Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $39.9189 (-3.74%) ($39.8812 - $41.0317) on Wed. Dec. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.27% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $39.9189(-3.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(11%)    TIP(7%)    UUP(5%)    BND(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -1.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-17%)    VYM(-17%)    IVE(-17%)    SDY(-16%)    IWD(-16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.635% (StdDev 3.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $40.69
5 Day Moving Average   $41.68(-4.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.78(-4.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.69(-1.9%)
To recent high   -25.5%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 4.47% (three month std-dev: 3.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 12.41%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.39%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 8.95%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.75%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.14%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.23%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2015	44.37	40.69	41.78	41.68	41.9	41.14	39.92(-3.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-110	-14	29	1.34	45%	-0.05	36.9	3.27%	0	-0.4	50	0
2	Dec_22_2015	44.39	40.67	41.97	41.52	41.76	42.28	41.47(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	100	-0	41	0.95	47%	0	29.9	3.24%	0	0.4	57	0
3	Dec_21_2015	44.39	40.56	41.86	41.44	41.26	42.66	42.51(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	220	20	58	0.85	47%	0.05	23.7	3.26%	0	1	62	0
4	Dec_18_2015	44.37	40.36	41.54	41.72	41.02	41.25	43.67(6.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	-10	17	64	2.36	50%	0.05	19	3.27%	0	1.8	60	0
5	Dec_17_2015	44.35	40.12	40.99	41.81	41.38	39.86	40.82(4.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-290	-25	50	1.75	46%	0	16	3.2%	0	0.4	57	0

6	Dec_16_2015	44.35	40.03	41	41.94	42.31	40.79	39.14(-4.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-19	-230	-44	55	1.12	43%	-0.07	16.9	3.18%	0	-0.5	52	0
7	Dec_15_2015	44.38	40.13	41.05	42.42	42.67	42.89	41.06(-6.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	50	-11	85	1.17	43%	-0.05	29.9	3.13%	0	0.6	56	0
8	Dec_14_2015	44.4	40.12	40.77	42.25	42.49	43.84	43.87(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	61	240	47	102	2.02	47%	0.05	30.3	3.08%	0	2.2	66	0
9	Dec_11_2015	44.38	40.02	40.27	41.29	41.49	42.46	44.17(6.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	60	180	53	81	1.73	47%	0.07	26.7	3.08%	0	2.7	68	0
10	Dec_10_2015	44.35	39.85	39.71	40.07	40.28	41.14	41.47(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	170	17	34	0.51	42%	0.02	12.8	2.96%	0	1.3	60	0

11	Dec_9_2015	44.34	39.75	39.48	39.97	39.78	40.52	41.55(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	120	29	37	1.28	42%	0.02	9.1	2.97%	0	1.5	60	0
12	Dec_8_2015	44.33	39.63	39.23	39.52	39.54	39.42	40.21(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-20	18	12	0.6	36%	0	-3.1	2.97%	0	0.5	45	0
13	Dec_7_2015	44.33	39.62	39.1	39.06	39.17	39.05	39.04(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-10	-9	-20	0.64	33%	-0.05	-14	3.06%	0	-0.5	42	0
14	Dec_4_2015	44.35	39.61	39.07	39.08	39.07	39.66	38.08(-7.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-5	100	4	-32	1.28	38%	-0.07	-24.7	3.06%	0	-1.3	32	0
15	Dec_3_2015	44.38	39.69	39.18	39.25	38.98	39.28	40.95(4.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	8	30	21	-33	1.2	41%	-0.02	-24.3	3.03%	0	1.1	46	0

16	Dec_2_2015	44.39	39.64	38.98	38.92	38.76	38.49	39.29(3.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-60	-5	-56	0.84	35%	-0.09	-32	2.97%	0	-0.3	50	0
17	Dec_1_2015	44.43	39.67	39.14	38.93	38.93	38.67	37.93(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-50	-13	-52	0.75	40%	-0.11	-42.3	2.97%	0	-1.6	45	0
18	Nov_30_2015	44.48	39.78	39.44	39.15	39.23	39.03	39.16(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-30	-1	-35	0.68	42%	-0.11	-48.2	3.18%	0	-0.6	47	0
19	Nov_27_2015	44.53	39.9	39.75	39.05	39.21	39.19	38.9(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	10	-3	-23	0.28	38%	-0.22	-47.4	3.18%	0	-0.9	54	0
20	Nov_25_2015	44.63	39.96	40.01	39.08	39.1	39.43	39.29(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	60	4	-10	0.24	37%	-0.11	-60.9	3.54%	0	-0.7	50	0

21	Nov_24_2015	44.68	39.99	40.05	39.05	39.07	39.23	39.35(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	30	1	-14	0.88	45%	-0.13	-74.9	3.6%	0	-0.6	48	0
22	Nov_23_2015	44.74	40.13	40.07	39.41	39.14	38.77	39.03(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-90	-10	-11	0.54	45%	-0.13	-69.5	4.03%	0	-0.9	48	0
23	Nov_20_2015	44.8	40.27	40.18	39.8	39.63	38.9	38.7(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-140	-23	-8	0.82	51%	-0.13	-71.5	4.17%	0	-1.4	46	0
24	Nov_19_2015	44.86	40.41	40.21	40.57	40.46	39.52	39.02(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-170	-21	-2	0.83	52%	-0.13	-64	4.24%	0	-1.2	40	0
25	Nov_18_2015	44.92	40.58	40.28	41.07	41.22	40.36	39.12(-4.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-140	-15	9	0.77	52%		-52.1	4.25%	0	-1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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