Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $41.8463 (1.45%) ($40.9323 - $42.1643) on Fri. Jul. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.14% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $41.8463(1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(11%)    TIP(7%)    BND(4%)    BNDX(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -1.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    VYM(-17%)    IVE(-17%)    XLI(-15%)    XLB(-15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.07% (StdDev 2.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.8(-24.01%)
Resistance Level   $43.28
5 Day Moving Average   $40.98(2.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.42(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.28(-3.31%)
To recent high   -14.5%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 4.99% (three month std-dev: 2.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 6.83%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.39%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.02%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.7%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.11%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2015	46.15	43.28	41.42	40.98	40.97	41.18	41.85(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	40	16	-133	0.91	49%	-0.15	-29.3	2.14%	0	-0.7	36	0
2	Jul_23_2015	46.22	43.4	41.65	40.82	40.77	40.75	41.25(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	-10	1	-150	0.75	49%	-0.17	-28.4	2.13%	0	-1	35	0
3	Jul_22_2015	46.3	43.52	42.1	40.73	40.84	40.76	40.22(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10	-10	-151	0.58	45%	-0.19	-31.7	2.1%	0	-1.6	32	0
4	Jul_21_2015	46.39	43.65	42.75	41.08	40.92	40.79	40.93(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-30	-16	-138	0.5	45%	-0.15	-32	2.11%	0	-1.4	29	0
5	Jul_20_2015	46.46	43.76	43.14	41.44	41.26	40.92	40.65(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-70	-22	-140	0.73	45%	-0.19	-32.5	2.11%	0	-1.7	26	0

6	Jul_17_2015	46.55	43.92	43.6	41.93	41.83	41.05	41.05(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-58	-140	-36	-124	0.52	48%	-0.17	-28.1	2.11%	0	-1.7	43	0
7	Jul_16_2015	46.63	44.02	43.99	42.61	42.41	41.6	40.81(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-70	-150	-58	-105	0.74	48%	-0.17	-20.7	2.18%	0	-2	41	0
8	Jul_15_2015	46.71	44.19	44.39	43.68	43.29	42.61	41.97(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-50	-140	-47	-60	0.78	50%	-0.15	-3	2.15%	0	-1.5	48	0
9	Jul_14_2015	46.78	44.28	44.82	44.68	44.17	43.22	42.72(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-180	-38	-1	0.62	50%	-0.13	9.8	2.14%	0	-1.1	55	0
10	Jul_13_2015	46.84	44.37	45.23	45.09	45.04	43.97	43.12(-2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-24	-170	-43	35	0.64	50%	-0.13	13.1	2.14%	0	-0.9	55	0

11	Jul_10_2015	46.9	44.41	45.23	45.48	45.57	45.13	44.43(-3.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-60	-29	59	0.77	52%	-0.11	16.4	2.11%	0	0	55	0
12	Jul_9_2015	46.95	44.36	45.34	45.56	45.85	46.11	46.18(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	60	14	92	0.76	55%	-0.06	9.4	2.06%	0	1.4	65	0
13	Jul_8_2015	46.98	44.23	45.06	45.21	45.58	46.01	46.93(4.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	36	90	21	82	1.03	55%	-0.04	-1.1	2.05%	0	2.2	61	0
14	Jul_7_2015	47	44.15	44.6	45.05	45.08	45.58	44.79(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	80	1	65	0.96	52%	-0.04	-4.2	1.97%	0	0.6	56	0
15	Jul_6_2015	47.02	44.15	44.41	45.44	45.19	45.14	45.07(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-20	19	79	0.6	52%	-0.15	6.2	1.97%	0	0.7	53	0

16	Jul_2_2015	47.09	44.2	44.25	45.18	45.23	44.58	44.83(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-100	-11	57	0.57	52%	-0.13	-2.5	1.97%	0	0.5	55	0
17	Jul_1_2015	47.15	44.23	44.02	45.06	45.03	45.24	44.43(-3.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	30	-7	50	0.91	52%	-0.13	-2.2	1.97%	0	0.2	55	0
18	Jun_30_2015	47.21	44.24	43.96	44.83	44.78	45.87	46.14(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	60	170	57	69	1.03	51%	-0.13	-7.4	1.92%	0	1.5	59	0
19	Jun_29_2015	47.27	44.2	43.68	44.07	44.03	44.81	46.73(6.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	52	120	61	26	1.41	51%	-0.11	-26	1.98%	0	2	51	0
20	Jun_26_2015	47.32	44.13	43.39	43.25	43.17	43.68	43.79(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	80	19	-38	0.57	45%	-0.17	-43.1	1.78%	0	-0.3	38	0

21	Jun_25_2015	47.4	44.23	43.37	43.19	42.84	43.25	44.19(2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	40	27	-49	0.65	49%	-0.21	-40.4	1.78%	0	-0	44	0
22	Jun_24_2015	47.5	44.26	43.27	42.86	42.74	42.66	43.32(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-20	4	-87	0.71	47%	-0.21	-46.8	1.85%	0	-0.8	38	0
23	Jun_23_2015	47.6	44.34	43.32	42.95	42.75	42.44	42.32(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-60	-22	-101	0.49	45%	-0.29	-41	1.84%	0	-1.7	40	0
24	Jun_22_2015	47.74	44.52	43.66	43.21	43.06	42.82	42.64(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-50	-21	-90	0.62	45%	-0.33	-32.8	1.85%	0	-1.6	37	0
25	Jun_19_2015	47.9	44.64	43.98	43.53	43.45	43.06	43.48(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-70	-13	-72	0.72	43%		-30.6	1.89%	0	-1.1	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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