Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $21.5689 (1.4%) ($20.9927 - $21.6882) on Fri. Dec. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.23% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $21.5689(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(10%)    TIP(7%)    UUP(6%)    BNDX(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -1.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-16%)    VYM(-16%)    IVE(-16%)    SDY(-15%)    IWD(-15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.115% (StdDev 2.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $9.67(-55.17%)
Resistance Level   $22.94
5 Day Moving Average   $21.44(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.65(-0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.94(-5.98%)
To recent high   -34.6%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 6.36% (three month std-dev: 2.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.66%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.83%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -3.28%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.13%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.33%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2016	29.6	22.94	21.65	21.44	21.35	21.3	21.57(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-37	-30	3	-156	1.51	32%	-0.37	-66.8	2.23%	0	-0.9	22	INF
2	Dec_15_2016	29.71	23.11	21.87	21.32	21.32	21.41	21.27(-2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-40	30	2	-166	2.4	32%	-0.44	-73.3	2.24%	0	-1.2	28	INF
3	Dec_14_2016	29.84	23.33	22.11	21.28	21.28	21.4	21.71(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-39	40	6	-173	3.81	32%	-0.37	-80.5	2.24%	0	-1.1	29	INF
4	Dec_13_2016	29.95	23.5	22.34	21.25	21.19	21.23	21.27(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-57	0	-13	-188	1.84	37%	-0.43	-96.7	2.23%	0	-1.5	22	INF
5	Dec_12_2016	30.08	23.71	22.66	21.54	21.41	21.23	21.36(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-100	-20	-170	2.02	35%	-0.4	-112	2.33%	0	-1.6	22	INF

6	Dec_9_2016	30.2	23.96	23	21.91	21.84	21.15	21.01(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-71	-230	-41	-159	1.85	40%	-0.43	-125.3	2.35%	0	-2.1	16	INF
7	Dec_8_2016	30.33	24.25	23.32	22.52	22.41	21.66	21.04(-2.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-66	-250	-44	-130	2.94	40%	-0.39	-138.8	2.49%	0	-2.3	16	INF
8	Dec_7_2016	30.45	24.62	23.66	23.06	23.11	22.52	21.58(-4.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-55	-170	-36	-112	2.54	42%	-0.43	-138.1	2.48%	0	-2.1	16	INF
9	Dec_6_2016	30.58	25.05	23.98	23.58	23.53	23.16	22.71(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-120	-27	-88	1.21	45%	-0.36	-109.9	2.42%	0	-1.3	29	INF
10	Dec_5_2016	30.69	25.44	24.19	23.94	23.81	23.7	23.23(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-50	-19	-71	1.33	45%	-0.36	-92	2.41%	0	-1.1	31	INF

11	Dec_2_2016	30.8	25.9	24.36	24.25	24.11	23.91	24.02(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-80	-3	-62	1.17	47%	-0.32	-69.4	2.4%	0	-0.7	27	INF
12	Dec_1_2016	30.9	26.31	24.46	24.26	24.25	23.93	23.75(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-29	-90	-12	-81	1.68	47%	-0.35	-59.5	2.4%	0	-0.9	22	INF
13	Nov_30_2016	31.01	26.75	24.66	24.36	24.33	24.31	24.18(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-32	-10	-9	-99	1.09	47%	-0.35	-52.4	2.38%	0	-0.8	18	INF
14	Nov_29_2016	31.12	27.12	24.75	24.43	24.33	24.57	24.53(-0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-32	40	3	-137	0.98	47%	-0.38	-49.6	2.39%	0	-0.8	14	INF
15	Nov_28_2016	31.24	27.45	24.82	24.47	24.44	24.36	24.74(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-30	-1	-182	1.29	47%	-0.38	-48.9	2.4%	0	-0.8	14	INF

16	Nov_25_2016	31.36	27.78	24.97	24.51	24.5	24.32	24.11(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-70	-50	-13	-241	0.29	45%	-0.73	-48.4	2.37%	0	-1.1	6	INF
17	Nov_23_2016	31.59	28.15	25.23	24.7	24.7	24.53	24.26(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-82	-50	-16	-281	1	45%	-0.47	-48.5	2.36%	0	-1.2	8	INF
18	Nov_22_2016	31.74	28.49	25.62	24.99	24.93	24.68	24.52(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-84	-80	-12	-301	1.05	45%	-0.22	-48.4	2.35%	0	-1.3	8	INF
19	Nov_21_2016	31.81	28.83	26.19	25.11	25.22	24.88	24.73(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-86	-80	-12	-306	1.52	45%	-0.41	-50.9	2.35%	0	-1.4	17	INF
20	Nov_18_2016	31.94	29.14	26.76	25.2	25.38	25.19	24.94(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-92	-30	-20	-308	1.5	45%	-0.41	-55.2	2.35%	0	-1.5	23	INF

21	Nov_17_2016	32.07	29.47	27.53	25.5	25.55	25.56	25.08(-2.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-82	10	-16	-281	1.75	45%	-0.43	-57.5	2.36%	0	-1.6	23	INF
22	Nov_16_2016	32.21	29.79	28.29	25.84	25.93	25.58	25.69(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-81	-80	-21	-260	1.85	47%	-0.49	-61.3	2.34%	0	-1.6	25	INF
23	Nov_15_2016	32.37	30.08	28.99	26.38	26.28	25.54	25.11(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-107	-210	-62	-242	2.67	47%	-0.61	-61.7	2.33%	0	-2.1	24	INF
24	Nov_14_2016	32.57	30.43	29.69	27.46	27.22	26.27	25.21(-4.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-98	-270	-66	-192	4.47	47%	-0.52	-57.9	2.33%	0	-2.5	24	INF
25	Nov_11_2016	32.74	30.81	30.32	28.57	28.5	27.03	26.44(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-95	-370	-77	-150	3.13	51%		-51.6	2.27%	0	-2.6	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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