Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $50.1918 (0.64%) ($49.5555 - $51.2250) on Thu. Mar. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.81% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $50.1918(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(11%)    TIP(7%)    BND(4%)    BNDX(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -1.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    VYM(-17%)    IVE(-17%)    XLI(-15%)    XLB(-15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.405% (StdDev 2.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.21(4.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.15(4.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.86(2.73%)
To recent high   -14%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 2.95% (three month std-dev: 2.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.58%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.22%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.68%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.12%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.65%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_26_2015	52.15	48.86	48.15	48.21	48.25	49.59	50.19(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	25	200	42	-26	1.02	47%	-0.11	-9.8	2.81%	0	0.9	50	INF
2	Mar_25_2015	52.21	48.79	47.93	47.79	47.37	48.1	49.87(4.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	13	80	32	-44	1	47%	-0.15	-21.5	2.81%	0	0.8	53	INF
3	Mar_24_2015	52.29	48.72	48.04	47.23	47.13	46.91	47.85(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-40	3	-62	0.75	45%	-0.19	-35.4	2.78%	0	-0.6	46	INF
4	Mar_23_2015	52.39	48.76	48.45	47.24	47.23	46.65	46.89(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-90	-20	-58	0.5	45%	-0.23	-36	2.77%	0	-1.4	47	INF
5	Mar_20_2015	52.51	48.87	48.72	47.41	47.65	47.35	46.26(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-30	-22	-51	1.03	45%	-0.19	-35.4	2.76%	0	-2	47	INF

6	Mar_19_2015	52.61	49.01	49.13	48.04	48	47.82	48.09(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-30	-7	-28	0.46	47%	-0.27	-27.4	2.74%	0	-0.8	47	INF
7	Mar_18_2015	52.75	49.09	49.23	48.09	48.34	47.95	47.05(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-40	-23	-33	0.92	43%	-0.3	-30.9	2.72%	0	-1.8	46	INF
8	Mar_17_2015	52.91	49.22	49.5	48.99	48.77	48.18	47.93(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-100	-31	-10	0.55	40%	-0.32	-17.5	2.84%	0	-1.2	50	INF
9	Mar_16_2015	53.08	49.26	49.6	49.86	49.66	48.72	47.73(-3.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-15	-140	-24	13	0.97	40%	-0.32	-8.4	2.96%	0	-1.4	49	INF
10	Mar_13_2015	53.25	49.34	49.6	50.22	50.48	49.35	49.4(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-140	-24	19	0.53	42%	-0.32	-8.9	2.95%	0	0.1	53	INF

11	Mar_12_2015	53.42	49.33	49.69	50.37	50.61	50.59	48.32(-6.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-6	10	-18	29	0.87	45%	-0.39	-16.6	2.96%	0	-1	51	INF
12	Mar_11_2015	53.63	49.45	49.77	50.49	50.58	51.6	51.58(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	150	29	48	0.5	48%	-0.28	-24.5	2.94%	0	2.1	56	INF
13	Mar_10_2015	53.78	49.4	49.45	50.08	49.95	50.63	52.26(5.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	35	90	34	38	0.95	50%	-0.35	-49	2.94%	0	2.9	62	INF
14	Mar_9_2015	53.97	49.35	49.06	49.35	49.42	49.56	49.52(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	20	11	12	0.39	47%	-0.44	-93	2.89%	0	0.2	55	INF
15	Mar_6_2015	54.21	49.43	49	49.09	49.17	49.26	50.19(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	20	3	2	1.05	47%	-0.46	-121.4	2.87%	0	0.7	55	INF

16	Mar_5_2015	54.46	49.5	48.83	48.94	49.05	49.28	48.92(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	2	40	4	-3	0.41	47%	-0.49	-130.7	2.87%	0	-0.5	49	INF
17	Mar_4_2015	54.73	49.71	48.91	48.93	49.07	49.07	49.52(1.88%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	6	10	9	-5	0.48	47%	-0.4	-119.1	2.89%	0	-0.1	41	INF
18	Mar_3_2015	54.95	49.88	48.87	48.93	48.94	48.81	48.6(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10	-4	-22	0.42	47%	-0.45	-113.5	2.88%	0	-0.8	34	INF
19	Mar_2_2015	55.2	50.22	48.88	48.73	48.87	48.81	48.24(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	40	-1	-33	0.47	46%	-0.41	-84.7	2.88%	0	-1	28	INF
20	Feb_27_2015	55.43	50.7	48.98	48.87	48.81	49.07	49.4(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	30	10	-35	0.47	46%	-0.38	-57.6	2.85%	0	-0.5	37	INF

21	Feb_26_2015	55.64	51.02	48.94	48.7	48.77	48.67	48.9(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10	-2	-54	0.47	46%	-0.3	-50.1	2.87%	0	-0.7	31	INF
22	Feb_25_2015	55.81	51.44	49.12	48.89	48.93	48.55	48.48(-0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-24	-50	-11	-64	0.37	46%	-0.37	-43.1	2.87%	0	-1	22	INF
23	Feb_24_2015	56.02	51.75	49.36	49.04	49.26	48.86	48.6(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-40	-9	-69	0.75	46%	-0.3	-45.2	2.87%	0	-1	25	INF
24	Feb_23_2015	56.19	52	49.67	49.06	49.39	49.31	48.96(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	10	-6	-83	0.47	46%	-0.3	-50.6	2.88%	0	-1	19	INF
25	Feb_20_2015	56.36	52.26	49.9	49.09	49.37	49.65	48.56(-2.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-25	60	2	-104	0.84	46%		-58.4	2.88%	0	-1.3	14	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.