25	37	44.31	56%	0.08	73.3	2.58%	0	2.5	68	0

6	Jun_24_2014	63.41	64.19	64.88	65.11	64.99	65.39	65.72(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	40	22	37	57.33	51%	0.06	100.6	2.56%	0	1.5	62	0
7	Jun_23_2014	63.37	64.08	64.86	64.84	64.76	65.39	65.37(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-20	4	33	34.56	51%	0.05	119	2.63%	0	1.3	63	0
8	Jun_20_2014	63.34	63.88	64.63	64.84	64.62	64.59	64.5(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-0	-6	25	46.47	51%	0.05	115.1	2.63%	0	0.6	59	0
9	Jun_19_2014	63.31	63.7	64.45	64.61	64.61	64.93	64.34(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	30	7	28	34.25	51%	0.17	107.8	2.63%	0	0.5	56	0
10	Jun_18_2014	63.2	63.52	64.35	64.6	64.51	64.65	65.6(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	10	6	26	35.57	51%	0.17	100.9	2.63%	0	1.4	59	0

11	Jun_17_2014	63.09	63.18	64.12	64.63	64.56	64.29	64.4(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-30	-8	21	27.71	51%	0.17	84.2	2.62%	0	0.7	56	0
12	Jun_16_2014	62.98	62.93	63.97	64.91	64.84	64.37	64.19(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-50	-7	26	31.05	51%	0.16	80	2.63%	0	0.7	55	0
13	Jun_13_2014	62.88	62.64	63.87	64.64	64.94	64.83	64.5(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	0	1	30	29.42	51%	0.13	70	2.63%	0	0.9	68	0
14	Jun_12_2014	62.8	62.32	63.74	64.24	64.47	65.31	64.29(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	100	14	37	55.73	51%	0.11	62.9	2.66%	0	0.9	71	0
15	Jun_11_2014	62.73	62.07	63.69	64.02	63.9	65.05	65.78(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	42	120	38	53	44.24	51%	0.13	63.7	2.65%	0	1.6	80	0

16	Jun_10_2014	62.65	61.76	63.44	63.54	63.41	63.63	65.77(4.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	36	20	29	57	69.34	53%	0.05	64.6	2.67%	0	1.8	85	0
17	Jun_9_2014	62.62	61.45	63.18	62.96	62.96	62.74	62.88(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-20	-10	46	37.62	50%	0.11	59.3	2.63%	0	0.7	73	0
18	Jun_6_2014	62.55	61.18	63.05	63	63.01	63.19	62.5(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	20	-2	62	42.44	50%	0.08	49.6	2.64%	0	0.6	76	0
19	Jun_5_2014	62.5	60.91	62.88	63.16	63.01	63.18	63.19(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	10	5	79	47.35	53%	0.1	39.9	2.64%	0	1	81	0
20	Jun_4_2014	62.44	60.62	62.63	63.28	63.04	62.84	63.34(0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	-30	-4	83	36.51	53%	0.1	36.4	2.69%	0	1.1	70	0

21	Jun_3_2014	62.38	60.38	62.19	63.32	63.29	62.9	62.87(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-40	-9	80	32.22	53%	0.11	39.1	2.7%	0	1.1	64	0
22	Jun_2_2014	62.31	60.27	61.84	63.44	63.44	63.24	63.08(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-20	-3	85	36	53%	0.08	52.5	2.7%	0	1.2	65	0
23	May_30_2014	62.26	60.13	61.35	63.09	63.33	63.68	63.3(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	50	14	89	45.28	53%	0.1	57	2.72%	0	1.5	75	0
24	May_29_2014	62.2	59.99	60.82	62.54	62.67	63.64	63.83(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	110	28	88	42.7	53%	0.1	53.2	2.75%	0	1.9	78	0
25	May_28_2014	62.14	59.77	60.34	61.87	61.91	62.98	63.51(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	120	46	89	47.8	53%		45.8	2.77%	0	2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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