Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $63.0301 (2.92%) ($62.2200 - $63.4400) on Tue. Apr. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.17% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $63.0301(2.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(43%)    QQQ(23%)    XBI(19%)    XLK(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    BNDX(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    GLD(-4%)    XLU(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.585% (StdDev 3.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.4(4.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.96(5.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.18(4.74%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $179.636b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 3.42% (three month std-dev: 3.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.95%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.05%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2014	62.78	60.18	59.96	60.4	60.46	61.55	63.03(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	43	130	46	32	60.63	57%	0	-72.2	3.17%	0	1.4	50	0
2	Apr_21_2014	62.78	60.2	59.35	59.58	59.38	59.83	61.24(3.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	40	16	-3	60.36	59%	-0.03	-89.9	3.16%	0	0.5	52	0
3	Apr_17_2014	62.8	60.45	58.9	59.03	59.13	59.37	58.94(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	30	9	-25	88.04	57%	-0.08	-72.5	3.16%	0	-0.5	49	0
4	Apr_16_2014	62.85	60.83	58.95	59.08	58.9	58.92	59.72(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10	-9	-37	78.77	57%	-0.08	-67.2	3.16%	0	-0.3	48	0
5	Apr_15_2014	62.9	61.23	59.2	59.62	59.31	58.89	59.09(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-70	-4	-19	108.62	57%	-0.08	-60.1	3.16%	0	-0.6	48	0

6	Apr_14_2014	62.95	61.7	59.52	59.44	59.92	58.87	58.89(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-100	-6	-30	72.32	59%	-0.1	-59.1	3.16%	0	-0.7	38	0
7	Apr_11_2014	63.01	62.18	59.66	59.05	59.58	59.73	58.53(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	40	-11	-50	91.45	56%	-0.1	-64.4	3.19%	0	-0.9	39	0
8	Apr_10_2014	63.07	62.63	59.82	58.69	59.11	60.97	59.16(-5.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	240	30	-58	114.99	56%	-0.1	-67.8	3.22%	0	-0.9	35	0
9	Apr_9_2014	63.13	63.11	59.99	58.76	58.43	59.43	62.41(7.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	100	33	-75	100.22	60%	-0.02	-66.8	3.15%	0	-0.2	40	0
10	Apr_8_2014	63.14	63.49	59.76	58.82	58.47	57.26	58.19(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-160	-25	-124	78.84	56%	-0.13	-64.7	3.02%	0	-1.2	27	0

11	Apr_7_2014	63.22	64.09	60.4	59.71	59.74	57.44	56.95(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-77	-270	-57	-135	108.49	56%	-0.16	-57.9	3.01%	0	-1.6	22	0
12	Apr_4_2014	63.32	64.85	61.12	60.36	60.97	59.69	56.75(-4.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-72	-120	-51	-134	125.47	59%	-0.16	-53.3	3.05%	0	-1.9	23	0
13	Apr_3_2014	63.42	65.52	62.17	61.02	61.55	62.05	59.49(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	80	-5	-109	83.86	62%	-0.11	-52.3	3.01%	0	-1.5	30	0
14	Apr_2_2014	63.49	66.1	62.9	61.31	61.44	62.25	62.72(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	100	32	-97	66.14	67%	-0.02	-50.2	2.96%	0	-0.9	33	0
15	Apr_1_2014	63.5	66.54	63.4	60.85	60.77	61.05	62.62(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-32	30	-1	-125	59.29	67%	-0.02	-52.3	2.98%	0	-1	29	0

16	Mar_31_2014	63.51	66.86	64.02	61.3	61.05	60.63	60.24(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-60	-17	-128	53.01	65%	-0.09	-52.7	2.97%	0	-1.8	24	0
17	Mar_28_2014	63.57	67.25	64.87	62.07	62.14	60.5	60.01(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-67	-180	-44	-135	67.05	65%	-0.09	-56.3	3%	0	-2.1	20	0
18	Mar_27_2014	63.63	67.71	65.68	63.52	63.35	61.48	60.97(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-82	-210	-67	-128	112.65	65%	-0.08	-52.2	3.01%	0	-2.2	31	0
19	Mar_26_2014	63.68	68.15	66.49	64.72	65.07	63.77	60.39(-6.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-65	-120	-51	-108	97.69	65%	-0.09	-50	3.04%	0	-3	27	0
20	Mar_25_2014	63.74	68.63	67.57	66.29	66.29	65.22	64.89(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-110	-38	-84	68.79	73%	0.05	-43.6	2.91%	0	-1.9	32	0

21	Mar_24_2014	63.71	68.9	68.11	67.15	67.19	66.36	64.1(-4.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-43	-80	-35	-66	85.7	73%	0	-28.6	2.93%	0	-2.7	41	0
22	Mar_21_2014	63.71	69.25	68.91	68.08	68.06	67.36	67.24(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-70	-15	-32	60.04	80%	0.11	-6	2.88%	0	-1.5	52	0
23	Mar_20_2014	63.64	69.33	69.18	68.17	68.28	68.02	66.97(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-20	-18	-29	44.44	80%	0.09	0	2.9%	0	-1.8	48	0
24	Mar_19_2014	63.58	69.33	69.58	68.54	68.48	68.75	68.24(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	20	-5	-13	43.98	80%	0.16	27.1	2.91%	0	-1	49	0
25	Mar_18_2014	63.48	69.48	69.91	69.07	68.82	68.54	69.19(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-40	1	4	40.83	80%		49.5	2.93%	0	-0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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