Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $40.9522 (4.22%) ($38.7863 - $41.3595) on Thu. Dec. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.03% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $40.9522(4.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(11%)    TIP(7%)    UUP(5%)    BND(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -1.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-17%)    VYM(-17%)    IVE(-17%)    SDY(-16%)    IWD(-16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.515% (StdDev 3.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.25(4.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.18(4.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.69(3.18%)
To recent high   -23.6%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 2.8% (three month std-dev: 3.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.24%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.54%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -10.81%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.04%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.12%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2015	44.38	39.69	39.18	39.25	38.98	39.28	40.95(4.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	8	30	21	-33	1.2	41%	-0.02	-24.3	3.03%	0	1.1	46	0
2	Dec_2_2015	44.39	39.64	38.98	38.92	38.76	38.49	39.29(3.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-60	-5	-56	0.84	35%	-0.09	-32	2.97%	0	-0.3	50	0
3	Dec_1_2015	44.43	39.67	39.14	38.93	38.93	38.67	37.93(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-50	-13	-52	0.75	40%	-0.11	-42.3	2.97%	0	-1.6	45	0
4	Nov_30_2015	44.48	39.78	39.44	39.15	39.23	39.03	39.16(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-30	-1	-35	0.68	42%	-0.11	-48.2	3.18%	0	-0.6	47	0
5	Nov_27_2015	44.53	39.9	39.75	39.05	39.21	39.19	38.9(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	10	-3	-23	0.28	38%	-0.22	-47.4	3.18%	0	-0.9	54	0

6	Nov_25_2015	44.63	39.96	40.01	39.08	39.1	39.43	39.29(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	60	4	-10	0.24	37%	-0.11	-60.9	3.54%	0	-0.7	50	0
7	Nov_24_2015	44.68	39.99	40.05	39.05	39.07	39.23	39.35(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	30	1	-14	0.88	45%	-0.13	-74.9	3.6%	0	-0.6	48	0
8	Nov_23_2015	44.74	40.13	40.07	39.41	39.14	38.77	39.03(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-90	-10	-11	0.54	45%	-0.13	-69.5	4.03%	0	-0.9	48	0
9	Nov_20_2015	44.8	40.27	40.18	39.8	39.63	38.9	38.7(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-140	-23	-8	0.82	51%	-0.13	-71.5	4.17%	0	-1.4	46	0
10	Nov_19_2015	44.86	40.41	40.21	40.57	40.46	39.52	39.02(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-170	-21	-2	0.83	52%	-0.13	-64	4.24%	0	-1.2	40	0

11	Nov_18_2015	44.92	40.58	40.28	41.07	41.22	40.36	39.12(-4.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-140	-15	9	0.77	52%	-0.16	-52.1	4.25%	0	-1	48	0
12	Nov_17_2015	44.99	40.85	40.4	41.16	41.45	41.41	41.16(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	10	-1	18	0.55	54%	-0.11	-57.3	4.21%	0	0.2	57	0
13	Nov_16_2015	45.04	40.97	40.27	40.81	41.08	42.08	40.99(-3.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	190	13	9	0.96	54%	-0.07	-66.3	4.21%	0	0	45	0
14	Nov_13_2015	45.07	41.11	40.15	40.6	40.54	41.5	42.57(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	160	31	6	0.97	53%	-0.04	-68.5	4.19%	0	0.8	52	0
15	Nov_12_2015	45.09	41.19	40.02	39.82	39.86	40.08	41.48(4.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	40	15	-15	1.19	53%	-0.04	-77.2	4.18%	0	0.1	50	0

16	Nov_11_2015	45.11	41.35	39.86	39.44	39.25	39.59	39.61(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	50	-3	-39	0.56	52%	-0.04	-69.6	4.14%	0	-0.7	38	0
17	Nov_10_2015	45.13	41.75	39.87	39.54	39.37	39.64	39.38(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	40	8	-48	0.84	51%	-0.09	-62.3	4.15%	0	-0.9	31	0
18	Nov_9_2015	45.17	42.11	40.16	39.54	39.38	38.9	39.95(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-100	-4	-56	0.97	51%	-0.07	-62.6	4.16%	0	-0.8	37	0
19	Nov_6_2015	45.2	42.41	40.33	39.64	39.54	39.1	38.67(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-90	-20	-71	1.12	51%	-0.09	-64.2	4.14%	0	-1.4	31	0
20	Nov_5_2015	45.24	42.79	40.61	40.23	40.1	39.86	39.57(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-50	-5	-65	1.32	51%	-0.09	-67.3	4.14%	0	-1.2	32	0

21	Nov_4_2015	45.28	43.11	40.92	40.33	40.34	39.99	40.13(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-60	-3	-70	2.17	51%	-0.09	-75.5	4.14%	0	-1.1	31	0
22	Nov_3_2015	45.32	43.43	41.35	40.25	40.37	40.33	39.91(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	0	-12	-85	1.8	51%	-0.09	-82	4.14%	0	-1.3	25	0
23	Nov_2_2015	45.36	43.84	41.73	40.75	40.59	40.7	39.92(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	10	-4	-83	1.26	51%	-0.09	-87.2	4.14%	0	-1.5	30	0
24	Oct_30_2015	45.4	44.22	42.16	41.12	41.04	40.4	41.62(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-110	-2	-82	1.01	51%	-0.04	-89.6	4.11%	0	-0.9	37	0
25	Oct_29_2015	45.42	44.64	42.45	41.09	41.28	40.48	40.1(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-120	-24	-98	1.27	50%		-84.3	4.08%	0	-1.5	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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