Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $20.5754 (2.98%) ($19.7210 - $20.5754) on Thu. Apr. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $20.5754(2.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(10%)    TIP(7%)    UUP(6%)    BNDX(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-16%)    VYM(-16%)    SDY(-15%)    IWD(-15%)    IVE(-15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.85(3.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.66(4.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.51(5.46%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   20.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 3.13% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.26%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.31%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.08%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.36%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.19%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170513

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_13_2017	20.22	19.51	19.66	19.85	19.85	20.05	20.58(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	70	20	37	3.02	39%	-0.2	74.1	2.06%	0	1.8	59	INF
2	Apr_12_2017	20.26	19.38	19.49	19.62	19.68	19.8	19.98(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	50	7	4	2	35%	-0.2	61.6	2.03%	0	1	53	INF
3	Apr_11_2017	20.3	19.28	19.44	19.57	19.61	19.65	19.58(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	20	5	-6	2.6	33%	-0.29	56.1	2.02%	0	0.5	45	INF
4	Apr_10_2017	20.36	19.22	19.41	19.54	19.51	19.55	19.57(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	10	2	-16	1.46	33%	-0.24	54	2.02%	0	0.5	46	INF
5	Apr_7_2017	20.41	19.14	19.45	19.49	19.49	19.57	19.55(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	30	6	1	2.07	33%	-0.29	52.1	2.02%	0	0.6	64	INF

6	Apr_6_2017	20.47	19.07	19.46	19.43	19.44	19.47	19.42(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	10	8	17	1.9	33%	-0.34	52.6	2.03%	0	0.5	67	INF
7	Apr_5_2017	20.54	19.01	19.46	19.33	19.32	19.47	19.71(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	30	3	33	3.3	33%	-0.24	51	2.03%	0	0.9	72	INF
8	Apr_4_2017	20.59	18.93	19.49	19.29	19.29	19.41	19.44(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	40	5	57	1.27	31%	-0.29	55.5	2.03%	0	0.7	69	INF
9	Apr_3_2017	20.65	18.85	19.53	19.27	19.3	19.24	19.33(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-20	-6	75	2.36	29%	-0.39	53	2.06%	0	0.6	65	INF
10	Mar_31_2017	20.73	18.77	19.46	19.41	19.37	19.17	19.22(1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-80	-13	93	1.45	29%	-0.38	55.1	2.09%	0	0.5	66	INF

11	Mar_30_2017	20.81	18.69	19.37	19.5	19.68	19.35	18.95(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-90	-14	105	1.97	29%	-0.43	53.7	2.09%	0	0.3	63	INF
12	Mar_29_2017	20.9	18.63	19.28	19.65	19.78	19.58	19.51(0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-50	-14	119	1.44	31%	-0.57	53.6	2.07%	0	1	70	INF
13	Mar_28_2017	21.02	18.51	19.14	19.72	19.83	20	19.34(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	80	-5	132	2.12	34%	-0.57	52.8	2.06%	0	1	69	INF
14	Mar_27_2017	21.14	18.44	19.02	19.81	19.91	19.98	20.02(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	61	40	27	162	3.7	37%	-0.61	57.7	2.05%	0	1.9	83	INF
15	Mar_24_2017	21.27	18.33	18.82	19.52	19.6	19.67	19.7(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	40	16	139	2.66	37%	-0.65	50.2	2.04%	0	1.8	83	INF

16	Mar_23_2017	21.41	18.25	18.65	19.21	19.3	19.84	19.68(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	210	33	129	2.88	37%	-0.6	40.9	2.06%	0	2	84	INF
17	Mar_22_2017	21.54	18.16	18.48	18.84	18.87	19.54	19.85(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	62	250	46	110	4.24	37%	-0.6	27	2.06%	0	2.7	84	INF
18	Mar_21_2017	21.67	18.06	18.29	18.47	18.33	18.75	19.8(6.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	49	140	35	89	6.13	37%	-0.55	7	2.06%	0	3.6	87	INF
19	Mar_20_2017	21.79	17.96	18.09	18.14	18.06	18.21	18.55(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	40	15	53	1.95	26%	-0.59	-36.5	1.87%	0	2	55	INF
20	Mar_17_2017	21.92	17.95	18.01	18.03	18.01	18.21	18.16(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-40	1	34	1.91	22%	-0.63	-65.9	1.85%	0	0.7	52	INF

21	Mar_16_2017	22.06	17.96	17.94	18.01	18.03	17.91	17.85(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-40	-9	18	1.94	22%	-0.63	-87.3	1.85%	0	-0.4	45	INF
22	Mar_15_2017	22.2	17.99	17.92	18.06	18.03	18.11	17.97(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	20	-2	20	2.48	22%	-0.58	-108.2	1.86%	0	-0.1	50	INF
23	Mar_14_2017	22.33	18.03	17.84	18.08	18.07	18.14	18.14(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	30	8	9	1.23	22%	-0.58	-118.5	1.88%	0	0.3	50	INF
24	Mar_13_2017	22.46	18.07	17.83	18.03	17.97	18.02	18.01(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	10	4	3	1.19	22%	-0.62	-108.4	1.89%	0	-0.1	49	INF
25	Mar_10_2017	22.6	18.15	17.82	17.98	17.92	18	18.08(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	20	10	-8	1.78	22%		-90	1.89%	0	-0.1	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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