Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $53.5697 (6.98%) ($50.5892 - $53.9671) on Mon. Sep. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.02% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $53.5697(6.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(11%)    TIP(7%)    UUP(5%)    BND(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -2.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-17%)    VYM(-17%)    IWD(-17%)    IVE(-17%)    SDY(-16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.01% (StdDev 4.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.4(4.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.16(6.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.36(6.37%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   33.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 3.26% (three month std-dev: 4.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2015	45.32	50.36	50.16	51.4	51.25	51.07	53.57(6.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	-30	12	29	1.32	60%	0.18	3.1	4.02%	0	2	61	0
2	Sep_25_2015	45.24	50.05	49.77	50.53	50.98	50.98	50.07(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	30	-6	-1	1.18	58%	0.07	-13.8	3.94%	0	0	43	0
3	Sep_24_2015	45.21	49.91	49.73	50.68	50.88	51.42	51.66(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	90	15	9	1.05	59%	0.07	-2.9	3.92%	0	1	53	0
4	Sep_23_2015	45.18	49.86	49.58	50.05	50.49	50.98	50.71(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	90	22	-1	0.82	59%	0.07	11.6	3.93%	0	0.5	49	0
5	Sep_22_2015	45.15	50.15	49.57	49.33	49.7	50.34	50.99(3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	110	17	-21	1.46	58%	0.09	32.3	3.93%	0	0.4	45	0

6	Sep_21_2015	45.11	50.31	49.38	48.72	48.82	50.01	49.24(-3.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	180	12	-33	1.01	58%	0.02	49.1	3.92%	0	-0.4	53	0
7	Sep_18_2015	45.1	50.27	49.7	48.89	48.62	49.06	50.83(4.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	50	22	-13	1.6	58%	0.04	64.3	3.9%	0	0.2	59	0
8	Sep_17_2015	45.08	49.96	49.63	48.67	48.5	47.63	48.48(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-140	-17	-24	1.76	56%	0.02	59.4	3.88%	0	-0.5	56	0
9	Sep_16_2015	45.07	49.67	49.89	49.07	49.2	48.17	47.13(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-140	-30	-22	0.63	56%	-0.02	54.1	3.86%	0	-0.7	44	0
10	Sep_15_2015	45.08	49.4	50.5	49.83	49.99	49.37	47.93(-4.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-80	-15	-14	0.73	56%	0	52.9	3.86%	0	-0.4	36	0

11	Sep_14_2015	45.08	49.09	50.63	50.07	50.14	50.22	50.07(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	20	-11	-25	0.64	58%	0.04	50.1	3.82%	0	0.2	44	0
12	Sep_11_2015	45.06	48.66	50.4	50.63	50.11	50.61	49.75(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	40	2	-13	0.78	58%	0.04	50.1	3.82%	0	0.2	55	0
13	Sep_10_2015	45.04	48.28	50.18	50.74	50.64	50.07	50.47(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	-80	6	-2	1.31	56%	0.04	49.4	3.82%	0	0.4	61	0
14	Sep_9_2015	45.02	47.88	50.21	50.86	50.46	49.61	50.95(3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-19	-140	-29	13	1.43	56%	0.04	50.3	3.86%	0	0.6	65	0
15	Sep_8_2015	45	47.41	50.77	51.31	51.01	51.2	49.12(-7.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	10	-6	81	1.41	56%	-0.09	52.4	3.84%	0	0.3	65	0

16	Sep_4_2015	45.04	46.99	51.32	51.23	51.71	51.31	52.85(5.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	-30	26	142	1.44	60%	0.13	49.8	3.71%	0	1.1	70	0
17	Sep_3_2015	44.98	46.41	50.85	50.14	50.69	50.83	50.31(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	31	50	-5	137	1.32	58%	0.04	45	3.67%	0	0.7	68	0
18	Sep_2_2015	44.96	45.97	50.3	49.49	50.1	52.11	51.07(-4.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	320	29	151	0.96	58%	0.07	42.4	3.67%	0	1	66	0
19	Sep_1_2015	44.93	45.46	49.43	49.47	49.21	50.55	53.21(9.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	170	25	155	1.69	60%	0.13	43.3	3.63%	0	1.5	69	0
20	Aug_31_2015	44.87	44.84	48.21	50.3	49.2	48.1	48.72(2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-220	-21	169	0.86	57%	0	50.6	3.46%	0	0.8	66	0

21	Aug_28_2015	44.87	44.46	47.45	51.51	50.44	47.88	47.37(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	10	-420	-52	197	0.85	58%	-0.02	57.9	3.45%	0	0.6	66	0
22	Aug_27_2015	44.88	44.15	46.85	51.63	52.2	50.31	47.09(-7.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	32	-220	-29	215	1.88	57%	-0.04	58.9	3.45%	0	0.6	63	0
23	Aug_26_2015	44.9	43.84	46.36	51.03	51.83	53	50.95(-11.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	80	210	27	238	1.97	61%	0.04	55.6	3.34%	0	1.5	69	0
24	Aug_25_2015	44.88	43.32	45.44	49.17	49.54	54.09	57.35(4.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	167	670	135	264	1.54	68%	0.2	48	3.03%	0	3.1	84	0
25	Aug_24_2015	44.79	42.49	43.73	45.81	46.53	50.67	54.8(14.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	179	670	174	193	3.53	67%		38.8	3.01%	0	3.8	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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